Primera Division prediction and preview: Sansare modest favorites to beat Aurora

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Competition: Guatemala Primera Division
Date: Sun 18.August
Match begins: 21:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Municipal las Victorias (2500 seats)

The Primera Division league table might not tell the truth so early on, but it's the best truth we have so far. These two teams are placed 10th and 6th respectively.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Sansare and Aurora.

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Sansare form and stats

When playing at home, Sansare have managed 1 win, 0 draws and suffered 0 defeats from 1 games. Hopes of three in a row are alive for Sansare after consecutive victories at their own ground.

The Sansare supporters enjoyed the previous match, watching their team host Aurora in Primera Division and win 1-0. Prior to that, an away loss at Carchá.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Sansare's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played two games, won 2 matches, drawn 0 and lost 0.

It's still early days, but we have some goal stats for the Sansare at home. 1 on target and 0 scored by the opposition; from 1 match.

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Aurora form and stats

Aurora have played one away game so far, a loss. Last season their away games stats were 1 victory, 4 draws and 4 defeats from nine fixtures. The travelling fans think it's time that their travel expenses are covered with some points now, as Aurora have lost on their last two travels.

Two away games in a row for Aurora, who will hope to get a better result in this one after losing 0-1 versus Sansare in the Primera Division. A draw for Aurora before that, at their own venue hosting Deportivo Petapa (3-3).

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Aurora playing away, we found two games. Results were 0 away wins, 1 draw and 1 home win.

As for goals scored and conceded in away games so far, Aurora has managed 1 goal and let in 3 from 1 match.

Head 2 Head

H2H stats regardless of arena (last four matches): Sansare 2 wins, 0 draws and Aurora 2 victories. As for goals, 0 matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 4 games had two or less.

Sansare missing players

Aurora missing players

Sansare Aurora
Total Home Home vs mid Statistic Away vs low Away Total
4 2 0 Played 0 2 4
2 2 0 Won 0 0 1
0 0 0 Drew 0 0 1
2 0 0 Lost 0 2 2
3 2 0 Scored 0 1 5
6 0 0 Conceded 0 4 7
100% 100% 0% Over 0.5 0% 100% 100%
25% 0% 0% Over 1.5 0% 50% 50%
25% 0% 0% Over 2.5 0% 50% 50%
25% 0% 0% Over 3.5 0% 50% 50%
25% 0% 0% Over 4.5 0% 0% 25%
25% 0% 0% BTTS 0% 50% 50%
50% 100% 0% Clean Sheets 0% 0% 25%
25% 0% 0% Failed To Score 0% 50% 25%
 
2.5 3 0 Corners For (avg) 0 3.5 5
5 5 0 Corners Against (avg) 0 2 2.5
2.2 1.5 0 Yellow Cards (avg) 0 2 2.2
0 0 0 Red Cards 0 0 0
Sansare Last season Aurora
Total Home Home vs low Statistic Away vs top Away Total
45 23 4 Played 2 19 38
20 15 3 Won 0 3 14
8 4 0 Drew 0 8 15
17 4 1 Lost 2 8 9
62 37 7 Scored 0 12 38
57 18 4 Conceded 3 15 27
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 100% 74% 82%
80% 70% 75% Over 1.5 50% 42% 55%
53% 43% 50% Over 2.5 0% 21% 24%
20% 13% 25% Over 3.5 0% 5% 8%
11% 13% 25% Over 4.5 0% 0% 3%
53% 48% 50% BTTS 0% 21% 34%
27% 48% 50% Clean Sheets 0% 37% 45%
20% 4% 0% Failed To Score 100% 68% 39%
 
5.9 7.2 4.3 Corners For (avg) 7 5.4 6.2
4.3 3.6 4.3 Corners Against (avg) 7 6.6 4.5
2.7 2 1.3 Yellow Cards (avg) 4 3.7 3.3
8 2 0 Red Cards 0 2 3
Key stats last season:
  • Sansare have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Sansare have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Aurora have scored away.
  • Sansare have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Sansare haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

Sansare
31-05-19 PD Sansare 0 - 1 Mixco
27-07-19 PD Mictlán 1 - 0 Sansare
04-08-19 PD Sansare 1 - 0 Achuapa
07-08-19 PD Carchá 5 - 1 Sansare
18-08-19 PD Sansare 21:00 Aurora
25-08-19 PD Comunicaciones II 21:00 Sansare
01-09-19 PD Sansare 21:00 Deportivo Petapa
08-09-19 PD Sansare 21:00 Sacachispas
12-09-19 PD Deportivo Catocha 01:00 Sansare
15-09-19 PD Sansare 21:30 Capitalinos
Aurora
28-04-19 PD Comunicaciones II 2 - 2 Aurora
27-07-19 PD Aurora 1 - 0 Sacachispas
03-08-19 PD Comunicaciones II 3 - 1 Aurora
07-08-19 PD Aurora 3 - 3 Deportivo Petapa
18-08-19 PD Sansare 21:00 Aurora
24-08-19 PD Aurora 17:00 Deportivo Catocha
30-08-19 PD Capitalinos 21:00 Aurora
07-09-19 PD Aurora 17:00 Mictlán
11-09-19 PD Achuapa 21:30 Aurora
14-09-19 PD Aurora 17:00 Carchá

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Capitalinos 4 3 0 1 4 2 2 2 0 0 3 1 2 1 0 1 1 1 2 9
2 Carchá 3 2 0 1 6 2 2 1 0 1 5 2 1 1 0 0 1 0 4 6
3 Achuapa 4 2 0 2 5 2 2 2 0 0 5 0 2 0 0 2 0 2 3 6
4 Comunicaciones II 4 2 0 2 5 4 2 1 0 1 4 3 2 1 0 1 1 1 1 6
5 Mictlán 3 2 0 1 2 1 2 2 0 0 2 0 1 0 0 1 0 1 1 6
6 Aurora 3 1 1 1 5 6 2 1 1 0 4 3 1 0 0 1 1 3 -1 4
7 Deportivo Petapa 4 1 1 2 4 7 2 1 0 1 1 1 2 0 1 1 3 6 -3 4
8 Sacachispas 3 1 0 2 2 3 1 0 0 1 0 1 2 1 0 1 2 2 -1 3
9 Deportivo Catocha 3 1 0 2 2 4 1 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 2 1 4 -2 3
10 Sansare 3 1 0 2 2 6 1 1 0 0 1 0 2 0 0 2 1 6 -4 3
Last season Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Achuapa 18 6 9 3 21 15 9 4 5 0 11 4 9 2 4 3 10 11 6 27
2 Sansare 18 7 5 6 20 19 9 6 3 0 15 4 9 1 2 6 5 15 1 26
3 Mixco 18 7 5 6 13 14 9 7 2 0 11 3 9 0 3 6 2 11 -1 26
4 Comunicaciones II 18 6 7 5 20 17 9 5 2 2 15 8 9 1 5 3 5 9 3 25
5 Deportivo Jocotán 18 7 4 7 19 16 9 6 2 1 15 5 9 1 2 6 4 11 3 25
6 Sacachispas 18 7 4 7 13 14 9 5 2 2 8 6 9 2 2 5 5 8 -1 25
7 Aurora 18 5 9 4 15 12 9 4 5 0 10 5 9 1 4 4 5 7 3 24
8 Carchá 18 6 5 7 14 23 9 5 3 1 8 6 9 1 2 6 6 17 -9 23
9 Universidad San Carlos 18 4 8 6 17 19 9 3 4 2 10 7 9 1 4 4 7 12 -2 20
10 Mictlán 18 3 8 7 14 17 9 3 4 2 9 6 9 0 4 5 5 11 -3 17