National prediction and preview: Châteauroux modest thought to overwhelm Bastia-Borgo

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Competition: France National
Competition: Fri 06.May
Match begins: 16:30 (UTC)
Venue: Stade Gaston Petit (17072 seats)

Châteauroux are ready for Bastia-Borgo with faith in winning all three points. Can they? Open our preview!

Insights:
  • Châteauroux have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Bastia-Borgo have the most dropped points from leading position (30) in National

Châteauroux are staying put; they can neither be promoted or relegated this season and are fighting only for positions. Bastia-Borgo are fighting to avoid relegation and will work hard for points.

There should be plenty of energy on the pitch in this game, as both sides have had time to recuperate from their last game. Let's hope both teams are ready to give it all.

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Châteauroux form and stats

When playing at home in the National, Châteauroux have managed 8 wins, 5 draws and suffered 3 defeats from 16 games.

Châteauroux faced defeat in their previous match, away at Villefranche (1-2).

Before that game, the home loss against Annecy with the scoreline 0-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Châteauroux have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found seven games) they have won two times, drawn four and lost one.

A decent goal production from Châteauroux in their home games so far, with 25 goals from 16 league matches. Châteauroux have only conceded 13 from their league home games. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Bastia-Borgo form and stats

There's been little loot from Bastia-Borgo's travels as they have only collected 7 points from 16 away games in the National. Bastia-Borgo only have 1 win to counter their 11 defeats and 4 draws.

184 minutes! That's how long the Bastia-Borgo goalkeeper Arnaud Balijon and his defense have shut out their league opponents.

Bastia-Borgo go into this game after a win, the home game against Créteil that ended 2-0.

Before that one, a nice away victory 1-0 at Le Mans.

Bastia-Borgo are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is one win, six draws and nine defeats. From a total of 16 matches.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Bastia-Borgo as they have only managed to score 12 times from 16 away games in the league. The Bastia-Borgo manager Rossi has some worries about the defense as 33 goals have been conceded in these travels. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 3 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

These opponents have played previously this season: Bastia-Borgo - Châteauroux 2-0.

Top Goalscorers

ChâteaurouxT. Robinet
T. Robinet
18 goals
Bastia-BorgoM. Bassouamina
M. Bassouamina
8 goals
Bastia-BorgoM. Ba
M. Ba
7 goals

Châteauroux missing players

Bastia-Borgo missing players

Châteauroux Bastia-Borgo
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
32 16 5 Played P 5 16 32
14 8 4 Won W 0 1 7
9 5 0 Drew D 2 4 9
9 3 1 Lost L 3 11 16
40 25 10 Scored S 3 12 39
28 13 3 Conceded C 7 33 56
88% 88% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 80% 94% 97%
69% 69% 60% Over 1.5 O 1.5 60% 75% 84%
31% 38% 60% Over 2.5 O 2.5 40% 56% 66%
12% 19% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 20% 31% 38%
9% 19% 20% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 12% 6%
44% 50% 40% BTTS BTTS 60% 50% 59%
34% 31% 40% Clean Sheets C S 20% 12% 19%
34% 31% 20% Failed to Score F T 40% 44% 25%
 
5.3 6.1 7.6 Corners for (avg) C F 3 3.1 3.6
4.6 4.5 5 Corners against (avg) C A 6 3.8 4
1.7 1.8 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.2 1.5 1.5
7 3 0 Red cards R C 1 3 7
 
12.8 15.7 21.2 Shots (avg) S ( 5 7.1 8.6
5.2 6.2 8.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 1.8 2.7 3.7
24% 25% 23% Goal Efficiency G E 33% 28% 33%
 
9.9 10.2 10.2 Shots against (avg) S A 15.4 12.2 11.1
3.8 3.5 2.6 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 6.8 6.1 5.5
Key stats in National this season:
  • Bastia-Borgo have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Bastia-Borgo have the fewest matches under the total-line (6) in National
  • Bastia-Borgo have the most conceded goals (33) away in National
  • Bastia-Borgo have the most dropped points from leading position (30) in National
  • Bastia-Borgo have the the worst goal difference (-21) away in National
  • Châteauroux have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Châteauroux have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Bastia-Borgo have scored away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Laval 32 20 6 6 46 26 16 10 2 4 21 11 16 10 4 2 25 15 20 66
2 Annecy 32 18 9 5 53 27 16 11 4 1 33 9 16 7 5 4 20 18 26 63
3 Villefranche 32 17 8 7 42 28 16 9 3 4 22 15 16 8 5 3 20 13 14 59
4 Concarneau 32 14 13 5 43 26 16 9 4 3 22 11 16 5 9 2 21 15 17 55
5 Bourg-en-Bresse 32 14 9 9 51 33 16 7 5 4 22 14 16 7 4 5 29 19 18 51
6 Châteauroux 32 14 9 9 40 28 16 8 5 3 25 13 16 6 4 6 15 15 12 51
7 Stade Briochin 32 13 9 10 44 33 16 9 3 4 25 14 16 4 6 6 19 19 11 48
8 Sedan 32 12 11 9 36 35 16 8 4 4 18 14 16 4 7 5 18 21 1 47
9 Le Mans 32 12 9 11 32 30 16 8 4 4 18 12 16 4 5 7 14 18 2 45
10 Orléans 32 11 11 10 34 32 16 6 6 4 19 13 16 5 5 6 15 19 2 44
11 Red Star 31 12 5 14 48 44 15 6 2 7 23 21 16 6 3 7 25 23 4 41
12 Cholet 32 11 7 14 45 57 16 7 4 5 28 27 16 4 3 9 17 30 -12 40
13 Avranches 32 10 6 16 32 56 16 6 2 8 17 29 16 4 4 8 15 27 -24 36
14 Sète 31 8 7 16 30 40 16 5 6 5 18 15 15 3 1 11 12 25 -10 31
15 Bastia-Borgo 32 7 9 16 39 56 16 6 5 5 27 23 16 1 4 11 12 33 -17 30
16 Boulogne 32 6 9 17 28 46 16 3 7 6 14 20 16 3 2 11 14 26 -18 26
17 Chambly 32 6 8 18 34 58 16 3 6 7 23 30 16 3 2 11 11 28 -24 26
18 Créteil 32 6 7 19 30 52 16 5 4 7 19 22 16 1 3 12 11 30 -22 25

Read more about National

The Championnat de France National, often referred to as just National or Division 3, is the third highest division in French football. It has 18 teams, each playing 34 fixtures to decide the champion. The top three teams in the league table in May are promoted, the four lowest placed sides are relegated.