Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga match prediction: Little separates Shukura and Gagra in quality

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Competition: Georgia Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Competition: Thu 01.June
Match begins: 12:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stadioni Davit Abashidze (4600 seats)

This fixture involves two participants residing in the cellar of the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga, Shukura at 7th position and Gagra in 8th. A good chance for one of the sides to boost their position.

Insights:
  • Shukura have the most conceded goals (35) in Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
  • Gagra is in the worst form (0-2-4)

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Shukura and Gagra.

W D D L D

Shukura form and stats

Shukura's struggle is real here at Stadioni Davit Abashidze with only 4 points collected from 8 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga games. The win-draw-lost numbers are ugly: 1-1-6. With seven home Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga games in a row without a win, the Shukura fans could feel they are not getting value for their money.

A good away victory last time out for Shukura, who won 2-1 against Torpedo Kutaisi (placed 6th). Just what the doctor ordered, as that was the first league win after playing, but not winning, nine matches in a row. The victory against Torpedo Kutaisi came after Patsatsia's winning goal. The Shukura manager Sosiashvili was very happy afterwards with the decision to bring on that player in the 66th minute.

Preceding that game was the home draw versus Samtredia that ended 2-2.

This is expected to be a close game, with Shukura perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Shukura as a small favourite), we find 5 games. Shukura has won 2 of these, drawn 3 and lost 0.

Shukura are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 11 goals in 8 games. It's worth mentioning that 6 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. Shukura have conceded 18 goals in these home games, a significant number.

L L L L D

Gagra form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Gagra so far with only 5 points returning home. The records show 1-2-5 (win-draw-lose). It's looking increasingly bleak for Gagra who now has to deal with a four game losing streak. Torpedo Kutaisi was the last time a defeat was avoided.

The attacking players of Gagra have been feeble for some time now, the team not scoring a league goal in the last 180 minutes.

Gagra's previous game was their home loss versus Samtredia (0-1).

Preceding that game, the 0-1 loss visiting Dila's place.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Gagra playing away and similar expectations, we found 6 relevant matches. Results were 2 Gagra wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats.

There's been a serious shortage of goals from Gagra's away games in the league this season with only {4 goals} from 8 matches. As for defending, Gagra rarely keep clean sheets as they have conceded 12 goals from these away matches.

Head 2 Head

This was the scoreline when the contenders faced each other previously this campaign; Gagra - Shukura 2-0. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's three Shukura victories, four draws and three Gagra wins. Over/under statistics; two of these games ended with three goals or more, eight matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

ShukuraT. Patsatsia
T. Patsatsia
6 goals
ShukuraM. Sardalishvili
M. Sardalishvili
5 goals
ShukuraD. Mujiri Jr.
D. Mujiri Jr.
4 goals

Shukura missing players

Gagra missing players

Shukura Gagra
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
17 8 2 Played P 2 8 17
3 1 0 Won W 1 1 2
3 1 1 Drew D 1 2 5
11 6 1 Lost L 0 5 10
22 11 3 Scored S 2 4 15
35 18 4 Conceded C 1 12 29
94% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 50% 75% 76%
94% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 50% 59%
71% 88% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 50% 47%
35% 50% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 25% 29%
24% 25% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 18%
71% 88% 100% BTTS BTTS 50% 38% 47%
12% 0% 0% Clean Sheets C S 50% 25% 29%
24% 12% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 62% 47%
 
3.6 4 5.5 Corners for (avg) C F 5.5 4.5 4.6
5.9 7 4 Corners against (avg) C A 3.5 4.5 4.1
2.1 1.5 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.5 2.1 1.5
3 1 0 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
7.7 7.6 7.5 Shots (avg) S ( 10 6.8 8.9
3.4 3.4 2 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4 2.4 3.5
39% 41% 75% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 21% 25%
 
13.8 13.5 8.5 Shots against (avg) S A 9 13.1 11.6
5.9 6.1 4.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 6 6.6 5.4
Key stats in Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga this season:
  • All of Shukura's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Gagra have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Gagra have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Gagra have the fewest points from losing position (0) in Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
  • Gagra have the fewest scored goals (4) away in Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
  • Gagra is in the worst form (0-2-4)
  • Shukura have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their home matches.
  • Shukura have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Shukura have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Gagra have scored away.
  • Shukura have the fewest clean sheets (0) at home in Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
  • Shukura have the fewest clean sheets (2) in Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
  • Shukura have the most conceded goals (18) at home in Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
  • Shukura have the most conceded goals (35) in Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
  • Shukura have the most conceded goals in the second half (20) in Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
  • Shukura have the most dropped points from leading position (10) in Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
  • Shukura haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Dinamo Batumi 17 11 5 1 37 19 8 6 1 1 17 9 9 5 4 0 20 10 18 38
2 Saburtalo 17 10 5 2 38 18 8 5 3 0 18 5 9 5 2 2 20 13 20 35
3 Samgurali 17 10 3 4 28 22 9 6 3 0 15 7 8 4 0 4 13 15 6 33
4 Dinamo Tbilisi 17 9 4 4 40 26 9 4 2 3 21 13 8 5 2 1 19 13 14 31
5 Dila 17 8 7 2 25 15 8 4 2 2 12 7 9 4 5 0 13 8 10 31
6 Torpedo Kutaisi 17 5 5 7 15 21 9 3 2 4 10 13 8 2 3 3 5 8 -6 20
7 Shukura 17 3 3 11 22 35 8 1 1 6 11 18 9 2 2 5 11 17 -13 12
8 Gagra 17 2 5 10 15 29 9 1 3 5 11 17 8 1 2 5 4 12 -14 11
9 Samtredia 17 3 2 12 14 30 8 1 1 6 7 15 9 2 1 6 7 15 -16 11
10 Telavi 17 2 5 10 11 30 9 1 4 4 6 13 8 1 1 6 5 17 -19 11