Bundesliga prediction: Bayern München should edge out Freiburg on their own turf

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Competition: Germany Bundesliga
Competition: Sun 17.January
Match begins: 14:30 (UTC)
Venue: Allianz Arena (75000 seats)

Bayern München perform at a high level so far being 1st in the table. Freiburg can look both up and down from their 8th position.

Insights:
  • Bayern München has the most scored goals (46) in Bundesliga
  • Freiburg is in the best form (5-1-0)

The hosts Bayern München saw competitive action as recent as four days ago, playing in the DFB Pokal. That game was an away game at Holstein Kiel, so at least München are thankful to return home in this one. Game on!

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Bayern München form and stats

Bayern München, who have the most scored goals (46) in Bundesliga, have performed here at Allianz Arena this season with 5 wins from 7 Bundesliga matches. Some points have been lost, as they have drawn 2 games and lost 0. München has recorded two wins in a row here at Allianz Arena, increasing their hopes of victory in this match.

München drew their last game, 2-2 away at Holstein Kiel (after extra-time, 6-5 on penalties). A Bundesliga defeat was the result before that one, 2-3 away at Borussia M'gladbach.

There will be little rest for Bayern München after this match as they are travelling to Augsburg for a Bundesliga game in only three days.

With more than three goals on average, the attacking play of München is on fire here. A stunning 28 from 7 league matches. Bayern München have conceded 10 in these home matches.

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Freiburg form and stats

3 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses. That’s the product of Freiburg playing as the away team in the Bundesliga this season. Impressively, the visitors are on a five-match winning run which they hope continue versus Bayern München. Winning streaks in away matches are not that common, but Freiburg are close to a proper streak after winning their two previous away games.

Freiburg won their last game, 5-0 versus Köln played at home. Ahead of that match was the victory versus Hoffenheim at their stadium, the result 3-1.

As mentioned above, Freiburg was the only team on the pitch versus Köln in their previous game, winning 5-0. This could be a tougher task.

With the home team given a winning probability of about 80% by the bookmakers, any positive result for the visitors would be a surprise. Checking earlier matches with similar odds with Freiburg as the away team, we found one results. Statistics from these were zero away wins, zero draws and one defeat. The outsiders lost zero of these games by at least two goals.

After this away game Freiburg return home for a Bundesliga game against Eintracht Frankfurt. That game is only three sleeps after this.

Freiburg are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 10 away goals from 7 games (in the league). Freiburg struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 12 goals conceded from these games.

Head 2 Head

As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's seven Bayern München victories, two draws and one Freiburg win. Over/under statistics; seven of these games ended with three goals or more, three matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Bayern MünchenR. Lewandowski
R. Lewandowski
20 goals
FreiburgV. Grifo
V. Grifo
7 goals
Bayern MünchenT. Müller
T. Müller
6 goals

Bayern München missing players

Freiburg missing players

Bayern München Freiburg
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
15 7 2 Played P 3 7 15
10 5 2 Won W 0 3 6
3 2 0 Drew D 1 2 5
2 0 0 Lost L 2 2 4
46 28 9 Scored S 1 10 28
24 10 3 Conceded C 8 12 24
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
100% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 100%
87% 86% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 57% 60%
67% 71% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 43% 53%
60% 71% 100% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 14% 27%
87% 71% 50% BTTS BTTS 33% 57% 67%
13% 29% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 14% 20%
0% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 67% 29% 13%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.5 1.9 3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.7 2 1.5
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
15.7 16.9 21 Shots (avg) S ( 7 8 12.5
6.5 8 9.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 4 5
47% 50% 47% Goal Efficiency G E 11% 36% 37%
Key stats in Bundesliga this season:
  • All of Bayern München's matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • All of Freiburg's matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Bayern München has the most points from losing position (18) in Bundesliga
  • Bayern München has the most scored goals (28) at home in Bundesliga
  • Bayern München has the most scored goals (46) in Bundesliga
  • Bayern München has the most scored goals in the first half (21) in Bundesliga
  • Bayern München has the the best goal difference (+18) at home in Bundesliga
  • Bayern München has the the best goal difference (+22) in Bundesliga
  • Bayern München have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Bayern München have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.
  • Bayern München have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Freiburg have scored away.
  • Bayern München have scored in all their matches so far.
  • Bayern München haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Freiburg haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Freiburg is in the best form (5-1-0)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Bayern München 15 10 3 2 46 24 7 5 2 0 28 10 8 5 1 2 18 14 22 33
2 RB Leipzig 15 9 4 2 26 12 8 6 1 1 17 6 7 3 3 1 9 6 14 31
3 Bayer Leverkusen 15 8 5 2 30 15 7 3 3 1 14 9 8 5 2 1 16 6 15 29
4 Borussia Dortmund 15 9 1 5 31 19 7 4 0 3 16 10 8 5 1 2 15 9 12 28
5 Union Berlin 15 6 7 2 31 20 8 3 4 1 19 11 7 3 3 1 12 9 11 25
6 Wolfsburg 15 6 7 2 22 17 7 5 2 0 12 6 8 1 5 2 10 11 5 25
7 Borussia M'gladbach 15 6 6 3 28 24 8 3 4 1 13 9 7 3 2 2 15 15 4 24
8 Freiburg 15 6 5 4 28 24 8 3 3 2 18 12 7 3 2 2 10 12 4 23
9 Eintracht Frankfurt 15 5 8 2 25 23 7 2 5 0 11 9 8 3 3 2 14 14 2 23
10 Stuttgart 15 5 6 4 30 22 7 0 4 3 9 13 8 5 2 1 21 9 8 21
11 Augsburg 15 5 4 6 17 23 8 2 2 4 9 15 7 3 2 2 8 8 -6 19
12 Hertha BSC 15 4 4 7 23 25 7 2 2 3 10 12 8 2 2 4 13 13 -2 16
13 Werder Bremen 15 3 6 6 17 24 7 1 2 4 6 12 8 2 4 2 11 12 -7 15
14 Hoffenheim 15 4 3 8 22 30 7 2 1 4 12 13 8 2 2 4 10 17 -8 15
15 Arminia Bielefeld 15 4 1 10 10 24 8 3 0 5 6 11 7 1 1 5 4 13 -14 13
16 Köln 15 2 5 8 13 27 8 0 2 6 8 18 7 2 3 2 5 9 -14 11
17 Schalke 04 15 1 4 10 12 39 8 1 2 5 7 13 7 0 2 5 5 26 -27 7
18 Mainz 05 15 1 3 11 14 33 8 0 2 6 6 15 7 1 1 5 8 18 -19 6

Bayern München:
Freiburg:
Bundesliga:
Germany:

Read more about Bundesliga

The Bundesliga is the top league of the football pyramid in Germany. It is the football league with the highest average stadium attendance worldwide. Bundesliga has 18 teams who play from August to May, a total of 306 fixtures to decide a final league table and the German championship.