Bundesliga match prediction: Little separates Borussia M'gladbach and Bayer Leverkusen in quality

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Competition: Germany Bundesliga
Competition: Sat 06.March
Match begins: 14:30 (UTC)
Venue: Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK (54057 seats)

This could be an interesting match as Borussia M'gladbach have their presumed home advantage while Bayer Leverkusen are ahead 4 points in the Bundesliga table.

Insights:
  • Borussia M'gladbach have the most dropped points from leading position (21) in Bundesliga
  • Bayer Leverkusen have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (8) in Bundesliga

Borussia M'gladbach have less rest than Bayer Leverkusen in this fixture, as the hosts were involved in a DFB Pokal game only four days ago. This match was also played here at Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK. With two consecutive home games the intense schedule is somewhat softened. Still, Bayer Leverkusen have had more rest.

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Borussia M'gladbach form and stats

5 victories, 4 draws and 3 defeats. That’s what Borussia M'gladbach have to build on here at Stadion im BORUSSIA-PARK in the Bundesliga. Two defeats in a row at home hurts for M'gladbach, their manager M. Rose and the supporters. There are certain expectations for improvement.

M'gladbach's previous game was also a home match, the defeat 0-1 versus Borussia Dortmund (placed 5th). Heartbreak before that as M'gladbach lost 2-3 at RB Leipzig's place.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how M'gladbach have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found three matches with the results: Won one, drawn one and lost one.

A decent goal production from M'gladbach in their home games so far, with 20 goals from 12 league matches. On the other hand, Borussia M'gladbach have conceded 15 goals.

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Bayer Leverkusen form and stats

5 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. That’s the product of Bayer Leverkusen, who have the fewest conceded goals (9) away in Bundesliga, playing as the away team in the Bundesliga this season.

Bayer Leverkusen failed to get anything from their last game, a Bundesliga home match vs Freiburg (placed 8th) that ended with defeat 1-2. Preceding that, the 0-2 home loss versus Young Boys.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found two similar matches played by Bayer Leverkusen in our archives, and the results are: one win for Leverkusen, zero draws and one defeat.

The travelling fans enjoy Leverkusen's attacking play in away games, having scored 17 goals in 11 league matches away. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. They concede less than a goal on average per away game (9 so far).

Head 2 Head

This is the result when the teams met earlier this season; Bayer Leverkusen - M'gladbach 4-3. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Borussia M'gladbach four wins, zero draws and Bayer Leverkusen six victories. As for goals, six matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), four games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

M'gladbachL. Stindl
L. Stindl
10 goals
Bayer LeverkusenL. Alario
L. Alario
9 goals
Bayer LeverkusenL. Bailey Butler
L. Bailey Butler
6 goals

Borussia M'gladbach missing players

Bayer Leverkusen missing players

Borussia M'gladbach Bayer Leverkusen
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
23 12 4 Played P 3 11 23
8 5 3 Won W 1 5 10
9 4 1 Drew D 1 3 7
6 3 0 Lost L 1 3 6
40 20 9 Scored S 5 17 41
36 15 5 Conceded C 4 9 26
96% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 91% 91%
83% 83% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 64% 74%
61% 50% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 45% 57%
43% 25% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 18% 30%
30% 25% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 9% 17%
78% 83% 75% BTTS BTTS 67% 45% 65%
17% 17% 25% Clean Sheets C S 0% 36% 22%
9% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 27% 22%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
2.1 1.8 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 1.8 1.9
1 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
11.7 11.7 9 Shots (avg) S ( 16.3 12.5 13.7
4.7 4.4 4.2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5.3 4.7 5
37% 38% 53% Goal Efficiency G E 31% 33% 36%
Key stats in Bundesliga this season:
  • Bayer Leverkusen have the fewest conceded goals (9) away in Bundesliga
  • Bayer Leverkusen have the fewest conceded goals in the first half (8) in Bundesliga
  • Borussia M'gladbach have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Borussia M'gladbach have the most dropped points from leading position (21) in Bundesliga
  • Borussia M'gladbach haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Bayern München 23 16 4 3 67 32 11 8 3 0 42 16 12 8 1 3 25 16 35 52
2 RB Leipzig 23 15 5 3 43 20 12 10 1 1 24 9 11 5 4 2 19 11 23 50
3 Wolfsburg 23 12 9 2 37 19 11 7 4 0 19 8 12 5 5 2 18 11 18 45
4 Eintracht Frankfurt 23 11 9 3 46 32 11 6 5 0 21 12 12 5 4 3 25 20 14 42
5 Borussia Dortmund 23 12 3 8 48 31 11 6 2 3 25 14 12 6 1 5 23 17 17 39
6 Bayer Leverkusen 23 10 7 6 41 26 12 5 4 3 24 17 11 5 3 3 17 9 15 37
7 Union Berlin 23 8 10 5 36 26 12 4 7 1 22 13 11 4 3 4 14 13 10 34
8 Freiburg 23 9 7 7 37 35 12 5 4 3 24 17 11 4 3 4 13 18 2 34
9 Borussia M'gladbach 23 8 9 6 40 36 12 5 4 3 20 15 11 3 5 3 20 21 4 33
10 Stuttgart 23 8 8 7 44 36 11 2 6 3 19 17 12 6 2 4 25 19 8 32
11 Hoffenheim 23 7 6 10 37 40 11 4 2 5 20 16 12 3 4 5 17 24 -3 27
12 Werder Bremen 22 6 8 8 26 32 11 3 4 4 11 14 11 3 4 4 15 18 -6 26
13 Augsburg 23 7 5 11 23 35 12 3 3 6 12 20 11 4 2 5 11 15 -12 26
14 Köln 23 5 6 12 21 41 11 1 3 7 11 20 12 4 3 5 10 21 -20 21
15 Hertha BSC 23 4 6 13 26 42 11 2 2 7 11 23 12 2 4 6 15 19 -16 18
16 Arminia Bielefeld 22 5 3 14 18 41 11 4 0 7 10 19 11 1 3 7 8 22 -23 18
17 Mainz 05 23 4 5 14 23 44 12 2 2 8 10 20 11 2 3 6 13 24 -21 17
18 Schalke 04 23 1 6 16 16 61 12 1 2 9 8 26 11 0 4 7 8 35 -45 9

Bayer Leverkusen:
Bundesliga:
Germany:

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The Bundesliga is the top league of the football pyramid in Germany. It is the football league with the highest average stadium attendance worldwide. Bundesliga has 18 teams who play from August to May, a total of 306 fixtures to decide a final league table and the German championship.