RB Leipzig vs Mainz 05 betting preview: Visitors should struggle at Red Bull Arena

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Competition: Germany Bundesliga
Date: Sat 02.November
Match begins: 15:30 (UTC)
Venue: Red Bull Arena (42558 seats)

The league table in Bundesliga tells a story about these teams so far, with RB Leipzig leading Mainz 05 by 6 points. Match preview to follow:

Both teams have had enough rest since their last competitive action. Let's hope for an energetic game!

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RB Leipzig form and stats

RB Leipzig have collected 5 points from their Bundesliga home games so far after 1-2-1.

RB Leipzig lost their last game at Freiburg (placed 3rd) after a 1-2 scoreline. Before that game, the 2-1 home victory against Zenit.

RB Leipzig are believed to win this game, given a winning chance of about 70% by the bookmakers. We have checked our records for their performance in similar circumstances and found four matches and the win/draw/lost stats: W2-D2-L0.

RB Leipzig are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 5 goals in 4 attempts. Defensively it’s touch-and-go for the home team as 6 goals have been conceded.

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Mainz 05 form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their Bundesliga travels is 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats.

Mainz 05 are travelling after their nice 3-1 home win in the Bundesliga against Köln (placed 16th). Preceding that game, the 0-1 loss visiting Fortuna Dusseldorf's place.

Goalkeeper Robin Zentner was absolutely vital in the Mainz 05 victory against Köln, making 7 saves.

We have done a similar check as we did with the hometeam, looking up recent matches where Mainz 05 played away with similar odds. This revealed one game. The visitors overcame the odds to win 1 time, 0 were draws and the home team won as expected 0 times.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Mainz 05 as they have only managed to score 4 times from 5 away games in the league. People interested in "over 2,5 goals" betting will like to know that Mainz 05 concede an average of more than 2,5 goals per away match all on their own.

Head 2 Head

Numbers for the last six meetings between these two teams are: 3 wins for RB Leipzig, 2 draws and 1 win for Mainz 05. Over 2,5 goals: 6 times; under 2,5 goals: 0 games.

Top Goalscorers

RB LeipzigT. Werner
T. Werner
6 goals
Mainz 05R. Quaison
R. Quaison
4 goals
RB LeipzigM. Sabitzer
M. Sabitzer
2 goals / 3 assists

RB Leipzig missing players

Mainz 05 missing players

RB Leipzig Mainz 05
Total Home Home vs low Statistics Stat Away vs top Away Total
9 4 0 Played P 2 5 9
4 1 0 Won W 0 1 3
3 2 0 Drew D 0 0 0
2 1 0 Lost L 2 4 6
17 5 0 Scored S 1 4 10
10 6 0 Conceded C 9 13 19
100% 100% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 80% 78%
67% 50% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 80% 78%
33% 25% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 20% 33%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 20% 11%
78% 100% 0% BTTS BTTS 50% 60% 67%
22% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 0%
0% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 40% 33%
 
4.4 4.5 0 Corners For (avg) C F 3 4.4 5.1
4.3 3.5 0 Corners Against (avg) C A 7.5 7 6
1.8 2 0 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 3 3 2.6
1 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 1 1
Key stats this season:
  • All of RB Leipzig's matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Mainz 05 have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Mainz 05 have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their matches.
  • Mainz 05 have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Mainz 05 haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • RB Leipzig have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their home matches.
  • RB Leipzig have scored in all their matches so far.
  • RB Leipzig haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

RB Leipzig
02-10-19 CL RB Leipzig 0 - 2 Olympique Lyonnais
05-10-19 BU Bayer Leverkusen 1 - 1 RB Leipzig
19-10-19 BU RB Leipzig 1 - 1 Wolfsburg
23-10-19 CL RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Zenit
26-10-19 BU Freiburg 2 - 1 RB Leipzig
30-10-19 DFB Wolfsburg 18:30 RB Leipzig
02-11-19 BU RB Leipzig 15:30 Mainz 05
05-11-19 CL Zenit 18:55 RB Leipzig
09-11-19 BU Hertha BSC 15:30 RB Leipzig
23-11-19 BU RB Leipzig 18:30 Köln
Mainz 05
20-09-19 BU Schalke 04 2 - 1 Mainz 05
28-09-19 BU Mainz 05 0 - 1 Wolfsburg
05-10-19 BU Paderborn 1 - 2 Mainz 05
19-10-19 BU Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 - 0 Mainz 05
25-10-19 BU Mainz 05 3 - 1 Köln
02-11-19 BU RB Leipzig 15:30 Mainz 05
09-11-19 BU Mainz 05 15:30 Union Berlin
24-11-19 BU Hoffenheim 18:00 Mainz 05
02-12-19 BU Mainz 05 20:30 Eintracht Frankfurt
07-12-19 BU Augsburg 15:30 Mainz 05

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Borussia M'gladbach 9 6 1 2 19 9 5 3 1 1 12 7 4 3 0 1 7 2 10 19
2 Bayern München 9 5 3 1 24 11 5 3 1 1 15 6 4 2 2 0 9 5 13 18
3 Freiburg 9 5 2 2 17 10 5 2 2 1 9 6 4 3 0 1 8 4 7 17
4 Wolfsburg 9 4 5 0 11 5 5 2 3 0 5 3 4 2 2 0 6 2 6 17
5 Borussia Dortmund 9 4 4 1 20 11 4 3 1 0 12 3 5 1 3 1 8 8 9 16
6 RB Leipzig 9 4 3 2 17 10 4 1 2 1 5 6 5 3 1 1 12 4 7 15
7 Schalke 04 9 4 3 2 14 9 5 2 2 1 6 5 4 2 1 1 8 4 5 15
8 Bayer Leverkusen 9 4 3 2 14 13 5 2 3 0 8 5 4 2 0 2 6 8 1 15
9 Eintracht Frankfurt 9 4 2 3 16 14 5 3 2 0 10 5 4 1 0 3 6 9 2 14
10 Hoffenheim 9 4 2 3 11 13 4 2 0 2 5 8 5 2 2 1 6 5 -2 14
11 Hertha BSC 9 3 2 4 15 16 4 2 0 2 7 8 5 1 2 2 8 8 -1 11
12 Werder Bremen 9 2 4 3 15 19 4 1 1 2 5 9 5 1 3 1 10 10 -4 10
13 Mainz 05 9 3 0 6 10 19 4 2 0 2 6 6 5 1 0 4 4 13 -9 9
14 Fortuna Dusseldorf 9 2 1 6 10 16 4 1 1 2 4 6 5 1 0 4 6 10 -6 7
15 Union Berlin 9 2 1 6 9 15 5 2 0 3 7 9 4 0 1 3 2 6 -6 7
16 Köln 9 2 1 6 9 19 4 1 0 3 4 8 5 1 1 3 5 11 -10 7
17 Augsburg 9 1 4 4 10 21 4 1 2 1 5 7 5 0 2 3 5 14 -11 7
18 Paderborn 9 1 1 7 11 22 5 1 0 4 7 13 4 0 1 3 4 9 -11 4