2. Bundesliga match prediction: Little separates Werder Bremen and St. Pauli in quality

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Competition: Germany 2. Bundesliga
Competition: Sat 30.October
Match begins: 11:30 (UTC)
Venue: wohninvest WESERSTADION

We have to say that both squads are doing all right, St. Pauli holding a 10 point advantage on Werder Bremen in the tables. Let's start!

Insights:
  • All of Werder Bremen's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • St. Pauli have the most scored goals (27) in 2. Bundesliga

The visiting St. Pauli played their last game only three days ago, a DFB Pokal match. That game, against Dynamo Dresden, was also an away game. It's a tiring schedule for St. Pauli.

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Werder Bremen form and stats

2-1-2 (win-draw-lost) are the 2. Bundesliga numbers at home for Werder Bremen so far this season.

The home team returns to wohninvest WESERSTADION after being equal after 90 minutes with Sandhausen (placed 16th) on their last time out; the 2. Bundesliga game ended 2-2. The hometeam coach M. Anfang made a successful contribution in the game against Sandhausen, bringing on Niclas Füllkrug who scored the equalizer in the 2-2 draw. The attacking player Marvin Ducksch won the honour of being "man of the match" for Werder with a rating of 7.45/10. Ducksch hit three key passes and dribled past the opponent 1 of 1 times.

A defeat was the result before that one, 0-3 away at Darmstadt 98.

This is expected to be a close game, with Werder perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Werder Bremen as a small favourite), we find seven games. Werder Bremen has won zero of these, drawn four and lost three.

The Werder fans have had their share of opportunities to cheer home goals this season, having seen 8 goals in 5 league matches. Werder Bremen's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 7 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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St. Pauli form and stats

As the visiting team in 2. Bundesliga matches, St. Pauli, who have the most scored goals (27) in 2. Bundesliga, have produced an overall stat of 2-1-2 so far. Impressively, the visitors are on a five-match winning run which they hope continue versus Werder Bremen.

Two travels in a row for Pauli, whose manager T. Schultz could celebrate last time after the DFB Pokal win against Dynamo Dresden (after extra-time). Christopher Buchtmann came off the bench to score the winning goal in the match against Dynamo Dresden (after extra-time) last time out, making the manager T. Schultz feel like a tactical genius. Leart Paqarada, who plays in defense, got the "man of the match" on his team with the rating 9.15. Paqarada scored one goal, served one assist, hit five key passes and won 9 of 12 duels.

A home win before that, celebrating 4-0 vs Hansa Rostock.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found twelve similar matches played by St. Pauli in our archives, and the results are: three wins for Pauli, three draws and six defeats.

Pauli has displayed an ability to score goals in away matches in the league this season, 8 goals from 5 games. As opposed to that, Pauli have seen the ball go into their own net 7 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

Numbers for the former nine meetings between these two squads are: five wins for Werder, one draw and three wins for St. Pauli. Over 2,5 goals: seven times; under 2,5 goals: two games.

Top Goalscorers

St. PauliG. Burgstaller
G. Burgstaller
10 goals
WerderM. Ducksch
M. Ducksch
4 goals
St. PauliM. Dittgen
M. Dittgen
3 goals

Werder Bremen missing players

St. Pauli missing players

Werder Bremen St. Pauli
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
11 5 2 Played P 2 5 11
4 2 0 Won W 2 2 8
3 1 0 Drew D 0 1 1
4 2 2 Lost L 0 2 2
16 8 1 Scored S 7 8 27
17 7 6 Conceded C 3 7 10
91% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 80% 91%
91% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 60% 82%
73% 60% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 60% 73%
27% 20% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 60% 55%
18% 20% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 50% 20% 27%
36% 40% 50% BTTS BTTS 100% 60% 45%
36% 40% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 20% 45%
36% 20% 50% Failed to Score F T 0% 40% 18%
 
6.5 7.2 6 Corners for (avg) C F 4 4.2 5.4
2.8 2.4 2.5 Corners against (avg) C A 5 4.8 3.4
2.5 2 4.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2 1.3
1 1 1 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
16.4 15.8 18.5 Shots (avg) S ( 14 11.6 15.2
5.3 5.6 6 Shots on Target (avg) S O 6 4 5.5
28% 29% 8% Goal Efficiency G E 58% 40% 45%
Key stats in 2. Bundesliga this season:
  • All of Werder Bremen's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • St. Pauli have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • St. Pauli have the most scored goals (27) in 2. Bundesliga
  • St. Pauli have the most scored goals in the second half (18) in 2. Bundesliga
  • St. Pauli have the the best goal difference (+17) in 2. Bundesliga
  • St. Pauli have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Werder Bremen have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded.
  • Werder Bremen haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 St. Pauli 11 8 1 2 27 10 6 6 0 0 19 3 5 2 1 2 8 7 17 25
2 Jahn Regensburg 11 6 4 1 24 12 6 4 2 0 17 8 5 2 2 1 7 4 12 22
3 Schalke 04 11 7 1 3 20 11 6 3 1 2 12 7 5 4 0 1 8 4 9 22
4 Nurnberg 11 5 6 0 16 7 6 4 2 0 9 1 5 1 4 0 7 6 9 21
5 Paderborn 11 5 3 3 22 13 6 1 2 3 8 9 5 4 1 0 14 4 9 18
6 Hamburger SV 11 4 6 1 18 13 5 1 4 0 8 7 6 3 2 1 10 6 5 18
7 Darmstadt 98 11 5 2 4 25 14 5 4 0 1 14 3 6 1 2 3 11 11 11 17
8 Karlsruher SC 11 4 4 3 17 15 5 2 2 1 8 6 6 2 2 2 9 9 2 16
9 Fortuna Dusseldorf 11 4 3 4 17 17 5 1 2 2 10 10 6 3 1 2 7 7 0 15
10 Werder Bremen 11 4 3 4 16 17 5 2 1 2 8 7 6 2 2 2 8 10 -1 15
11 Heidenheim 11 4 3 4 12 17 6 2 3 1 7 7 5 2 0 3 5 10 -5 15
12 Dynamo Dresden 11 4 1 6 13 15 5 3 0 2 8 4 6 1 1 4 5 11 -2 13
13 Hansa Rostock 11 3 2 6 11 19 5 1 1 3 5 10 6 2 1 3 6 9 -8 11
14 Hannover 96 11 3 2 6 8 16 5 2 0 3 3 6 6 1 2 3 5 10 -8 11
15 Holstein Kiel 11 2 4 5 11 21 6 1 1 4 4 12 5 1 3 1 7 9 -10 10
16 Sandhausen 11 2 3 6 11 23 6 0 2 4 4 15 5 2 1 2 7 8 -12 9
17 Erzgebirge Aue 11 1 4 6 8 18 6 1 2 3 4 9 5 0 2 3 4 9 -10 7
18 Ingolstadt 11 1 2 8 7 25 5 0 2 3 3 8 6 1 0 5 4 17 -18 5

Werder Bremen:
2. Bundesliga:
Germany:

Read more about 2. Bundesliga

The 2. Bundesliga (Zweite Bundesliga) is the second level of German professional football. Like the Bundesliga it has 18 clubs playing a total of 306 fixtures to decide the final league table. The two top teams are promoted while number three has to qualify through a playoff. Two or three teams are relegated through a similar system.