Bundesliga prediction and preview: SC Freiburg small front runner to overpower VfB Stuttgart

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Competition: Germany Bundesliga
Competition: Sat 22.January
Match begins: 14:30 (UTC)
Venue: MAGE SOLAR Stadion

SC Freiburg are thought of as probable winners of this home game vs VfB Stuttgart, if the league table is anything to judge by. Or are we in for a surprise?

Insights:
  • SC Freiburg have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • VfB Stuttgart have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.

These are hectic days for the home side, as they had a match only three days ago in the DFB Pokal. At least it's nice to return home after that away game at TSG Hoffenheim.

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SC Freiburg form and stats

When playing at home in the Bundesliga, SC Freiburg have managed 4 wins, 3 draws and suffered 2 defeats from 9 games.

A good away victory last time out for SC Freiburg, who won 4-1 against TSG Hoffenheim (placed 4th). Midfield player Grifo got a match rating of 8.74 in that game, the max score being 10. Grifo scored two goals, hit one key pass and dribled past the opponent 2 of 2 times.

Heartbreak before that as Freiburg lost 1-5 at Borussia Dortmund's place.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does SC Freiburg handle that role? We have found ten games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are four wins, one draw and five defeats.

The Freiburg fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 15 goals in 9 league matches. 11 goals have been conceded.

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VfB Stuttgart form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for VfB Stuttgart so far with only 7 points returning home. The records show 1-4-4 (win-draw-lose).

Forster was the last player to score for the away team. VfB Stuttgart haven't scored a league goal in the last 387 minutes.

VfB Stuttgart might have something to prove in this game as they lost at home in their previous match. RB Leipzig proved too strong as VfB Stuttgart slumped to a 0-2 defeat in front of their own fans at Mercedes-Benz-Arena. Führich got a match rating of 8.45 in that game, top player of the team. Führich hit four key passes, dribled past the opponent 4 of 5 times and had 21 successful passes (of 26 total).

Preceding that game, the 0-0 draw paying a visit to Greuther Furth.

We have checked recent matches where Stuttgart have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those nine games were three victories, two draws and four defeats.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting VfB Stuttgart as they have only managed to score 6 times from 9 away games in the league. As opposed to that, Stuttgart have seen the ball go into their own net 13 times on the road. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

VfB Stuttgart - SC Freiburg 2-3 was the result in these squads' last H2H fixture, played this season. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: three - three - four (SC Freiburg wins - draws - VfB Stuttgart wins). As for goals, nine matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), one had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

SC FreiburgP. Lienhart
P. Lienhart
4 goals
SC FreiburgW. Jeong
W. Jeong
4 goals
SC FreiburgV. Grifo
V. Grifo
4 goals

SC Freiburg missing players

VfB Stuttgart missing players

SC Freiburg VfB Stuttgart
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
19 9 3 Played P 1 9 19
8 4 2 Won W 0 1 4
6 3 1 Drew D 0 4 6
5 2 0 Lost L 1 4 9
31 15 8 Scored S 1 6 22
23 11 3 Conceded C 2 13 33
84% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 78% 89%
84% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 67% 79%
63% 67% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 33% 53%
26% 22% 67% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 22% 42%
16% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 11% 21%
63% 78% 67% BTTS BTTS 100% 44% 58%
32% 11% 33% Clean Sheets C S 0% 33% 16%
21% 11% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 44% 37%
 
5.1 5.6 6 Corners for (avg) C F 3 3.1 4.4
5.6 5.9 5.7 Corners against (avg) C A 2 5 4.4
1 1.1 0.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2.8 2
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
13.4 14.4 16.3 Shots (avg) S ( 13 9.9 12.4
4.8 4.8 6.3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4 2.9 4.2
34% 35% 42% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 23% 28%
 
13.9 11.9 9.7 Shots against (avg) S A 21 18.6 15.8
4.3 3.7 2.3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5 6 5.4
Key stats in Bundesliga this season:
  • All of SC Freiburg's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • SC Freiburg have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • SC Freiburg have scored at least twice as many goals at home as VfB Stuttgart have scored away.
  • SC Freiburg haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • VfB Stuttgart have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • VfB Stuttgart have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Bayern München 19 15 1 3 61 18 10 8 0 2 30 8 9 7 1 1 31 10 43 46
2 Borussia Dortmund 19 13 1 5 49 29 10 9 0 1 31 13 9 4 1 4 18 16 20 40
3 Bayer Leverkusen 19 9 5 5 44 31 9 4 2 3 21 16 10 5 3 2 23 15 13 32
4 TSG Hoffenheim 19 9 4 6 39 29 9 6 2 1 21 9 10 3 2 5 18 20 10 31
5 FC Union Berlin 19 8 7 4 27 24 10 6 3 1 14 9 9 2 4 3 13 15 3 31
6 SC Freiburg 19 8 6 5 31 23 9 4 3 2 15 11 10 4 3 3 16 12 8 30
7 RB Leipzig 19 8 4 7 36 23 10 7 0 3 29 13 9 1 4 4 7 10 13 28
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 19 7 7 5 30 28 9 3 4 2 14 11 10 4 3 3 16 17 2 28
9 Köln 19 7 7 5 30 32 10 5 3 2 18 15 9 2 4 3 12 17 -2 28
10 Mainz 05 19 8 3 8 27 21 10 6 3 1 19 5 9 2 0 7 8 16 6 27
11 Bochum 19 7 2 10 17 27 9 5 2 2 11 6 10 2 0 8 6 21 -10 23
12 Borussia Mönchengladbach 19 6 4 9 25 35 9 4 2 3 15 15 10 2 2 6 10 20 -10 22
13 Hertha BSC 19 6 4 9 21 38 9 4 2 3 13 12 10 2 2 6 8 26 -17 22
14 Wolfsburg 19 6 3 10 17 30 10 3 2 5 8 14 9 3 1 5 9 16 -13 21
15 Augsburg 19 4 7 8 19 30 9 3 3 3 13 16 10 1 4 5 6 14 -11 19
16 Arminia Bielefeld 19 3 9 7 18 26 10 1 6 3 10 15 9 2 3 4 8 11 -8 18
17 VfB Stuttgart 19 4 6 9 22 33 10 3 2 5 16 20 9 1 4 4 6 13 -11 18
18 Greuther Furth 19 1 4 14 15 51 9 1 3 5 7 15 10 0 1 9 8 36 -36 7

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The Bundesliga is the top league of the football pyramid in Germany. It is the football league with the highest average stadium attendance worldwide. Bundesliga has 18 teams who play from August to May, a total of 306 fixtures to decide a final league table and the German championship.