National forecast and guide: Nancy odds-on expected to subdue Gobelins

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Competition: France National
Competition: Fri 02.December
Match begins: 18:30 (UTC)
Venue: Stade Marcel-Picot (20087 seats)

Nancy have 16 points playing as the host team. Gobelins have got 13 points as the visiting team. What are the odds of this being a home win?

Insights:
  • Nancy have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Gobelins have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

This could be an absorbing match with lots of fun and bustle as both teams are well rested since they last saw competitive action. Let's start!

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Nancy form and stats

When playing at home in the National, Nancy have managed 3 wins, 2 draws and suffered 2 defeats from 7 games.

Nancy haven't scored a league goal since they found the net 283 minutes ago. Sakho scored that one.

Nancy are hoping to put things right at home after a defeat in their previous match, the score 0-1 away versus Red Star.

Preceding that game was the home draw versus Sedan that ended 0-0.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Nancy have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 14 games) they have won 5 times, drawn 4 and lost 5.

Nancy has scored 8 league goals at home this season, in 7 matches. Nancy are not conceding a lot of goals here at Stade Marcel-Picot in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 6 from 7 matches.

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Gobelins form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their National travels is 2 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats. The last three matches for Gobelins have all ended in a draw.

Gobelins delivered a 1-1 draw playing at home against Concarneau (placed 1st) in their previous fixture.

A loss, in the Coupe de France away at Linas-Montlhery, earlier. Gobelins are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 1 win, 1 draw and 2 defeats. From a total of 4 matches.

Low on goals? 11 of this team's last 13 league fixtures have contained two or less goals.

The visitors have scored 6 goals from 7 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Gobelins have conceded 9 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

Top Goalscorers

GobelinsM. Cissé
M. Cissé
4 goals
NancyL. Nangis
L. Nangis
3 goals
NancyD. Sakho
D. Sakho
3 goals

Nancy missing players

Gobelins missing players

Nancy Gobelins
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
13 7 2 Played P 3 7 13
4 3 2 Won W 1 2 2
4 2 0 Drew D 0 2 7
5 2 0 Lost L 2 3 4
13 8 3 Scored S 2 6 9
15 6 1 Conceded C 6 9 13
85% 86% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 71% 69%
69% 71% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 71% 62%
46% 43% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 29% 15%
15% 0% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 29% 15%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 14% 8%
54% 57% 50% BTTS BTTS 0% 14% 31%
31% 43% 50% Clean Sheets C S 33% 57% 46%
31% 14% 0% Failed to Score F T 67% 57% 54%
 
4.5 6.3 7 Corners for (avg) C F 2 3.6 4
4.6 3.6 2 Corners against (avg) C A 4 5.4 5.5
2.8 2.7 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 1.9 1.8
3 1 1 Red cards R C 2 2 4
 
8.2 9.3 6 Shots (avg) S ( 5.3 8.6 9.2
2.6 3 3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.7 4 4
38% 38% 50% Goal Efficiency G E 25% 21% 17%
 
9.2 6.1 2 Shots against (avg) S A 12.3 11.4 9.8
3.8 2 1 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 6 5.3 4.4
Key stats in National this season:
  • Gobelins have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Nancy have won significantly more corners at home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Concarneau 13 8 3 2 24 13 7 4 1 2 12 7 6 4 2 0 12 6 11 26
2 Dunkerque 13 7 1 5 20 15 7 4 1 2 10 4 6 3 0 3 10 11 5 22
3 Versailles 13 6 4 3 18 15 7 4 2 1 12 7 6 2 2 2 6 8 3 22
4 Red Star 13 5 6 2 15 10 6 3 1 2 8 7 7 2 5 0 7 3 5 21
5 Cholet 13 5 6 2 18 14 7 4 3 0 11 4 6 1 3 2 7 10 4 21
6 Martigues 13 4 8 1 22 18 6 3 3 0 12 8 7 1 5 1 10 10 4 20
7 Le Mans 13 5 3 5 26 15 6 4 2 0 19 3 7 1 1 5 7 12 11 18
8 Orléans 13 3 9 1 14 9 6 1 5 0 4 3 7 2 4 1 10 6 5 18
9 Bourg-en-Bresse 13 5 3 5 17 18 6 0 3 3 7 12 7 5 0 2 10 6 -1 18
10 Sedan 13 4 5 4 14 18 6 2 1 3 5 8 7 2 4 1 9 10 -4 17
11 Nancy 13 4 4 5 13 15 7 3 2 2 8 6 6 1 2 3 5 9 -2 16
12 Villefranche 13 4 4 5 16 19 7 3 2 2 9 8 6 1 2 3 7 11 -3 16
13 Châteauroux 13 4 4 5 12 16 7 2 2 3 6 9 6 2 2 2 6 7 -4 16
14 Avranches 13 4 3 6 12 18 6 1 2 3 8 10 7 3 1 3 4 8 -6 14
15 Gobelins 13 2 7 4 9 13 6 0 5 1 3 4 7 2 2 3 6 9 -4 13
16 Le Puy F.43 Auvergne 13 2 5 6 9 18 6 1 2 3 5 8 7 1 3 3 4 10 -9 11
17 Bastia-Borgo 13 2 4 7 15 23 7 2 2 3 10 13 6 0 2 4 5 10 -8 10
18 Stade Briochin 13 1 5 7 14 21 7 0 3 4 7 11 6 1 2 3 7 10 -7 8

Read more about National

The Championnat de France National, often referred to as just National or Division 3, is the third highest division in French football. It has 18 teams, each playing 34 fixtures to decide the champion. The top three teams in the league table in May are promoted, the four lowest placed sides are relegated.