Bundesliga preview: Can RB Leipzig edge out victory against Bayer 04 Leverkusen?

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Competition: Germany Bundesliga
Competition: Sat 29.October
Match begins: 13:30 (UTC)
Venue: Red Bull Arena (42558 seats)

Bundesliga: What this match might miss in glamour it should pay back in energy and dedication. Get set for RB Leipzig - Bayer 04 Leverkusen!

Insights:
  • RB Leipzig have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen have the most matches over the total-line (9) in Bundesliga

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for RB Leipzig and Bayer 04 Leverkusen.

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RB Leipzig form and stats

RB Leipzig have played 5 Bundesliga games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 4-1-0 (wins-draws-losses). Ever since the Köln game Leipzig has been unbeatable here at Red Bull Arena producing four straight wins.

RB Leipzig's previous fixture was a Champions League game also played at their home, ending 3-2 vs Real Madrid. The home team are looking to continue in that form. Simakan, defender, was given a rating of 8.01/10 in that game, top of the team. Simakan served one assist, hit one key pass and won 8 of 9 duels.

Preceding that game was the away draw at Augsburg that finished 3-3.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Leipzig have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 6 games) they have won 4 times, drawn 1 and lost 1.

Goal fest? Nobody knows the future, but we do know that 8 of the 10 most recent league games with this side has had three or more goals.

There's a new game coming up fairly quickly for RB Leipzig as they are travelling to their away game against Shakhtar Donetsk in the Champions League. That match is four days after this one.

Goals are plentiful at Red Bull Arena in the league this season as RB Leipzig has scored 14 goals here in 5 home games. RB Leipzig have only conceded 4 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Bayer 04 Leverkusen form and stats

The visitors are W1-D1-L3 on the road this term. That's in the Bundesliga. The travelling fans think it's time that their travel expenses are covered with some points now, as Leverkusen have lost on their last two travels.

It's another away game for the visitors, as they travelled to Atletico Madrid in their previous outing. The Champions League fixture ended 2-2. Hrádecký was the team player of the game with the player rating of 8.4. The agile goalkeeper Hrádecký saved a penalty.

A 2-2 draw was the result before that, hosting Wolfsburg in the Bundesliga.

We have checked recent matches where Bayer 04 Leverkusen have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 6 games were 2 victories, 0 draws and 4 defeats.

Goal-happy betting people should observe that 9 of this side's 10 latest league games have ended with three or more goals.

After this away game Bayer 04 Leverkusen return home for a Champions League game against Club Brugge. That game is only three sleeps after this.

Scoring goals is the main ingredient in creating success in football, and not only at home. So far Bayer 04 Leverkusen have scored 6 goals in 5 league games away. The Leverkusen manager Olano has some worries about the defense as 12 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's four RB Leipzig victories, four draws and two Bayer 04 Leverkusen wins. Over/under statistics; five of these games ended with three goals or more, five matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

LeipzigC. Nkunku
C. Nkunku
8 goals
Bayer 04 LeverkusenJ. Frimpong
J. Frimpong
5 goals
RB LeipzigW. Orban
W. Orban
3 goals

RB Leipzig missing players

Bayer 04 Leverkusen missing players

RB Leipzig Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
11 5 3 Played P 0 5 11
4 4 3 Won W 0 1 2
4 1 0 Drew D 0 1 3
3 0 0 Lost L 0 3 6
20 14 9 Scored S 0 6 16
18 4 2 Conceded C 0 12 23
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 80% 91%
73% 80% 67% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 80% 82%
45% 60% 67% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 60% 55%
18% 20% 33% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 20% 18%
55% 40% 33% BTTS BTTS 0% 40% 55%
27% 60% 67% Clean Sheets C S 0% 20% 18%
18% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 40% 27%
 
6 6 7.7 Corners for (avg) C F 0 3 4.4
4.2 5 3.3 Corners against (avg) C A 0 4.4 3.8
1.4 1.6 1.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 3 2.3
1 1 0 Red cards R C 0 4 4
 
14.4 15 16 Shots (avg) S ( 0 9 12.9
5.5 7.2 7.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0 4.2 5.5
33% 39% 39% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 29% 26%
 
10 9 8.7 Shots against (avg) S A 0 18.4 13.3
3.5 2.8 3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 0 6.6 5
Key stats in Bundesliga this season:
  • All of RB Leipzig's matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen have the fewest matches under the total-line (2) in Bundesliga
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen have the most matches over the total-line (9) in Bundesliga
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • RB Leipzig have not yet lost a game at home.
  • RB Leipzig have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • RB Leipzig have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • RB Leipzig have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Bayer 04 Leverkusen have scored away.
  • RB Leipzig have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • RB Leipzig haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Union Berlin 11 7 2 2 19 8 5 4 1 0 10 3 6 3 1 2 9 5 11 23
2 FC Bayern München 11 6 4 1 32 8 5 3 2 0 14 3 6 3 2 1 18 5 24 22
3 Freiburg 11 6 3 2 16 13 5 3 1 1 6 4 6 3 2 1 10 9 3 21
4 Eintracht Frankfurt 11 6 2 3 24 18 6 3 1 2 13 9 5 3 1 1 11 9 6 20
5 Borussia Dortmund 11 6 1 4 18 14 6 4 1 1 12 5 5 2 0 3 6 9 4 19
6 FSV Mainz 05 11 5 3 3 16 13 5 1 3 1 7 5 6 4 0 2 9 8 3 18
7 Hoffenheim 11 5 2 4 17 12 6 3 1 2 9 7 5 2 1 2 8 5 5 17
8 RB Leipzig 11 4 4 3 20 18 5 4 1 0 14 4 6 0 3 3 6 14 2 16
9 Borussia M'gladbach 11 4 4 3 19 17 6 4 0 2 13 7 5 0 4 1 6 10 2 16
10 Köln 11 4 4 3 19 22 5 3 1 1 9 6 6 1 3 2 10 16 -3 16
11 Werder Bremen 11 4 3 4 20 18 5 1 1 3 10 10 6 3 2 1 10 8 2 15
12 Augsburg 11 4 2 5 14 19 6 1 2 3 6 12 5 3 0 2 8 7 -5 14
13 Hertha BSC 11 2 5 4 14 16 6 1 4 1 8 8 5 1 1 3 6 8 -2 11
14 Wolfsburg 11 2 5 4 13 19 5 1 3 1 9 10 6 1 2 3 4 9 -6 11
15 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 11 2 3 6 16 23 6 1 2 3 10 11 5 1 1 3 6 12 -7 9
16 Stuttgart 11 1 5 5 13 20 6 1 2 3 7 8 5 0 3 2 6 12 -7 8
17 Bochum 11 2 1 8 11 28 6 2 1 3 7 13 5 0 0 5 4 15 -17 7
18 Schalke 04 11 1 3 7 11 26 5 1 1 3 8 15 6 0 2 4 3 11 -15 6

RB Leipzig:
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Germany:

Read more about Bundesliga

The Bundesliga is the top league of the football pyramid in Germany. It is the football league with the highest average stadium attendance worldwide. Bundesliga has 18 teams who play from August to May, a total of 306 fixtures to decide a final league table and the German championship.