Bundesliga match prediction: Little separates FC Köln and FSV Mainz 05 in quality

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Competition: Germany Bundesliga
Competition: Sat 09.April
Match begins: 13:30 (UTC)
Venue: RheinEnergieStadion (50000 seats)

FC Köln are all set for a new challenge after their 0-1 against Union Berlin in the previous game. FSV Mainz 05 are coming to play!

Insights:
  • FC Köln have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • FSV Mainz 05 have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

It’s a hectic schedule for the away team, as they were in action only three days ago in the Bundesliga. That game, against FC Augsburg, was also an away game. It's a tiring schedule for FSV Mainz 05.

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FC Köln form and stats

When playing at home in the Bundesliga, FC Köln have managed 7 wins, 4 draws and suffered 3 defeats from 14 games.

Köln lost their last game at Union Berlin (placed 7th) after a 0-1 scoreline.

In the preceding match a 1-0 victory visiting Bayer Leverkusen.

This is expected to be a close game, with FC Köln perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with FC Köln as a small favourite), we find six games. FC Köln has won four of these, drawn zero and lost two.

FC Köln have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at RheinEnergieStadion with 21 goals in 14 league matches. More than 50 percent of these goals (11 in total) were scored after at least one hour had been played. 17 goals have been conceded. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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FSV Mainz 05 form and stats

FSV Mainz 05 have only collected 8 points from their away games in the Bundesliga, after 2-2-10 (14 played).

Two away games in a row for Mainz, who will hope to get a better result in this one after losing 1-2 versus FC Augsburg. The attacker Onisiwo got a match rating of 8.34 in that game. Onisiwo hit four key passes and dribled past the opponent 3 of 3 times.

A 1-1 draw at Borussia M'gladbach's stadium before that.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with FSV Mainz 05 playing away and similar expectations, we found six relevant matches. Results were zero FSV Mainz 05 wins, two draws and four defeats.

The visitors have scored 13 goals from 14 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. FSV Mainz 05's defence is not exactly unbeatable as they have conceded 25 goals from these trips.

Head 2 Head

The former head to head encounter ended FSV Mainz 05 - Köln 1-1, played this season. Head-to-head totals (for the prior ten meetings): FC Köln won three games, four matches ended with a tie and FSV Mainz 05 managed three wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: four / six

Top Goalscorers

FC KölnA. Modeste
A. Modeste
15 goals
FSV Mainz 05J. Burkardt
J. Burkardt
9 goals
FSV Mainz 05K. Onisiwo
K. Onisiwo
4 goals

FC Köln missing players

FSV Mainz 05 missing players

FC Köln FSV Mainz 05
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
28 14 4 Played P 4 14 28
10 7 3 Won W 0 2 11
10 4 1 Drew D 1 2 5
8 3 0 Lost L 3 10 12
38 21 9 Scored S 2 13 41
41 17 4 Conceded C 7 25 33
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 96%
79% 71% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 86% 79%
46% 50% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 25% 57% 54%
43% 43% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 21% 25%
14% 7% 25% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 7% 11%
64% 57% 75% BTTS BTTS 50% 71% 54%
14% 21% 25% Clean Sheets C S 0% 7% 32%
21% 21% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 21% 18%
 
4.9 5.4 4.8 Corners for (avg) C F 6.5 4.9 5.2
5.1 5 4.2 Corners against (avg) C A 3.8 5.3 4.6
1.9 1.9 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.2 2.3 2
1 0 0 Red cards R C 1 2 3
 
13.3 14.9 16.8 Shots (avg) S ( 16.5 13.2 14.1
4.5 5.3 7.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.8 3.4 4.5
30% 28% 31% Goal Efficiency G E 13% 28% 33%
 
12.8 12.3 11.5 Shots against (avg) S A 10.8 12.5 11.8
4.6 4.4 3.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.8 4.9 3.8
Key stats in Bundesliga this season:
  • FC Köln have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • FC Köln haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • FSV Mainz 05 have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • FSV Mainz 05 haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 FC Bayern München 28 21 3 4 85 29 14 11 1 2 42 12 14 10 2 2 43 17 56 66
2 Borussia Dortmund 28 18 3 7 68 42 14 11 0 3 41 22 14 7 3 4 27 20 26 57
3 Bayer Leverkusen 28 15 6 7 68 42 14 8 2 4 35 21 14 7 4 3 33 21 26 51
4 RB Leipzig 28 14 6 8 61 31 14 9 2 3 35 15 14 5 4 5 26 16 30 48
5 Freiburg 28 12 9 7 44 33 14 7 4 3 25 18 14 5 5 4 19 15 11 45
6 Hoffenheim 28 13 5 10 50 42 14 8 3 3 29 16 14 5 2 7 21 26 8 44
7 Union Berlin 28 11 8 9 34 38 14 8 4 2 19 14 14 3 4 7 15 24 -4 41
8 FC Köln 28 10 10 8 38 41 14 7 4 3 21 17 14 3 6 5 17 24 -3 40
9 Eintracht Frankfurt 28 10 9 9 39 38 14 4 5 5 16 17 14 6 4 4 23 21 1 39
10 FSV Mainz 05 28 11 5 12 41 33 14 9 3 2 28 8 14 2 2 10 13 25 8 38
11 Bochum 28 10 5 13 30 40 14 7 3 4 19 14 14 3 2 9 11 26 -10 35
12 Borussia M'gladbach 28 9 7 12 39 52 14 6 4 4 24 22 14 3 3 8 15 30 -13 34
13 FC Augsburg 28 8 8 12 34 45 14 6 4 4 22 20 14 2 4 8 12 25 -11 32
14 Wolfsburg 28 9 4 15 29 45 14 5 2 7 14 19 14 4 2 8 15 26 -16 31
15 Stuttgart 28 6 9 13 36 51 14 5 3 6 25 28 14 1 6 7 11 23 -15 27
16 Arminia Bielefeld 28 5 11 12 23 39 14 2 8 4 13 18 14 3 3 8 10 21 -16 26
17 Hertha BSC 28 7 5 16 30 62 14 5 3 6 20 27 14 2 2 10 10 35 -32 26
18 Greuther Furth 28 3 7 18 24 70 14 3 5 6 13 24 14 0 2 12 11 46 -46 16

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The Bundesliga is the top league of the football pyramid in Germany. It is the football league with the highest average stadium attendance worldwide. Bundesliga has 18 teams who play from August to May, a total of 306 fixtures to decide a final league table and the German championship.