Ligue 2 match prediction: Little separates Pau and Caen in quality

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Competition: France Ligue 2
Competition: Fri 02.June
Match begins: 18:45 (UTC)
Venue: Stade Du Hameau Idron 1 (13970 seats)

The guesting Caen team are probably favourites at Pau, as the away team have a 15 point advantage from their 37 league fixtures this season.

Insights:
  • Pau have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Caen have the most points from losing position (21) in Ligue 2

Relegation threatens Pau who should definitely be looking for some points here. For Caen most of the excitement is over as they will neither be promoted or relegated this season.

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 800 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

Pau and Caen should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

W L D L L

Pau form and stats

5-6-7 (win-draw-lost) are the Ligue 2 numbers at home for Pau so far this season. Two defeats in a row at home hurts for Pau, their manager Tholot and the supporters. There are certain expectations for improvement.

Happy days for Pau in their previous game, a fixture away at Rodez (placed 16th) that ended with a 3-2 victory. Finally, a league victory after four games without one. George has scored in four matches in a row. Impressive! The attacker George was declared "man of the match" for Pau with a rating of 8.34/10. George scored one goal, served one assist and hit one key pass.

Preceding that match was a defeat to Bastia (2-6).

If you like betting on "both teams to score": A review of the 10 latest league matches reveals that 8 of them had at least one goal from each side.

Pau are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 19 goals in 18 games. Defensively it’s touch-and-go for the home team as 27 goals have been conceded.

D W W L L

Caen form and stats

Playing away, Caen have won 5 games, drawn 5 and suffered 8 defeats in the Ligue 2 this season.

There were no winners in Caen's previous match, the home game that ended 2-2 vs Saint-Étienne (placed 10th). The match against Saint-Étienne looked like a defeat for Caen, but they did not accept the outcome and clawed their way back to 2-2. Essende equalized in the 85th minute. The draw against Saint-Étienne came from a losing position. The Caen manager Moulin brought on Essende as a substitute and the player scored to make the scores level. Mendy, attacking player, was the top performer on the team in that game, scoring a match rating of 8.04. Mendy scored one goal and dribled past the opponent 2 of 2 times.

Preceding that game was the away victory against Amiens SC with the score of 3-1.

Observe that 10 of this side's 11 latest league rounds have ended with three or more goals.

The visiting Caen have scored more than one goal per away game in the league so far. The grand total is 19 goals from 18 games. 25 goals have been conceded by Caen in these games.

Head 2 Head

Pau have avoided a loss in the last 5 matches (3-2-0) facing Caen.

The duelists have battled earlier this season: Caen - Pau 1-1.

Top Goalscorers

CaenA. Mendy
A. Mendy
19 goals
PauY. Begraoui
Y. Begraoui
9 goals
PauH. Saivet
H. Saivet
7 goals

Pau missing players

Caen missing players

Pau Caen
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
37 18 5 Played P 6 18 37
11 5 0 Won W 2 5 16
11 6 1 Drew D 1 5 11
15 7 4 Lost L 3 8 10
39 19 3 Scored S 7 19 52
52 27 13 Conceded C 12 25 42
95% 89% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 94% 89%
62% 56% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 83% 72% 70%
38% 44% 40% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 50% 54%
24% 28% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 22% 30%
14% 11% 20% Over 4.5 O 4.5 17% 6% 8%
49% 44% 40% BTTS BTTS 50% 61% 62%
24% 28% 0% Clean Sheets C S 17% 11% 22%
32% 39% 60% Failed to Score F T 33% 33% 27%
 
4 4.8 4.4 Corners for (avg) C F 4.5 4.4 5
4.8 3.2 2.6 Corners against (avg) C A 3.7 3.8 3.7
2 1.7 1.6 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 1.8 1.8
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 2
 
9 10.7 11 Shots (avg) S ( 11.5 10 11.6
3.6 4.1 2.6 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.2 3.2 3.9
30% 26% 23% Goal Efficiency G E 37% 33% 36%
 
11.2 8.5 10 Shots against (avg) S A 8.8 9.3 8.6
4.6 3.7 4.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4 3.5 3.3
Key stats in Ligue 2 this season:
  • Caen have the most points from losing position (21) in Ligue 2
  • Pau have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Pau have won significantly more corners at home than away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Le Havre 37 19 15 3 45 19 18 10 7 1 22 9 19 9 8 2 23 10 26 72
2 Metz 37 19 12 6 58 31 18 9 7 2 25 13 19 10 5 4 33 18 27 69
3 Bordeaux 37 20 9 8 51 27 18 12 4 2 28 9 19 8 5 6 23 18 24 69
4 Bastia 37 17 9 11 50 42 19 11 4 4 26 15 18 6 5 7 24 27 8 60
5 Caen 37 16 11 10 52 42 19 11 6 2 33 17 18 5 5 8 19 25 10 59
6 Sochaux 37 15 7 15 53 38 19 9 4 6 31 18 18 6 3 9 22 20 15 52
7 Guingamp 37 14 10 13 49 46 19 7 4 8 26 24 18 7 6 5 23 22 3 52
8 Paris 37 14 10 13 44 43 18 7 3 8 23 22 19 7 7 5 21 21 1 52
9 Grenoble Foot 38 37 14 9 14 33 34 18 9 5 4 19 14 19 5 4 10 14 20 -1 51
10 Saint-Étienne 37 14 11 12 61 57 18 9 4 5 32 27 19 5 7 7 29 30 4 50
11 Quevilly Rouen 37 12 13 12 44 46 19 6 9 4 28 24 18 6 4 8 16 22 -2 49
12 Amiens SC 37 13 8 16 39 50 18 8 3 7 19 20 19 5 5 9 20 30 -11 47
13 Valenciennes 37 10 15 12 42 47 19 6 11 2 27 23 18 4 4 10 15 24 -5 45
14 Annecy 37 11 12 14 39 50 19 9 4 6 18 18 18 2 8 8 21 32 -11 45
15 Pau 37 11 11 15 39 52 18 5 6 7 19 27 19 6 5 8 20 25 -13 44
16 Rodez 37 10 13 14 38 44 19 4 7 8 18 27 18 6 6 6 20 17 -6 43
17 Laval 37 13 4 20 42 55 19 9 2 8 27 24 18 4 2 12 15 31 -13 43
18 Dijon 37 10 12 15 38 42 19 7 7 5 21 17 18 3 5 10 17 25 -4 42
19 Nîmes 37 9 6 22 41 61 18 8 2 8 24 22 19 1 4 14 17 39 -20 33
20 Niort 37 7 7 23 32 64 18 5 3 10 21 33 19 2 4 13 11 31 -32 28

Read more about Ligue 2

Ligue 2 is the second highest division in French football. Most games are played at Fridays and Mondays, allowing the top league Ligue 1 “ownership” of the weekend days. 20 teams play 380 fixtures in total, creating a league table where the top three teams promote and the bottom three relegate.