Oberliga: Mittelrhein prediction: Home win expected when Wegberg-Beeck takes on BCV Glesch / Paffendorf

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Competition: Germany Oberliga: Mittelrhein
Competition: Fri 14.April
Match begins: 18:00 (UTC)
Venue: Waldstadion (5000 seats)

Wegberg-Beeck are positioned 1st, while BCV Glesch / Paffendorf are hanging back 21 points behind in the standings. Will they shorten the gap?

Insights:
  • Wegberg-Beeck have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (4) in Oberliga: Mittelrhein
  • Wegberg-Beeck have created more than twice as many corners as BCV Glesch / Paffendorf.

There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.

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Wegberg-Beeck form and stats

Home games in the Oberliga: Mittelrhein have been a walk in the park for Wegberg-Beeck so far, with 25 points won from 9 matches; 8 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses.

The Wegberg-Beeck coach Burlet and his team return home after a 1-1 draw away versus Fortuna Köln II (placed 12th).

In the match before that, Wegberg-Beeck hosted Bergisch Gladbach and drew the game 1-1.

Wegberg-Beeck always seem capable of creating a buzz here at Waldstadion with 28 goals in 9 league games. Wegberg-Beeck have showed great defending skills in these home games, allowing the opposition to score only {4 goals}.

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BCV Glesch / Paffendorf form and stats

Playing away, BCV Glesch / Paffendorf have won 5 games, drawn 1 and suffered 4 defeats in the Oberliga: Mittelrhein this season. Having won their last three away games Paffendorf has no reason to fear anyone.

The manager was unhappy after their last game, played at their home venue. BCV Glesch / Paffendorf suffered a 0-6 loss to TuS BW Konigsdorf (placed 8th). As you can see from the result above, the defeat against TuS BW Konigsdorf was particularly ugly (0-6). The humiliation is still top of mind.

Preceding that game was the away victory against Borussia Freialdenhoven with the score of 5-1.

With the hosting team given a victory probability of roughly 80% by the bookies, any positive result for the visiting team would be an eye-opener. Inspecting previous matches with similar odds and BCV Glesch / Paffendorf as the visiting side, we found 4 results. The numbers from these were 0 away wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats. The away team lost 4 of these fixtures by a margin of at least two goals.

Goal hungry football fans should note that 15 of this team's 20 most recent league rounds have ended with three or more goals.

With an average of more than two away goals per league game away, Paffendorf are regular goalscorers on their travels. It's worth mentioning that 11 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. BCV Glesch / Paffendorf struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 19 goals conceded from these games.

Head 2 Head

This duo played each other earlier on this season: BCV Glesch / Paffendorf - Wegberg-Beeck 1-5. Head-2-head stats last three meetings: one - zero - two (Wegberg-Beeck wins - draws - BCV Glesch / Paffendorf wins). As for goals, two matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), one had two or less.

Wegberg-Beeck missing players

BCV Glesch / Paffendorf missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Wegberg-Beeck BCV Glesch / Paffendorf
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
20 9 3 Played P 2 10 20
14 8 3 Won W 0 5 7
2 1 0 Drew D 0 1 2
4 0 0 Lost L 2 4 11
49 28 8 Scored S 2 22 33
18 4 0 Conceded C 7 19 43
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
95% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 90% 95%
70% 67% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 70% 75%
35% 33% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 60% 45%
15% 22% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 40% 30%
40% 33% 0% BTTS BTTS 50% 50% 60%
45% 67% 100% Clean Sheets C S 0% 30% 20%
15% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 20% 20%
 
2.9 3.3 0 Corners for (avg) C F 3 1.1 0.7
2.5 2.2 0 Corners against (avg) C A 7 3.6 2.3
1.4 1.3 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4 1.3 0.8
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
6.8 8.3 0 Shots (avg) S ( 4 6.4 4.1
4 5.7 0 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1 3.4 2.2
63% 59% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 75% 92%
 
4.5 4.3 0 Shots against (avg) S A 18 10.4 6.6
2.1 2 0 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 10 5.4 3.5
Key stats in Oberliga: Mittelrhein this season:
  • All of Wegberg-Beeck's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • BCV Glesch / Paffendorf have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won.
  • BCV Glesch / Paffendorf have won significantly more corners away than at home.
  • BCV Glesch / Paffendorf haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Wegberg-Beeck have created more than twice as many corners as BCV Glesch / Paffendorf.
  • Wegberg-Beeck have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Wegberg-Beeck have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Wegberg-Beeck have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Wegberg-Beeck have the fewest conceded goals (4) at home in Oberliga: Mittelrhein
  • Wegberg-Beeck have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (4) in Oberliga: Mittelrhein
  • Wegberg-Beeck haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Wegberg-Beeck 20 14 2 4 49 18 9 8 1 0 28 4 11 6 1 4 21 14 31 44
2 Hennef 05 20 14 2 4 43 21 10 7 2 1 23 6 10 7 0 3 20 15 22 44
3 VfL Vichttal 20 12 3 5 52 34 11 9 1 1 39 18 9 3 2 4 13 16 18 39
4 Bonner SC 20 10 6 4 49 18 10 8 1 1 31 6 10 2 5 3 18 12 31 36
5 Bergisch Gladbach 20 10 4 6 34 22 11 8 1 2 26 9 9 2 3 4 8 13 12 34
6 Eintracht Hohkeppel 20 9 6 5 41 34 9 6 2 1 28 13 11 3 4 4 13 21 7 33
7 Frechen 20 9 5 6 33 25 11 7 3 1 19 6 9 2 2 5 14 19 8 32
8 TuS BW Konigsdorf 20 8 2 10 38 29 9 4 1 4 13 12 11 4 1 6 25 17 9 26
9 Borussia Freialdenhoven 20 7 4 9 27 36 9 3 2 4 12 17 11 4 2 5 15 19 -9 25
10 BCV Glesch / Paffendorf 20 7 2 11 33 43 10 2 1 7 11 24 10 5 1 4 22 19 -10 23
11 Hurth 20 5 8 7 26 38 10 3 5 2 13 17 10 2 3 5 13 21 -12 23
12 Fortuna Köln II 20 4 9 7 23 31 10 2 5 3 13 15 10 2 4 4 10 16 -8 21
13 FC BW Friesdorf 20 6 2 12 22 56 10 3 1 6 13 27 10 3 1 6 9 29 -34 20
14 Pesch 20 4 5 11 22 41 10 2 3 5 13 18 10 2 2 6 9 23 -19 17
15 Siegburger SV 20 4 4 12 22 36 10 2 3 5 12 14 10 2 1 7 10 22 -14 16
16 Viktoria Arnoldsweiler 20 3 4 13 18 50 11 3 2 6 12 20 9 0 2 7 6 30 -32 13

Germany:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Wegberg-Beeck 20 14 2 4 49 18 9 8 1 0 28 4 11 6 1 4 21 14 31 44
2 Hennef 05 20 14 2 4 43 21 10 7 2 1 23 6 10 7 0 3 20 15 22 44
3 VfL Vichttal 20 12 3 5 52 34 11 9 1 1 39 18 9 3 2 4 13 16 18 39
4 Bonner SC 20 10 6 4 49 18 10 8 1 1 31 6 10 2 5 3 18 12 31 36
5 Bergisch Gladbach 20 10 4 6 34 22 11 8 1 2 26 9 9 2 3 4 8 13 12 34
6 Eintracht Hohkeppel 20 9 6 5 41 34 9 6 2 1 28 13 11 3 4 4 13 21 7 33
7 Frechen 20 9 5 6 33 25 11 7 3 1 19 6 9 2 2 5 14 19 8 32
8 TuS BW Konigsdorf 20 8 2 10 38 29 9 4 1 4 13 12 11 4 1 6 25 17 9 26
9 Borussia Freialdenhoven 20 7 4 9 27 36 9 3 2 4 12 17 11 4 2 5 15 19 -9 25
10 BCV Glesch / Paffendorf 20 7 2 11 33 43 10 2 1 7 11 24 10 5 1 4 22 19 -10 23
11 Hurth 20 5 8 7 26 38 10 3 5 2 13 17 10 2 3 5 13 21 -12 23
12 Fortuna Köln II 20 4 9 7 23 31 10 2 5 3 13 15 10 2 4 4 10 16 -8 21
13 FC BW Friesdorf 20 6 2 12 22 56 10 3 1 6 13 27 10 3 1 6 9 29 -34 20
14 Pesch 20 4 5 11 22 41 10 2 3 5 13 18 10 2 2 6 9 23 -19 17
15 Siegburger SV 20 4 4 12 22 36 10 2 3 5 12 14 10 2 1 7 10 22 -14 16
16 Viktoria Arnoldsweiler 20 3 4 13 18 50 11 3 2 6 12 20 9 0 2 7 6 30 -32 13

More from Germany - Oberliga: Mittelrhein

Read more about Oberliga: Mittelrhein

The Oberliga is the fifth level of the football league system in Germany. There are currently 14 Oberliga regional leagues: Baden-Wurttemberg, Bayern Nord, Bayern Süd, Bremen, Hamburg, Hessen, Mittelrhein, Niederrhein, Niedersachsen, Nordost-Nord, Nordost-Süd, Rheinland-Pfalz/Saar, Schleswig-Holstein and Westfalen.