Iraqi League prediction: Al Shorta should edge out Baghdad on their own turf

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Competition: Iraq Iraqi League
Date: Tue 02.July
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Al-Shaab Stadium

Al Shorta perform at a high level so far being 1st in the table. Baghdad can look both up and down from their 7th position.

It's no vacation for neither Al Shorta nor Baghdad as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

There's local pride at stake here, as these teams are practically neighbours. Expect lots of passion from both players and supporters.

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Al Shorta form and stats

Al Shorta, who have the most points (45) at home in Iraqi League, have been very solid at home so far, with 45 points collected from 18 matches (14-3-1). This has contributed greatly to their 1st position in the league table. The team is able to perform also as the away side, as they are nurturing a very healthy winning streak of six straight victories regardless of arena. After failing to beat Al Quwa Al Jawiya here at Al-Shaab Stadium, Al Shorta has put together a very nice winning streak on their own turf with four wins in a row.

Al Shorta's last game was hosting Baghdad and winning 2-1. Before that, Al Shorta had a home game versus Al Simawa which ended with a victory 3-1.

Goals decide football matches and Al Shorta are scoring many of them at home; 41 on target from 18 matches. Al Shorta are not conceding a lot of goals here at Al-Shaab Stadium, averaging less than one per game. The total is 12 from 18 matches.

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Baghdad form and stats

The visitors are W5-D6-L6 on the road this term.

It might be tough going out on the road again for Baghdad, facing their second straight away game. Especially as the previous game, ended with a defeat 1-2 versus Al Shorta. That result followed a home victory 1-0 versus Al Hudod.

With the home team given a winning probability of about 80% by the bookmakers, any point(s) for the visitors would be a surprise. Checking earlier matches with similar odds with Baghdad as the away team, we found one results. Statistics from these were 0 away wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat. The outsiders lost 0 of these games by at least two goals.

Baghdad find the net in their away games, although not all the time. 17 goals from 17 away fixtures. As opposed to that, Baghdad have seen the ball go into their own net 17 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

Al Shorta and Baghdad have met before this season: Al Shorta - Baghdad 2-1. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Al Shorta 9 wins, 0 draws and Baghdad 1 victory. As for goals, 5 matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 5 games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Ala'a Abdul Zahra
26 goals
Muhanad Ali
18 goals

Al Shorta missing players

Baghdad missing players

Al Shorta Baghdad
Total Home Home vs mid Statistic Away vs top Away Total
34 18 6 Played 4 17 34
26 14 5 Won 1 5 12
7 3 1 Drew 2 6 11
1 1 0 Lost 1 6 11
71 41 14 Scored 4 17 32
18 12 4 Conceded 4 17 30
88% 89% 83% Over 0.5 100% 88% 82%
71% 78% 67% Over 1.5 75% 65% 53%
44% 56% 50% Over 2.5 25% 29% 29%
26% 33% 33% Over 3.5 0% 6% 6%
12% 17% 17% Over 4.5 0% 6% 6%
41% 44% 33% BTTS 75% 53% 41%
59% 56% 67% Clean Sheets 25% 29% 41%
12% 11% 17% Failed To Score 0% 29% 35%
 
9.7 9 0 Corners For (avg) 0 3 4.5
3.3 3 0 Corners Against (avg) 0 9 7.5
3 3.5 0 Yellow Cards (avg) 0 3 3
0 0 0 Red Cards 0 0 0
Key stats this season:
  • Al Shorta have created more than twice as many corners as Baghdad.
  • Al Shorta have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Al Shorta have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Al Shorta have scored more than double the goals of Baghdad.
  • Al Shorta have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded.
  • Baghdad have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • Baghdad have won significantly less corners away then at home.

Al Shorta
All Syria Cup Iraqi League Premier League
All Home Away
10-05-19 IL Al Shorta 5 - 3 Al Kahrabaa
16-05-19 IL Naft Maysan 1 - 1 Al Shorta
23-05-19 IL Al Shorta 2 - 3 Al Quwa Al Jawiya
28-05-19 IL Al Hussein 0 - 2 Al Shorta
01-06-19 IL Al Shorta 1 - 0 Al Diwaniya
14-06-19 IL Al Shorta 2 - 1 Erbil
20-06-19 IL Al Hudod 1 - 2 Al Shorta
26-06-19 IL Al Shorta 3 - 1 Al Simawa
02-07-19 IL Al Shorta 2 - 1 Baghdad
09-07-19 IL Al Najaf 14:00 Al Shorta
Baghdad
All Iraqi League
All Home Away
09-05-19 IL Baghdad 0 - 1 Alsinaat Alkahrabaiya
16-05-19 IL Al Kahrabaa 1 - 0 Baghdad
22-05-19 IL Baghdad 1 - 0 Naft Maysan
28-05-19 IL Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1 - 1 Baghdad
02-06-19 IL Baghdad 4 - 2 Al Hussein
13-06-19 IL Al Diwaniya 1 - 1 Baghdad
17-06-19 IL Baghdad 2 - 0 Erbil
25-06-19 IL Baghdad 1 - 0 Al Hudod
02-07-19 IL Al Shorta 2 - 1 Baghdad
06-07-19 IL Baghdad 14:00 Al Simawa

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Al Shorta 34 26 7 1 71 18 18 14 3 1 41 12 16 12 4 0 30 6 53 85
2 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 33 22 9 2 51 22 16 10 5 1 28 13 17 12 4 1 23 9 29 75
3 Al Zawra'a 33 15 12 6 47 33 17 7 7 3 26 17 16 8 5 3 21 16 14 57
4 Al Karkh 34 15 11 8 43 31 17 9 4 4 22 15 17 6 7 4 21 16 12 56
5 Naft 34 13 14 7 53 36 16 7 4 5 23 16 18 6 10 2 30 20 17 53
6 Naft Maysan 34 13 12 9 50 43 18 11 6 1 37 20 16 2 6 8 13 23 7 51
7 Baghdad 34 12 11 11 32 30 17 7 5 5 15 13 17 5 6 6 17 17 2 47
8 Naft Al-Wasat 33 10 14 9 31 31 16 6 5 5 13 10 17 4 9 4 18 21 0 44
9 Al Talaba 34 10 13 11 46 46 17 6 7 4 27 22 17 4 6 7 19 24 0 43
10 Al Kahrabaa 34 9 15 10 38 40 17 4 7 6 16 19 17 5 8 4 22 21 -2 42
11 Erbil 34 10 11 13 29 32 17 7 7 3 18 6 17 3 4 10 11 26 -3 41
12 Naft Al-Janoob 34 11 8 15 34 46 17 7 4 6 21 21 17 4 4 9 13 25 -12 41
13 Al Diwaniya 34 8 16 10 28 37 17 5 8 4 16 19 17 3 8 6 12 18 -9 40
14 Al Hudod 34 9 13 12 28 37 17 7 5 5 19 18 17 2 8 7 9 19 -9 40
15 Al Najaf 33 8 13 12 33 38 16 5 4 7 18 21 17 3 9 5 15 17 -5 37
16 Al Minaa Basra 34 7 15 12 31 36 17 5 10 2 18 12 17 2 5 10 13 24 -5 36
17 Alsinaat Alkahrabaiya 34 8 11 15 27 36 17 4 6 7 15 18 17 4 5 8 12 18 -9 35
18 Al Simawa 34 7 7 20 22 54 17 4 5 8 11 18 17 3 2 12 11 36 -32 28
19 Al Hussein 33 4 11 18 23 43 17 3 7 7 14 19 16 1 4 11 9 24 -20 23
20 Al Bahri 33 3 11 19 30 58 16 1 8 7 15 25 17 2 3 12 15 33 -28 20

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