Bundesliga match prediction: Little separates VfL Wolfsburg and FSV Mainz 05 in quality

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Competition: Germany Bundesliga
Competition: Sun 30.April
Match begins: 15:30 (UTC)
Venue: VOLKSWAGEN ARENA (30000 seats)

All the points stay with the home side, the away team claims the win or a tactical 0-0 draw? It's all up in the air when the mid-table teams VfL Wolfsburg and FSV Mainz 05 clash at VOLKSWAGEN ARENA.

Insights:
  • VfL Wolfsburg have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • FSV Mainz 05 haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

This looks to be an action-packed game with lots of spark and bustle as both sides are well renewed since they last saw competitive action. Get ready!

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VfL Wolfsburg form and stats

The story so far in the Bundesliga for VfL Wolfsburg at their home stadium (VOLKSWAGEN ARENA) is 4 wins, 7 draws and 3 defeats. The home supporters have been following results with a growing disbelief as Wolfsburg has racked up an amazing four draws in a row here at their own stadium. How long will this continue?

VfL Wolfsburg are returning here after visiting Bochum and winning with a 5-1 scoreline. Waldschmidt, Kamiński, Svanberg (2) and Wimmer scored the goal(s). Sweet to taste a league win after three matches without. As indicated by the result mentioned above, VfL Wolfsburg played a great game against Bochum and beat them comfortably. Expectations are high for this one. Midfielder Nmecha was the best player on the team with a rating of 8.4 (out of ten) in that game. Nmecha served one assist, hit two key passes and dribled past the opponent 6 of 9 times.

Before that, Wolfsburg drew at home versus Bayer 04 Leverkusen.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how VfL Wolfsburg have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found 6 matches with the results: Won 3, drawn 1 and lost 2.

With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the VfL Wolfsburg defense is not exactly impregnable. 22 goals conceded from 14 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

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FSV Mainz 05 form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their Bundesliga travels is 6 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats. In general it has been a productive period now for Mainz as they haven't lost any of their last ten games.

Impressive finishing from Barreiro, Martín and Ajorque secured the home win 3-1 against FC Bayern München in their previous game. Which player has scored four matches in a row for the away team? The correct answer is Ajorque and that is solid stuff! Barreiro got a match rating of 8.04 in that game, top player of the team. Barreiro scored one goal and hit one key pass.

Ahead of that match was the away draw versus FC Köln that ended 1-1.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with FSV Mainz 05 playing away and similar expectations, we found 9 relevant matches. Results were {3 FSV Mainz 05 wins}, 2 draws and 4 defeats.

Betting related statistic: Both sides have scored at least once in 12 of this club's latest 15 league games.

Mainz are not goal shy away from home in the league, finding the net 21 times in 14 away games so far. FSV Mainz 05 struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 22 goals conceded from these games. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

The most up to date registered history featuring both these participants is the FSV Mainz 05 - VfL Wolfsburg 0-3 played earlier this season. Stats for the preceeding ten meetings between these two contenders are: six wins for Wolfsburg, two draws and two wins for FSV Mainz 05. Over 2,5 goals: six times; under 2,5 goals: four games.

Top Goalscorers

FSV Mainz 05K. Onisiwo
K. Onisiwo
9 goals
FSV Mainz 05M. Ingvartsen
M. Ingvartsen
9 goals
FSV Mainz 05J. Lee
J. Lee
7 goals

VfL Wolfsburg missing players

FSV Mainz 05 missing players

VfL Wolfsburg FSV Mainz 05
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
29 14 4 Played P 3 14 29
11 4 0 Won W 2 6 12
10 7 3 Drew D 1 3 9
8 3 1 Lost L 0 5 8
51 28 8 Scored S 4 21 49
37 22 10 Conceded C 1 22 40
90% 86% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 97%
83% 86% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 86% 86%
55% 71% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 57% 59%
41% 64% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 21% 31%
21% 29% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 21% 17%
45% 57% 100% BTTS BTTS 33% 71% 66%
38% 36% 0% Clean Sheets C S 67% 21% 24%
28% 21% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 7% 14%
 
4.5 4.9 4.5 Corners for (avg) C F 4.7 5 4.6
6.1 5.1 5 Corners against (avg) C A 3.3 4.2 4.1
1.9 1.9 2.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.7 2.4 1.9
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
12.4 15.3 12.2 Shots (avg) S ( 9.3 11.8 12.8
4.5 5.3 4.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 3.8 4.6
39% 38% 47% Goal Efficiency G E 44% 40% 37%
 
14.3 12.4 12.5 Shots against (avg) S A 13 14.4 12.3
4.6 3.9 4.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.7 4.8 4
Key stats in Bundesliga this season:
  • FSV Mainz 05 haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • VfL Wolfsburg have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Borussia Dortmund 29 19 3 7 66 39 14 12 1 1 42 13 15 7 2 6 24 26 27 60
2 FC Bayern München 29 17 8 4 79 33 14 9 5 0 44 14 15 8 3 4 35 19 46 59
3 FC Union Berlin 29 16 7 6 44 31 14 9 5 0 25 9 15 7 2 6 19 22 13 55
4 SC Freiburg 29 15 8 6 45 37 15 9 4 2 26 12 14 6 4 4 19 25 8 53
5 RB Leipzig 29 15 6 8 53 37 14 10 2 2 31 15 15 5 4 6 22 22 16 51
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 29 14 5 10 53 41 15 8 2 5 32 19 14 6 3 5 21 22 12 47
7 FSV Mainz 05 29 12 9 8 49 40 15 6 6 3 28 18 14 6 3 5 21 22 9 45
8 VfL Wolfsburg 29 11 10 8 51 37 14 4 7 3 28 22 15 7 3 5 23 15 14 43
9 Eintracht Frankfurt 29 11 9 9 49 45 14 7 4 3 29 16 15 4 5 6 20 29 4 42
10 Borussia Mönchengladbach 29 9 9 11 43 46 15 8 3 4 29 18 14 1 6 7 14 28 -3 36
11 FC Köln 29 8 11 10 40 47 14 5 5 4 22 15 15 3 6 6 18 32 -7 35
12 Werder Bremen 29 10 5 14 47 56 15 5 1 9 24 25 14 5 4 5 23 31 -9 35
13 Augsburg 29 8 6 15 38 54 15 5 4 6 15 21 14 3 2 9 23 33 -16 30
14 TSG Hoffenheim 29 8 5 16 39 50 15 5 2 8 21 26 14 3 3 8 18 24 -11 29
15 Bochum 29 8 3 18 32 66 14 6 1 7 21 29 15 2 2 11 11 37 -34 27
16 VfB Stuttgart 29 5 10 14 36 51 14 4 4 6 19 19 15 1 6 8 17 32 -15 25
17 Schalke 04 29 5 9 15 26 56 15 4 4 7 19 33 14 1 5 8 7 23 -30 24
18 Hertha BSC 29 5 7 17 35 59 15 4 5 6 21 25 14 1 2 11 14 34 -24 22

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The Bundesliga is the top league of the football pyramid in Germany. It is the football league with the highest average stadium attendance worldwide. Bundesliga has 18 teams who play from August to May, a total of 306 fixtures to decide a final league table and the German championship.