Regionalliga: Nordost prediction and pre-match guide: Luckenwalde odds-on favoured to overcome Greifswalder FC

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Competition: Germany Regionalliga: Nordost
Competition: Sun 14.May
Match begins: 11:00 (UTC)
Venue: Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion (3000 seats)

Very important duel in the "wrong" end of the Regionalliga: Nordost, with both Luckenwalde and Greifswalder FC experiencing more stress than glee. This match is a real "six-pointer" with the team playing at home at 13th and the away team in 14th place.

Insights:
  • Luckenwalde have the most dropped points from leading position (24) in Regionalliga: Nordost
  • Greifswalder FC have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Luckenwalde form and stats

The story so far in the Regionalliga: Nordost for Luckenwalde at their home stadium (Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion) is 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats.

It's back home for Luckenwalde, who return with a good feeling about themselves after beating Tennis Borussia away with the result 3-1. Butendeich, Flath and Žižka found the net in that victory.

Before that game, the home loss against Viktoria Berlin with the scoreline 2-3.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Luckenwalde have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 6 games) they have won 2 times, drawn 1 and lost 3.

Luckenwalde has scored 21 league goals at home this season, in 15 matches. 21 goals have been conceded.

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Greifswalder FC form and stats

Greifswalder FC have only collected 11 points from their away games in the Regionalliga: Nordost, after 3-2-10 (15 played). It's looking increasingly bleak for Greifswalder FC who now has to deal with a four game losing streak. Germania Halberstadt was the last time a defeat was avoided.

Greifswalder failed to get anything from their last game, a home match vs Altglienicke (placed 6th) that ended with defeat 1-2.

Preceding that game, the 1-3 loss visiting Chemie Leipzig's place.

Greifswalder FC are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats. From a total of 5 matches.

Take note! Both teams have scored at least one goal in 9 of this club's last 12 league matches.

The visitors have scored 14 goals from 15 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. The Greifswalder FC manager Fuchs has some worries about the defense as 31 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

Greifswalder FC - Luckenwalde 1-1 was the score in these contenders' previous head to head fixture, earlier this season.

Top Goalscorers

LuckenwaldeC. Flath
C. Flath
9 goals
Greifswalder FCS. Benyamina
S. Benyamina
9 goals
Greifswalder FCJ. Richardson
J. Richardson
7 goals

Luckenwalde missing players

Greifswalder FC missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Luckenwalde Greifswalder FC
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
31 15 3 Played P 3 15 31
8 5 1 Won W 1 3 9
11 5 1 Drew D 2 2 7
12 5 1 Lost L 0 10 15
34 21 5 Scored S 4 14 43
48 21 6 Conceded C 1 31 50
94% 93% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 67% 93% 94%
81% 73% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 87% 87%
48% 53% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 67% 65%
32% 40% 67% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 40% 39%
10% 20% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 13% 16%
61% 73% 100% BTTS BTTS 33% 53% 55%
13% 13% 0% Clean Sheets C S 67% 13% 19%
32% 20% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 40% 32%
 
4.2 4.6 4.7 Corners for (avg) C F 3.7 4.1 2.2
4.2 3.1 3.3 Corners against (avg) C A 2.3 4.7 2.6
2.3 2.3 1.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.3 2 1.1
4 2 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
8.3 9 10.7 Shots (avg) S ( 6.7 6.8 3.7
3.7 4.1 3.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4 2.9 1.6
30% 34% 45% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 32% 84%
 
9.6 8.1 3.7 Shots against (avg) S A 4.3 9 4.8
3.9 3.5 2.3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2.3 4.4 2.4
Key stats in Regionalliga: Nordost this season:
  • Greifswalder FC have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Greifswalder FC have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Greifswalder FC have won significantly more corners away than at home.
  • Luckenwalde have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Luckenwalde have the most dropped points from leading position (24) in Regionalliga: Nordost

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Energie Cottbus 32 20 6 6 64 28 16 12 2 2 37 12 16 8 4 4 27 16 36 66
2 Rot-Wei Erfurt 32 18 8 6 61 29 16 10 3 3 34 12 16 8 5 3 27 17 32 62
3 Carl Zeiss Jena 32 16 11 5 54 19 16 9 7 0 25 6 16 7 4 5 29 13 35 59
4 Lokomotive Leipzig 32 17 6 9 55 38 16 11 2 3 32 14 16 6 4 6 23 24 17 57
5 BFC Dynamo 32 15 10 7 54 39 16 10 3 3 31 18 16 5 7 4 23 21 15 55
6 Altglienicke 32 15 8 9 61 37 16 5 5 6 34 25 16 10 3 3 27 12 24 53
7 Chemie Leipzig 32 14 9 9 48 43 16 8 6 2 31 16 16 6 3 7 17 27 5 51
8 Chemnitzer FC 32 13 10 9 45 30 16 8 4 4 26 11 16 5 6 5 19 19 15 49
9 Babelsberg 32 13 10 9 46 37 16 5 6 5 19 16 16 8 4 4 27 21 9 49
10 Viktoria Berlin 31 12 9 10 44 41 16 4 6 6 21 22 15 8 3 4 23 19 3 45
11 Hertha BSC II 31 13 6 12 50 50 16 9 1 6 27 23 15 4 5 6 23 27 0 45
12 BAK '07 31 13 4 14 41 45 15 7 1 7 28 27 16 6 3 7 13 18 -4 43
13 Luckenwalde 31 8 11 12 34 48 15 5 5 5 21 21 16 3 6 7 13 27 -14 35
14 Greifswalder FC 31 9 7 15 43 50 16 6 5 5 29 19 15 3 2 10 14 31 -7 34
15 ZFC Meuselwitz 31 8 2 21 38 66 15 5 1 9 20 27 16 3 1 12 18 39 -28 26
16 Lichtenberg 32 5 11 16 33 64 16 3 6 7 17 23 16 2 5 9 16 41 -31 26
17 Germania Halberstadt 32 2 10 20 29 69 16 2 6 8 16 30 16 0 4 12 13 39 -40 16
18 Tennis Borussia 32 3 4 25 24 91 16 2 2 12 12 42 16 1 2 13 12 49 -67 13

Germany:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Energie Cottbus 32 20 6 6 64 28 16 12 2 2 37 12 16 8 4 4 27 16 36 66
2 Rot-Wei Erfurt 32 18 8 6 61 29 16 10 3 3 34 12 16 8 5 3 27 17 32 62
3 Carl Zeiss Jena 32 16 11 5 54 19 16 9 7 0 25 6 16 7 4 5 29 13 35 59
4 Lokomotive Leipzig 32 17 6 9 55 38 16 11 2 3 32 14 16 6 4 6 23 24 17 57
5 BFC Dynamo 32 15 10 7 54 39 16 10 3 3 31 18 16 5 7 4 23 21 15 55
6 Altglienicke 32 15 8 9 61 37 16 5 5 6 34 25 16 10 3 3 27 12 24 53
7 Chemie Leipzig 32 14 9 9 48 43 16 8 6 2 31 16 16 6 3 7 17 27 5 51
8 Chemnitzer FC 32 13 10 9 45 30 16 8 4 4 26 11 16 5 6 5 19 19 15 49
9 Babelsberg 32 13 10 9 46 37 16 5 6 5 19 16 16 8 4 4 27 21 9 49
10 Viktoria Berlin 31 12 9 10 44 41 16 4 6 6 21 22 15 8 3 4 23 19 3 45
11 Hertha BSC II 31 13 6 12 50 50 16 9 1 6 27 23 15 4 5 6 23 27 0 45
12 BAK '07 31 13 4 14 41 45 15 7 1 7 28 27 16 6 3 7 13 18 -4 43
13 Luckenwalde 31 8 11 12 34 48 15 5 5 5 21 21 16 3 6 7 13 27 -14 35
14 Greifswalder FC 31 9 7 15 43 50 16 6 5 5 29 19 15 3 2 10 14 31 -7 34
15 ZFC Meuselwitz 31 8 2 21 38 66 15 5 1 9 20 27 16 3 1 12 18 39 -28 26
16 Lichtenberg 32 5 11 16 33 64 16 3 6 7 17 23 16 2 5 9 16 41 -31 26
17 Germania Halberstadt 32 2 10 20 29 69 16 2 6 8 16 30 16 0 4 12 13 39 -40 16
18 Tennis Borussia 32 3 4 25 24 91 16 2 2 12 12 42 16 1 2 13 12 49 -67 13

More from Germany - Regionalliga: Nordost

Read more about Regionalliga: Nordost

The Regionalliga is the fourth level of football in Germany. It is divided into five groups based on regional location, leading to the names Regionalliga Südwest, Regionalliga West, Regionalliga Bayern, Regionalliga Nord and Regionalliga Nordost. Each group usually has 18 teams.