Ligue 2 prediction and preview: Troyes modest favorites to beat Paris

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Competition: France Ligue 2
Competition: Fri 06.March
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stade de l'Aube (20400 seats)

There should be a significant difference in quality between these teams based on table positions so far, with Troyes leading Paris by 23 points.

Paris could be less fresh than the hosts in this fixture, as they played a Ligue 2 game only four sleeps ago.

W W W W L

Troyes form and stats

Overall Ligue 2 stats at home this season for Troyes are 8-0-5 (wins-draw-losses). The team is able to perform also as the away side, as they are nurturing a very healthy winning streak of four straight victories regardless of arena. The opportunity of a proper winning streak is there for the hosts, with two straight wins here at Stade de l'Aube.

Troyes are returning here after visiting Orleans in a Ligue 2 game and winning with a 2-0 scoreline. Maxime Barthelmé and Hyun-Jun Suk scored the goal(s). Before that game, the 3-1 home victory against Auxerre.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Troyes have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found five games) they have won three times, drawn zero and lost two.

Troyes has scored 19 league goals at home this season, in 13 matches. 16 goals have been conceded.

L W W W L

Paris form and stats

4-4-6 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Paris in their Ligue 2 matches away. Momentum is building for Paris in their away games, having won their two previous outings.

Paris's previous game was their home loss versus Lens (0-2). Preceding that game was the away victory against Clermont with the score of 1-0.

We have checked recent matches where Paris have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those eight games were two victories, two draws and four defeats.

The attacking power of Paris when travelling is not overwhelming with 12 goals scored from 14 league matches away. As opposed to that, Paris have seen the ball go into their own net 17 times on the road.

Head 2 Head

The teams have played each other before this season, with the result Paris - Troyes 1-0 entered in the official records. As for the last six games between these two teams, there's one Troyes victory, two draws and three Paris wins. Over/under statistics; one of these games ended with three goals or more, five matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

Paris
R. Armand
8 goals
Troyes
B. Kouyate
5 goals
TroyesF. Tardieu
F. Tardieu
5 goals

Troyes missing players

Paris missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Troyes Paris
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
27 13 4 Played P 5 14 27
16 8 3 Won W 1 4 7
2 0 0 Drew D 1 4 6
9 5 1 Lost L 3 6 14
33 19 6 Scored S 2 12 21
24 16 3 Conceded C 6 17 39
96% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 80% 86% 89%
59% 85% 75% Over 1.5 O 1.5 40% 50% 59%
41% 69% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 40% 36% 37%
11% 15% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 7% 11%
4% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 7% 11%
41% 62% 50% BTTS BTTS 20% 36% 30%
44% 31% 50% Clean Sheets C S 40% 36% 33%
19% 8% 0% Failed to Score F T 60% 43% 48%
 
5 5.8 4 Corners for (avg) C F 3.4 3.1 3.8
5.3 4.7 4 Corners against (avg) C A 5.2 5.9 4.9
2.3 2.3 1.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.6 2.6 2.6
3 2 0 Red cards R C 2 3 6
 
281 153 40 Total Shots T S 38 111 215
115 63 17 Shots on Target S O 11 42 73
29% 30% 35% Goal Efficiency G E 18% 29% 29%
Key stats in Ligue 2 this season:
  • Paris has the fewest scored goals in the second half (9)
  • Paris have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Troyes has the fewest points from losing position (0)
  • Troyes have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Troyes haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Lorient 27 17 3 7 45 24 14 9 1 4 22 12 13 8 2 3 23 12 21 54
2 Lens 27 14 8 5 38 24 13 8 3 2 18 9 14 6 5 3 20 15 14 50
3 Troyes 27 16 2 9 33 24 13 8 0 5 19 16 14 8 2 4 14 8 9 50
4 Ajaccio 27 14 7 6 37 22 13 5 4 4 16 12 14 9 3 2 21 10 15 49
5 Clermont 27 13 8 6 33 25 13 6 3 4 19 14 14 7 5 2 14 11 8 47
6 Le Havre 27 10 11 6 37 25 13 4 7 2 17 10 14 6 4 4 20 15 12 41
7 Guingamp 27 10 9 8 39 31 14 5 6 3 20 14 13 5 3 5 19 17 8 39
8 Valenciennes 27 10 9 8 21 19 14 7 5 2 14 7 13 3 4 6 7 12 2 39
9 Grenoble Foot 38 27 7 14 6 26 26 13 3 8 2 12 10 14 4 6 4 14 16 0 35
10 Auxerre 27 8 10 9 31 29 14 5 7 2 19 12 13 3 3 7 12 17 2 34
11 Caen 27 8 10 9 32 32 14 4 5 5 14 17 13 4 5 4 18 15 0 34
12 Sochaux 27 8 10 9 28 28 14 6 5 3 17 11 13 2 5 6 11 17 0 34
13 Chambly 27 9 7 11 24 30 14 4 3 7 10 19 13 5 4 4 14 11 -6 34
14 Nancy 27 6 15 6 26 25 14 6 6 2 16 9 13 0 9 4 10 16 1 33
15 Châteauroux 27 8 7 12 20 37 13 2 4 7 9 22 14 6 3 5 11 15 -17 31
16 Rodez 27 7 8 12 29 33 13 5 3 5 20 17 14 2 5 7 9 16 -4 29
17 Paris 27 7 6 14 21 39 13 3 2 8 9 22 14 4 4 6 12 17 -18 27
18 Niort 27 6 7 14 29 40 13 4 4 5 15 15 14 2 3 9 14 25 -11 25
19 Le Mans 27 7 4 16 28 43 14 5 3 6 16 17 13 2 1 10 12 26 -15 25
20 Orleans 27 4 7 16 21 42 14 2 2 10 8 23 13 2 5 6 13 19 -21 19

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Lorient 27 17 3 7 45 24 14 9 1 4 22 12 13 8 2 3 23 12 21 54
2 Lens 27 14 8 5 38 24 13 8 3 2 18 9 14 6 5 3 20 15 14 50
3 Troyes 27 16 2 9 33 24 13 8 0 5 19 16 14 8 2 4 14 8 9 50
4 Ajaccio 27 14 7 6 37 22 13 5 4 4 16 12 14 9 3 2 21 10 15 49
5 Clermont 27 13 8 6 33 25 13 6 3 4 19 14 14 7 5 2 14 11 8 47
6 Le Havre 27 10 11 6 37 25 13 4 7 2 17 10 14 6 4 4 20 15 12 41
7 Guingamp 27 10 9 8 39 31 14 5 6 3 20 14 13 5 3 5 19 17 8 39
8 Valenciennes 27 10 9 8 21 19 14 7 5 2 14 7 13 3 4 6 7 12 2 39
9 Grenoble Foot 38 27 7 14 6 26 26 13 3 8 2 12 10 14 4 6 4 14 16 0 35
10 Auxerre 27 8 10 9 31 29 14 5 7 2 19 12 13 3 3 7 12 17 2 34
11 Caen 27 8 10 9 32 32 14 4 5 5 14 17 13 4 5 4 18 15 0 34
12 Sochaux 27 8 10 9 28 28 14 6 5 3 17 11 13 2 5 6 11 17 0 34
13 Chambly 27 9 7 11 24 30 14 4 3 7 10 19 13 5 4 4 14 11 -6 34
14 Nancy 27 6 15 6 26 25 14 6 6 2 16 9 13 0 9 4 10 16 1 33
15 Châteauroux 27 8 7 12 20 37 13 2 4 7 9 22 14 6 3 5 11 15 -17 31
16 Rodez 27 7 8 12 29 33 13 5 3 5 20 17 14 2 5 7 9 16 -4 29
17 Paris 27 7 6 14 21 39 13 3 2 8 9 22 14 4 4 6 12 17 -18 27
18 Niort 27 6 7 14 29 40 13 4 4 5 15 15 14 2 3 9 14 25 -11 25
19 Le Mans 27 7 4 16 28 43 14 5 3 6 16 17 13 2 1 10 12 26 -15 25
20 Orleans 27 4 7 16 21 42 14 2 2 10 8 23 13 2 5 6 13 19 -21 19

More from France - Ligue 2

Read more about Ligue 2

Ligue 2 is the second highest division in French football. Most games are played at Fridays and Mondays, allowing the top league Ligue 1 “ownership” of the weekend days. 20 teams play 380 fixtures in total, creating a league table where the top three teams promote and the bottom three relegate.