Bundesliga prediction and data: SC Freiburg small betting favourite to overwhelm TSG Hoffenheim

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Competition: Germany Bundesliga
Competition: Sun 12.March
Match begins: 14:30 (UTC)
Venue: MAGE SOLAR Stadion

We would expect a notable contrast in performance between these teams based on the league table so far, with SC Freiburg leading TSG Hoffenheim by 23 points.

Insights:
  • SC Freiburg have the most clean sheets (10) in Bundesliga
  • TSG Hoffenheim is in the worst form (0-0-6)

There have been little to rest for the home side, as they were involved in a Europa League game only three days back. At least it's nice to return home after that away game at Juventus.

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SC Freiburg form and stats

SC Freiburg have performed here at MAGE SOLAR Stadion this season with 7 wins from 11 Bundesliga matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 3 games and lost 1. In general it's been a long time since SC Freiburg tasted defeat here at MAGE SOLAR Stadion, as they have taken at least one point from their last ten home games in the league.

The regulars hope that SC Freiburg will strike back in this fixture, putting things right after the 0-1 away defeat in the Europa League fixture against Juventus. Grifo, an attacker, was the declared top performer for the side in that fixture, receiving a rating of 7.43 (out of 10). Grifo dribled past the opponent 1 of 1 times and had 64 successful passes (of 78 total).

Before that, Freiburg played out a Bundesliga draw 0-0 when visiting Borussia M'gladbach.

The home team are moderate favourites in this game. How does SC Freiburg handle that role? We have found 12 games in our database similar to this one, based on the home odds. The stats for these games are 7 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats.

The match schedule is unforgiving for Freiburg as they have a new game in only four days, a Europa League match thankfully also at home. Juventus are visiting.

The SC Freiburg fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 19 goals in 11 league matches. From these home matches, SC Freiburg have conceded only 9 goals.

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TSG Hoffenheim form and stats

There's been little loot from TSG Hoffenheim's travels as they have only collected 8 points from 11 away games in the Bundesliga. TSG Hoffenheim only have 2 wins to counter their 7 defeats and 2 draws. It's looking increasingly bleak for TSG Hoffenheim who now has to deal with a six game losing streak. Stuttgart was the last time a defeat was avoided.

The attacking players of Hoffenheim have been feeble for some time now, the team not scoring a league goal in the last 283 minutes.

TSG Hoffenheim are travelling again after losing away to Mainz 05 in their previous match (0-1). It's a bit weird; the scoreline 0-1 has repeated itself three times in a row! Kabak was the top performer of the team in that game with a match score of 7.31. The defender Kabak won 7 of 10 duels.

Preceding that, the 0-1 home loss versus Borussia Dortmund.

We have checked recent matches where TSG Hoffenheim have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 6 games were 1 victory, 1 draw and 4 defeats.

Betting related statistic: Both teams have scored in 9 of this club's latest 12 league matches.

Hoffenheim have scored 14 goals on their travels this season, from 11 away games in the league. Defensive performances away have varied in quality as TSG Hoffenheim have conceded 20 goals on the road. For more goal statistics, check out the Statistics tab above. TSG Hoffenheim has visited these top teams three times, and 2 of 3 has ended with 2 goals or more!

Head 2 Head

It's not the first time these two teams meet this season, as the history books show this recent fixture: TSG Hoffenheim - Freiburg 0-0. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): SC Freiburg five wins, two draws and TSG Hoffenheim three victories. As for goals, seven matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), three games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

SC FreiburgV. Grifo
V. Grifo
12 goals
SC FreiburgM. Gregoritsch
M. Gregoritsch
8 goals
TSG HoffenheimC. Baumgartner
C. Baumgartner
5 goals

SC Freiburg missing players

TSG Hoffenheim missing players

SC Freiburg TSG Hoffenheim
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
23 11 3 Played P 3 11 23
12 7 3 Won W 0 2 5
6 3 0 Drew D 0 2 4
5 1 0 Lost L 3 7 14
35 19 6 Scored S 3 14 29
32 9 2 Conceded C 8 20 42
87% 91% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 96%
78% 82% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 73% 74%
52% 45% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 55% 61%
43% 27% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 67% 36% 43%
22% 9% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 18% 22%
48% 64% 67% BTTS BTTS 67% 55% 61%
43% 36% 33% Clean Sheets C S 0% 18% 17%
22% 9% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 27% 26%
 
4.2 4.4 3 Corners for (avg) C F 5.7 4 5.1
4.6 3.6 5 Corners against (avg) C A 6 5.5 5
1.9 1.7 2.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.7 2.8 2.4
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 2 2
 
13 14.7 15.7 Shots (avg) S ( 8.3 9.9 13
5.1 6.5 7.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 3.1 4.3
30% 27% 26% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 41% 29%
 
13.3 12 15 Shots against (avg) S A 15.7 14.5 13.6
4.3 3.1 3.7 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5.7 5.3 5.1
Key stats in Bundesliga this season:
  • SC Freiburg have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • SC Freiburg have the most clean sheets (10) in Bundesliga
  • TSG Hoffenheim have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • TSG Hoffenheim haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • TSG Hoffenheim is in the worst form (0-0-6)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Bayern München 23 14 7 2 66 22 11 7 4 0 34 8 12 7 3 2 32 14 44 49
2 Borussia Dortmund 23 16 1 6 47 28 11 9 1 1 30 11 12 7 0 5 17 17 19 49
3 FC Union Berlin 23 13 5 5 35 27 11 7 4 0 19 8 12 6 1 5 16 19 8 44
4 RB Leipzig 23 12 6 5 46 29 11 8 2 1 25 10 12 4 4 4 21 19 17 42
5 SC Freiburg 23 12 6 5 35 32 11 7 3 1 19 9 12 5 3 4 16 23 3 42
6 Eintracht Frankfurt 23 11 6 6 45 33 11 7 1 3 26 13 12 4 5 3 19 20 12 39
7 Mainz 05 23 10 5 8 38 34 12 5 4 3 22 14 11 5 1 5 16 20 4 35
8 VfL Wolfsburg 23 9 7 7 42 31 11 4 4 3 25 19 12 5 3 4 17 12 11 34
9 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 23 9 4 10 40 37 12 5 2 5 25 17 11 4 2 5 15 20 3 31
10 Borussia M'gladbach 23 8 6 9 38 39 12 7 2 3 25 15 11 1 4 6 13 24 -1 30
11 Werder Bremen 23 9 3 11 35 43 12 5 1 6 20 18 11 4 2 5 15 25 -8 30
12 Köln 23 6 9 8 32 36 11 5 3 3 21 12 12 1 6 5 11 24 -4 27
13 Augsburg 23 8 3 12 28 39 12 5 2 5 12 16 11 3 1 7 16 23 -11 27
14 Hertha BSC 23 5 5 13 28 44 12 4 4 4 18 19 11 1 1 9 10 25 -16 20
15 Stuttgart 23 4 7 12 28 40 12 4 3 5 16 15 11 0 4 7 12 25 -12 19
16 TSG Hoffenheim 23 5 4 14 29 42 12 3 2 7 15 22 11 2 2 7 14 20 -13 19
17 Schalke 04 23 4 7 12 18 42 12 3 3 6 12 26 11 1 4 6 6 16 -24 19
18 Bochum 23 6 1 16 24 56 11 5 1 5 17 21 12 1 0 11 7 35 -32 19

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The Bundesliga is the top league of the football pyramid in Germany. It is the football league with the highest average stadium attendance worldwide. Bundesliga has 18 teams who play from August to May, a total of 306 fixtures to decide a final league table and the German championship.