Serie A prediction and preview: Cagliari modest favorites to beat Sampdoria

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Competition: Italy Serie A
Date: Mon 02.December
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: Sardegna Arena (16233 seats)

A home win is expected from this fixture if the league table is anything to judge by. The home fans are optimistic that the difference between 6th and 17th place in the table will show on the pitch.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Cagliari form and stats

4-1-2 (win-draw-lost) are the Serie A numbers at home for Cagliari so far this season.

The Cagliari fans got no joy from their last match, a Serie A game also here at Sardegna Arena: A 1-3 defeat against Sampdoria (placed 17th). Preceding that game was the away draw at Lecce that finished 2-2.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does Cagliari handle that role? We have found eleven games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The win/draw/lost stats in these games are W7-D2-L2.

Goals decide football matches and Cagliari are scoring many of them at home; 15 on target from 7 league matches. Cagliari have conceded 9 in these home matches.

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Sampdoria form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Sampdoria so far with only 3 points returning home. The records show 1-0-5 (win-draw-lose). Winning streaks in away matches are not that common, but Sampdoria are close to a proper streak after winning their two previous away games.

Two travels in a row for Sampdoria, whose manager C. Ranieri could celebrate last time after the Serie A win against Cagliari. A home win before that, celebrating 2-1 vs Udinese.

We have checked recent matches where Sampdoria have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those three games were W1-D0-L2.

The attacking power of Sampdoria when travelling is not overwhelming with 4 goals scored from 6 league matches away. Sampdoria have conceded 12 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

Head-to-head totals (for the last ten meetings): Cagliari won 1 game, 4 matches ended with a draw and Sampdoria has 5 wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: 5 / 5

Top Goalscorers

CagliariJoão Pedro
João Pedro
7 goals
CagliariG. Simeone
G. Simeone
4 goals
CagliariR. Nainggolan
R. Nainggolan
3 goals

Cagliari missing players

Sampdoria missing players

Cagliari Sampdoria
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
14 8 3 Played P 0 7 14
7 4 2 Won W 0 2 4
4 1 0 Drew D 0 0 3
3 3 1 Lost L 0 5 7
26 16 5 Scored S 0 7 12
17 12 2 Conceded C 0 13 21
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 100% 86%
86% 88% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 86% 71%
50% 62% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 57% 50%
43% 50% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 29% 21%
14% 25% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 14% 7%
71% 75% 33% BTTS BTTS 0% 57% 50%
21% 12% 33% Clean Sheets C S 0% 14% 29%
7% 12% 33% Failed to Score F T 0% 29% 36%
 
4.3 5 6 Corners For (avg) C F 0 4.4 5.4
7.2 4.8 5.7 Corners Against (avg) C A 0 6.9 6.6
2.6 2.2 2.3 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 0 2.4 2.4
2 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 2 2
 
161 111 47 Total Shots T S 0 73 197
57 38 14 Shots on Target S O 0 21 61
46% 42% 36% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 33% 20%
Key stats in Serie A this season:
  • Cagliari have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Cagliari have scored more than double the goals of Sampdoria.
  • Cagliari haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Sampdoria has the fewest dropped points from leading position (0)
  • Sampdoria has the fewest scored goals in the first half (2)
  • Sampdoria have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Sampdoria have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Sampdoria haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Inter 14 12 1 1 31 13 7 5 1 1 13 6 7 7 0 0 18 7 18 37
2 Juventus 14 11 3 0 25 12 7 6 1 0 15 8 7 5 2 0 10 4 13 36
3 Lazio 14 9 3 2 33 14 7 5 2 0 21 6 7 4 1 2 12 8 19 30
4 Roma 14 8 4 2 26 15 7 4 2 1 15 10 7 4 2 1 11 5 11 28
5 Atalanta 14 7 4 3 34 21 6 2 1 3 15 12 8 5 3 0 19 9 13 25
6 Cagliari 13 7 4 2 25 14 7 4 1 2 15 9 6 3 3 0 10 5 11 25
7 Napoli 14 5 5 4 23 18 7 3 2 2 9 6 7 2 3 2 14 12 5 20
8 Parma 14 5 3 6 20 18 8 4 0 4 12 9 6 1 3 2 8 9 2 18
9 Hellas Verona 14 5 3 6 12 14 8 3 2 3 7 7 6 2 1 3 5 7 -2 18
10 Torino 14 5 2 7 16 20 7 2 2 3 6 9 7 3 0 4 10 11 -4 17
11 Milan 14 5 2 7 13 17 7 2 2 3 7 10 7 3 0 4 6 7 -4 17
12 Bologna 14 4 4 6 20 23 6 2 2 2 9 9 8 2 2 4 11 14 -3 16
13 Fiorentina 14 4 4 6 18 21 7 2 2 3 8 9 7 2 2 3 10 12 -3 16
14 Sassuolo 13 4 2 7 24 25 7 3 0 4 16 14 6 1 2 3 8 11 -1 14
15 Lecce 14 3 5 6 18 27 6 0 3 3 6 11 8 3 2 3 12 16 -9 14
16 Udinese 14 4 2 8 9 23 7 3 1 3 4 8 7 1 1 5 5 15 -14 14
17 Sampdoria 13 3 3 7 9 20 7 2 3 2 5 8 6 1 0 5 4 12 -11 12
18 Genoa 14 2 4 8 15 28 7 2 1 4 8 10 7 0 3 4 7 18 -13 10
19 SPAL 14 2 3 9 9 21 7 2 2 3 8 10 7 0 1 6 1 11 -12 9
20 Brescia 13 2 1 10 10 26 6 0 1 5 5 15 7 2 0 5 5 11 -16 7

Read more about Serie A

Serie A is the division at the top of the Italian football league system and regarded as one of the top leagues of the world. 20 teams play each other home and away to create a final league table after 380 fixtures. The winners are titled “Campione d’Italia” (Champion of Italy), often referred to as the scudetto.