Super League preview: Can PAOK edge out victory against Aris?

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Competition: Greece Super League
Competition: Sun 07.March
Match begins: 17:30 (UTC)
Venue: Stadio Toumbas (28703 seats)

Both teams are enjoying a good season so far and games like this could be decisive. Here's the preview for PAOK - Aris!

Insights:
  • PAOK have the most matches over the total-line (15) in Super League
  • Aris have the most clean sheets (15) in Super League

It's no vacation for neither PAOK nor Aris as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

D L W W W

PAOK form and stats

28 points is a decent return from 12 Super League games here at Stadio Toumbas for PAOK. The data says 8 wins, 4 draws and 0 losses.

PAOK drew their last game, 1-1 away at Lamia (placed 12th). Prior to that, an away loss at Asteras Tripolis in the Super League.

A painful moment in the game against Lamia was the missed penalty kick from S. Schwab in the 45th minute. A goal there would obviously have changed the match and probably the outcome.

The betting market estimate that the home team has about 55-60% chance of winning this match. There could be betting value if you think differently, so to help you here are the stats from PAOK's earlier matches at home being 55%-60% favourite: Played two games, won two matches, drawn zero and lost zero.

PAOK can score goals in their home matches. After 12 league matches they have found the net 28 times. PAOK are not conceding a lot of goals here at Stadio Toumbas in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 9 from 12 matches.

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Aris form and stats

Aris, who have the most clean sheets (15) in Super League, have an excellent away record in the Super League so far with 7-3-2 from 12 games.

There were no winners in Aris's previous match, a Greek Cup home game that ended 1-1 vs Olympiakos Piraeus (placed 1st). That result followed a home victory 3-0 versus Atromitos in the Super League.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Aris playing away, we found four games. Results were two away wins, one draw and one home win.

The visiting Aris have scored more than one goal per away game in the league so far. The grand total is 16 goals from 12 games. They concede less than a goal on average per away game (7 so far).

Head 2 Head

This is the result when the teams met earlier this season; Aris - PAOK 1-0. PAOK-Aris H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: PAOK three wins, Aris two wins, five draws. four of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

PAOKK. Świderski
K. Świderski
9 goals
PAOKC. Tzolis
C. Tzolis
6 goals
PAOKA. Živković
A. Živković
5 goals

PAOK missing players

Aris missing players

PAOK Aris
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
24 12 2 Played P 2 12 24
13 8 0 Won W 1 7 14
7 4 2 Drew D 1 3 5
4 0 0 Lost L 0 2 5
46 28 3 Scored S 3 16 31
22 9 3 Conceded C 1 7 14
96% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 92% 92%
88% 92% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 58% 50%
58% 67% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 33% 33%
33% 42% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 8% 12%
8% 8% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
54% 58% 100% BTTS BTTS 50% 25% 25%
38% 42% 0% Clean Sheets C S 50% 67% 62%
12% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 17% 21%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.3 2.6 3.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.5 2.6 2.5
1 1 0 Red cards R C 0 2 2
 
14.1 14.7 13 Shots (avg) S ( 8.5 8.2 9.5
6.1 6.3 6 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4 3.9 4.3
31% 37% 25% Goal Efficiency G E 38% 34% 30%
Key stats in Super League this season:
  • Aris have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Aris have the fewest conceded goals (7) away in Super League
  • Aris have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (5) in Super League
  • Aris have the fewest dropped points from leading position (3) in Super League
  • Aris have the most clean sheets (15) in Super League
  • Aris have the most clean sheets (8) away in Super League
  • PAOK have not yet lost a game at home.
  • PAOK have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • PAOK have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • PAOK have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • PAOK have the most matches over the total-line (15) in Super League
  • PAOK haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Olympiakos Piraeus 24 19 4 1 58 12 12 11 1 0 32 3 12 8 3 1 26 9 46 61
2 Aris 24 14 5 5 31 14 12 7 2 3 15 7 12 7 3 2 16 7 17 47
3 PAOK 24 13 7 4 46 22 12 8 4 0 28 9 12 5 3 4 18 13 24 46
4 AEK Athens 24 13 6 5 39 28 12 5 4 3 19 15 12 8 2 2 20 13 11 45
5 Panathinaikos 24 12 6 6 28 17 12 6 4 2 13 6 12 6 2 4 15 11 11 42
6 Asteras Tripolis 24 11 8 5 26 23 12 7 3 2 13 9 12 4 5 3 13 14 3 41
7 Volos NFC 24 7 9 8 25 31 12 3 4 5 9 13 12 4 5 3 16 18 -6 30
8 Atromitos 24 6 8 10 23 34 12 4 4 4 15 16 12 2 4 6 8 18 -11 26
9 PAS Giannina 24 6 7 11 21 26 12 2 4 6 8 13 12 4 3 5 13 13 -5 25
10 Apollon Smirnis 24 7 4 13 25 33 12 3 1 8 14 21 12 4 3 5 11 12 -8 25
11 OFI 24 5 4 15 20 39 12 2 3 7 10 21 12 3 1 8 10 18 -19 19
12 Lamia 23 4 7 12 12 34 11 2 3 6 7 17 12 2 4 6 5 17 -22 19
13 Panaitolikos 24 3 8 13 12 31 12 3 3 6 10 15 12 0 5 7 2 16 -19 17
14 Larissa 23 2 7 14 13 35 12 1 5 6 6 15 11 1 2 8 7 20 -22 13

Read more about Super League

The Super League is the highest level of football in Greece. The league has 16 teams playing two fixtures against each other, for a total of 30 games each. The season runs from August to May to decide a final league table. The “big three” (Olympiacos, Panathinaikos and AEK Athens; all from Athens) dominate this league.