3. Liga prediction and pre-match guide: Freiburg II odds-on thought to get the better of MSV Duisburg

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Competition: Germany 3. Liga
Competition: Sat 18.February
Match begins: 13:00 (UTC)
Venue: Möslestadion (18000 seats)

Freiburg II have played well so far this season, sitting at 3rd spot in the table. MSV Duisburg have an outlook both up and down from their 11th place.

Insights:
  • Freiburg II have the fewest matches over the total-line (8) in 3. Liga
  • MSV Duisburg have the fewest dropped points from leading position (2) in 3. Liga

There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.

W W D W D

Freiburg II form and stats

24 points is a decent return from 11 3. Liga games here at Möslestadion for Freiburg II. The data says 7 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss.

Freiburg II are returning here after visiting Hallescher FC and winning with a 3-1 scoreline. Hoti, Vermeij and Kehl scored the goal(s).

Before that, Freiburg had a home game versus Bayreuth which ended with a victory 2-0.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Freiburg II have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 5 games) they have won 4 times, drawn 0 and lost 1.

Freiburg II has scored 15 league goals at home this season, in 11 matches. Freiburg have only conceded 8 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

W D L L W

MSV Duisburg form and stats

The visitors are W5-D1-L5 on the road this term. That's in the 3. Liga.

MSV Duisburg won their last game, 4-0 versus Zwickau played at home. That victory felt nice as this team had gone three league fixtures without victory. As you can tell from the results above, MSV Duisburg was very dominant against Zwickau, winning the match with a scoreline that even the finest fortune teller couldn't predict. 4-0 (!) with Pusch, Stierlin, Fleckstein and Stoppelkamp providing the goals. Which player has scored three games in a row for the away side? The correct answer is Stoppelkamp and that is impressive!

Before that, Duisburg travelled to Rot-Weiss Essen and returned home with a draw after the game finished 1-1.

We have checked recent matches where MSV Duisburg have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 13 games were 4 victories, 2 draws and 7 defeats.

Duisburg find the net regularly in their away games. 14 goals from 11 away fixtures in the league. As opposed to that, MSV Duisburg have seen the ball go into their own net 15 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

The two sides faced each other earlier this season: MSV Duisburg - Freiburg II 3-1. H2H stats regardless of arena (last three matches): Freiburg one win, zero draws and MSV Duisburg two victories. As for goals, one match ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), two games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

Freiburg IIV. Vermeij
V. Vermeij
11 goals
MSV DuisburgM. Stoppelkamp
M. Stoppelkamp
7 goals
Freiburg IIL. Kehl
L. Kehl
4 goals

Freiburg II missing players

MSV Duisburg missing players

Freiburg II MSV Duisburg
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
22 11 6 Played P 4 11 22
12 7 4 Won W 2 5 8
6 3 1 Drew D 0 1 5
4 1 1 Lost L 2 5 9
29 15 8 Scored S 6 14 29
22 8 6 Conceded C 7 15 28
95% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
73% 73% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 73% 73%
36% 18% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 75% 45% 45%
23% 9% 17% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 27% 32%
5% 9% 17% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 18% 9%
45% 36% 33% BTTS BTTS 50% 36% 50%
45% 55% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 27% 23%
14% 9% 17% Failed to Score F T 50% 36% 27%
 
4.9 5.9 4.5 Corners for (avg) C F 4.2 4.3 5
4.6 3 2 Corners against (avg) C A 12.2 8.9 6.3
2 2.1 2.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.5 2.8 2.5
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 2 3
 
11 13.7 13.2 Shots (avg) S ( 7.2 9.7 9.7
4.4 5.5 4.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.8 4.1 4.1
30% 25% 29% Goal Efficiency G E 40% 31% 32%
 
9.7 9.2 10.2 Shots against (avg) S A 14.2 13.2 10.8
4 4.1 4.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5 4.5 4
Key stats in 3. Liga this season:
  • Freiburg II have the fewest conceded goals (8) at home in 3. Liga
  • Freiburg II have the fewest matches over the total-line (8) in 3. Liga
  • Freiburg II have the most matches under the total-line (14) in 3. Liga
  • Freiburg II have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Freiburg II haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • MSV Duisburg have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won away.
  • MSV Duisburg have the fewest dropped points from leading position (2) in 3. Liga
  • MSV Duisburg haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Elversberg 22 17 2 3 56 18 12 10 0 2 34 10 10 7 2 1 22 8 38 53
2 Wehen Wiesbaden 22 13 5 4 42 25 10 6 3 1 19 10 12 7 2 3 23 15 17 44
3 Freiburg II 22 12 6 4 29 22 11 7 3 1 15 8 11 5 3 3 14 14 7 42
4 Saarbrücken 22 11 6 5 33 23 10 4 4 2 14 14 12 7 2 3 19 9 10 39
5 Osnabrück 22 11 4 7 43 32 10 7 1 2 20 10 12 4 3 5 23 22 11 37
6 Dynamo Dresden 22 10 6 6 40 26 11 4 4 3 24 15 11 6 2 3 16 11 14 36
7 Waldhof Mannheim 22 11 3 8 35 35 11 9 1 1 19 9 11 2 2 7 16 26 0 36
8 1860 München 22 10 4 8 38 30 11 7 1 3 24 11 11 3 3 5 14 19 8 34
9 Ingolstadt 22 9 4 9 30 27 11 4 2 5 12 15 11 5 2 4 18 12 3 31
10 Viktoria Köln 22 8 7 7 31 30 11 5 2 4 14 15 11 3 5 3 17 15 1 31
11 MSV Duisburg 22 8 5 9 29 28 11 3 4 4 15 13 11 5 1 5 14 15 1 29
12 Verl 22 7 7 8 30 31 12 5 5 2 21 15 10 2 2 6 9 16 -1 28
13 Rot-Weiss Essen 22 5 10 7 26 33 10 2 6 2 10 15 12 3 4 5 16 18 -7 25
14 Erzgebirge Aue 22 6 6 10 25 31 11 3 4 4 13 13 11 3 2 6 12 18 -6 24
15 Borussia Dortmund II 22 6 3 13 18 32 12 3 1 8 8 17 10 3 2 5 10 15 -14 21
16 VfB Oldenburg 22 5 6 11 26 42 11 2 4 5 17 25 11 3 2 6 9 17 -16 21
17 Zwickau 22 5 5 12 19 36 10 3 2 5 11 12 12 2 3 7 8 24 -17 20
18 Meppen 22 3 10 9 22 36 12 3 3 6 15 20 10 0 7 3 7 16 -14 19
19 Bayreuth 22 5 4 13 17 39 11 4 2 5 11 17 11 1 2 8 6 22 -22 19
20 Hallescher FC 22 4 5 13 28 41 12 4 2 6 19 18 10 0 3 7 9 23 -13 17

Germany:

Read more about 3. Liga

The 3. Liga (Dritte Liga) is the third division in German football. It consists of 20 teams playing each other home and away for a total of 380 fixtures. The two top teams of the final league table are promoted and number three can promote through a playoff. The bottom three teams are relegated.