Football insights: Santa Lucia vs Achuapa - predictions and statistics

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Competition: Guatemala Liga Nacional
Competition: Sun 20.March
Match begins: 17:00 (UTC)
Venue: Estadio Municipal Santa Lucía Cotzumalguapa (9000 seats)

With their 20 point lead in the league table, Santa Lucia supporters long to see their beloved team collect all points from this match hosting Achuapa.

Insights:
  • Santa Lucia have the fewest clean sheets (5) at home in Liga Nacional
  • Achuapa have the fewest points from losing position (3) in Liga Nacional

It's no vacation for neither Santa Lucia nor Achuapa as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Santa Lucia form and stats

Santa Lucia have collected 18 points from their Liga Nacional home games so far after 4-6-1. Two home wins in a row for Santa Lucia bring valid hopes of a third.

The Santa Lucia supporters enjoyed the previous match, watching their team host Achuapa and win 2-0.

A defeat was the result before that one, 1-2 away at Municipal.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from Santa's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played four games, won zero matches, drawn three and lost one.

The Santa Lucia fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 16 in 11 matches. On the other hand, Santa have conceded 13 goals.

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Achuapa form and stats

Achuapa have only collected 5 points from their away games in the Liga Nacional, after 0-5-6 (11 played).

It might be tough going out on the road again for Achuapa, facing their second straight away game. Especially as the previous game, ended with a defeat 0-2 versus Santa Lucia.

Preceding that match was the 1-1 draw at home vs Antigua GFC.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Achuapa playing away, we found twelve games. Results were three away wins, three draws and six home wins.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Achuapa as they have only managed to score 7 times from 11 away games in the league. As opposed to that, Achuapa have seen the ball go into their own net 14 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

The most up to date past meeting featuring both these sides is the Santa Lucia - Achuapa 2-0 played previously this season. Last eight meetings between these teams: Santa Lucia won four, Achuapa were winners in three and we saw one draw. three games with over 2,5 goals, five matches with less than 2,5 goals.

Top Goalscorers

Santa LuciaI. Acuña Sánchez
I. Acuña Sánchez
18 goals
SantaC. Martínez Viscaya
C. Martínez Viscaya
7 goals
Santa LuciaV. Guay
V. Guay
6 goals

Santa Lucia missing players

Achuapa missing players

Santa Lucia Achuapa
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
37 19 5 Played P 4 18 35
14 7 2 Won W 0 2 7
14 7 2 Drew D 1 5 10
9 5 1 Lost L 3 11 18
47 24 8 Scored S 4 10 20
44 25 8 Conceded C 7 22 38
92% 95% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 83% 83%
76% 79% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 50% 49%
41% 42% 80% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 28% 23%
22% 26% 40% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 11% 9%
8% 11% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 6% 3%
57% 58% 100% BTTS BTTS 75% 33% 29%
32% 26% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 28% 34%
19% 21% 0% Failed to Score F T 25% 56% 54%
 
4.1 5.1 3.8 Corners for (avg) C F 3.7 3.4 4.4
4.3 3.5 3.6 Corners against (avg) C A 6.3 6.2 5.1
2.5 2.4 2.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.7 1.6 1.8
3 2 1 Red cards R C 1 3 5
 
9.6 11.7 8 Shots (avg) S ( 6 6.9 6.4
3.2 3.5 3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.3 2.9 2.8
39% 36% 53% Goal Efficiency G E 29% 16% 19%
 
8.3 8.6 8.2 Shots against (avg) S A 8 10.4 7.1
3 2.9 3.4 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.7 3.5 2.6
Key stats in Liga Nacional this season:
  • Achuapa have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Achuapa have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Achuapa have the fewest matches over the total-line (5) in Liga Nacional
  • Achuapa have the fewest points from losing position (3) in Liga Nacional
  • Achuapa have the fewest scored goals in the second half (10) in Liga Nacional
  • Achuapa have the most matches under the total-line (17) in Liga Nacional
  • Achuapa have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Santa Lucia have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Santa Lucia have scored more than double the goals of Achuapa.
  • Santa Lucia have the fewest clean sheets (5) at home in Liga Nacional
  • Santa Lucia have won significantly more corners at home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Antigua GFC 22 14 4 4 36 13 11 8 3 0 25 7 11 6 1 4 11 6 23 46
2 Comunicaciones 22 13 5 4 37 19 11 7 3 1 21 9 11 6 2 3 16 10 18 44
3 Municipal 22 11 6 5 30 15 11 7 3 1 19 7 11 4 3 4 11 8 15 39
4 Malacateco 22 10 6 6 36 23 11 8 1 2 25 9 11 2 5 4 11 14 13 36
5 Santa Lucia 22 8 12 2 28 25 11 4 6 1 16 13 11 4 6 1 12 12 3 36
6 Xelaju 22 8 6 8 18 23 11 6 3 2 12 4 11 2 3 6 6 19 -5 30
7 Iztapa 22 8 4 10 30 36 11 8 1 2 19 10 11 0 3 8 11 26 -6 28
8 Solola 22 6 7 9 21 32 11 3 3 5 11 17 11 3 4 4 10 15 -11 25
9 Guastatoya 22 5 8 9 18 23 11 4 5 2 13 11 11 1 3 7 5 12 -5 23
10 Cobán Imperial 22 5 5 12 22 31 11 3 3 5 9 10 11 2 2 7 13 21 -9 20
11 Achuapa 22 3 7 12 12 24 11 3 2 6 5 10 11 0 5 6 7 14 -12 16
12 Nueva Concepcion 22 4 4 14 12 36 11 4 4 3 9 9 11 0 0 11 3 27 -24 16

Read more about Liga Nacional

Liga Nacional de Fútbol de Guatamala (National football league of Guatemala) is the top level of Guatemalan football. It was formerly known as Liga Mayor “A”. It was founded in 1919. The league has twelve teams meeting each other twice in two stages, Apertura and Clausura.