Super League prediction and preview: AEK Athens modest favorites to beat Panathinaikos

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Competition: Greece Super League
Competition: Sun 09.February
Match begins: 17:30 (UTC)
Venue: Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis (69638 seats)

Both teams are enjoying a good season so far and games like this could be decisive. Here's the preview for AEK Athens - Panathinaikos!

It's no vacation for neither AEK Athens nor Panathinaikos as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

This is a local derby, usually meaning added tension and importance.

AEK Athens are staying put; they can neither be promoted or relegated this season and are fighting only for positions. Panathinaikos are still fighting for top positions and their benefits.

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AEK Athens form and stats

24 points is a decent return from 11 Super League games here at Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis for AEK Athens. The data says 7 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss. In general it's been a long time since AEK Athens tasted defeat here at Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis, as they have taken at least one point from their last ten home games.

The AEK Athens goalkeeper Vasileios Barkas is looking to record 90 more "clean sheet" minutes as his team have now played 181 minutes without conceding a goal in the Super League.

AEK Athens drew their last game, 1-1 away at Panaitolikos (placed 13th). A strong away win before that one, visiting Atromitos and winning 1-0.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does AEK Athens handle that role? We have found one game in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are zero wins, zero draws and one defeat.

The AEK Athens manager M. Carrera has got the team scoring with 25 from 11 home games in the league. AEK Athens have conceded 11 in these home matches.

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Panathinaikos form and stats

4-5-2 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Panathinaikos in their Super League matches away. Panathinaikos have been producing wins at home as well, producing a total of five victories in a row regardless of arena. Panathinaikos has recorded two wins in a row in their away matches and hold legitimate hopes of a third one.

466 minutes! That's how long the Panathinaikos goalkeeper Sokratis Dioudis and his defense have shut out their league opponents.

It might be tough going out on the road again for Panathinaikos, facing their second straight away game. Especially as the previous game, ended with a defeat 0-2 versus PAOK (placed 2nd). Prior to that match, a home win 2-0 against PAOK in the Super League.

Panathinaikos are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is zero wins, zero draws and two defeats. From a total of two matches.

A quick return to home after this game, as Panathinaikos are hosting PAOK in the Greek Cup only three days away.

The visitors have scored 10 goals from 11 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. They concede less than a goal on average per away game (10 so far).

Head 2 Head

The teams have played each other before this season, with the result AEK Athens - Panathinaikos 1-0 entered in the official records. Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: three wins for AEK Athens, four draws and three wins for Panathinaikos. Over 2,5 goals: three times; under 2,5 goals: seven games.

Top Goalscorers

AEK AthensN. Castro Oliveira
N. Castro Oliveira
9 goals
PanathinaikosF. Macheda
F. Macheda
8 goals
AEK AthensM. Livaja
M. Livaja
6 goals

AEK Athens missing players

Panathinaikos missing players

AEK Athens Panathinaikos
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
22 11 2 Played P 2 11 22
12 7 0 Won W 0 4 10
5 3 2 Drew D 1 5 7
5 1 0 Lost L 1 2 5
36 25 2 Scored S 2 10 27
21 11 2 Conceded C 3 10 19
86% 91% 50% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 91% 91%
64% 91% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 55% 64%
50% 73% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 18% 32%
36% 45% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 18% 18%
23% 27% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 5%
45% 64% 50% BTTS BTTS 50% 36% 36%
41% 36% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 45% 50%
27% 9% 50% Failed to Score F T 50% 27% 23%
 
5.8 6.9 3 Corners for (avg) C F 2 4.1 5
4 3.5 6 Corners against (avg) C A 4 3.5 3
2.7 2.2 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4.5 3.6 3
6 2 1 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
256 148 21 Total Shots T S 9 113 223
103 60 5 Shots on Target S O 6 51 100
35% 42% 40% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 20% 27%
Key stats in Super League this season:
  • AEK Athens have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • AEK Athens have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • AEK Athens have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Panathinaikos have scored away.
  • Panathinaikos have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Olympiakos Piraeus 22 16 6 0 45 9 11 10 1 0 27 6 11 6 5 0 18 3 36 54
2 PAOK 22 16 4 2 43 20 11 9 2 0 24 8 11 7 2 2 19 12 23 52
3 AEK Athens 22 12 5 5 36 21 11 7 3 1 25 11 11 5 2 4 11 10 15 41
4 Panathinaikos 22 10 7 5 27 19 11 6 2 3 17 9 11 4 5 2 10 10 8 37
5 Aris 22 8 8 6 34 26 11 7 2 2 24 10 11 1 6 4 10 16 8 32
6 OFI 22 8 4 10 31 28 11 6 2 3 18 9 11 2 2 7 13 19 3 28
7 Xanthi 23 8 4 11 20 30 11 4 3 4 11 10 12 4 1 7 9 20 -10 28
8 Atromitos 22 7 5 10 28 33 11 4 4 3 16 11 11 3 1 7 12 22 -5 26
9 Larissa 23 6 8 9 24 31 11 4 3 4 13 13 12 2 5 5 11 18 -7 26
10 Asteras Tripolis 22 7 4 11 30 32 11 6 2 3 21 14 11 1 2 8 9 18 -2 25
11 Lamia 23 5 10 8 17 28 12 3 7 2 9 11 11 2 3 6 8 17 -11 25
12 Volos NFC 22 7 4 11 21 36 11 5 2 4 13 15 11 2 2 7 8 21 -15 25
13 Panaitolikos 22 2 7 13 17 36 11 2 4 5 9 14 11 0 3 8 8 22 -19 13
14 Panionios 23 4 4 15 15 39 12 3 3 6 9 11 11 1 1 9 6 28 -24 10

Read more about Super League

The Super League is the highest level of football in Greece. The league has 16 teams playing two fixtures against each other, for a total of 30 games each. The season runs from August to May to decide a final league table. The “big three” (Olympiacos, Panathinaikos and AEK Athens; all from Athens) dominate this league.