Home advantage could prove decisive in Paris - Bastia battle

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Competition: France Ligue 2
Competition: Fri 03.December
Match begins: 20:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stade Maryse Hilsz

A victory to the home team is expected from this game if the league standings is anything to judge by. The Paris followers are hopeful that the gap between 5th and Bastia's 14th place in the table will be revealed on the pitch.

Insights:
  • Paris have the fewest points from losing position (0) in Ligue 2
  • Bastia have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

Paris and Bastia should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

These teams have little in common geographically as Bastia have to travel 1100 kilometers to reach their opponents. The trip home will be especially long if the match ends in defeat.

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Paris form and stats

The story so far in the Ligue 2 for Paris at their home stadium (Stade Maryse Hilsz) is 3 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat.

Defensively the home team are doing well, with their goalkeeper Vincent De Marconnay not having conceded a league goal in 275 minutes.

The Paris supporters enjoyed the previous match, watching their team host CSC Cayenne in Coupe de France and win 14-0. As mentioned above, Paris "killed" CSC Cayenne in their previous game. They need to reset completely for this one and beware of complacency.

In the preceding match a 1-0 victory visiting Caen.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Paris have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found eight games) they have won five times, drawn one and lost two.

Paris has scored 9 league goals at home this season, in 7 matches. Paris are not conceding a lot of goals here at Stade Maryse Hilsz in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 6 from 7 matches.

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Bastia form and stats

There's been little loot from Bastia's travels as they have only collected 6 points from 8 away games in the Ligue 2. Bastia only have 2 wins to counter their 6 defeats and 0 draws.

Bastia are the visiting side once again, their previous game being the 1-1 draw at Les Herbiers (after extra-time, 3-4 on penalties).

Before that, Bastia secured a home win against Niort with the score 2-0.

We have checked recent matches where Bastia have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those three games were one victory, one draw and one defeat.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Bastia as they have only managed to score 7 times from 8 away games in the league. As for defending, Bastia rarely keep clean sheets as they have conceded 13 goals from these away matches.

Head 2 Head

Previous two meetings featuring these sides: Paris won zero, Bastia triumphed in two and we saw zero draws. two games with more than 2,5 goals, zero matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

BastiaB. Santelli
B. Santelli
6 goals
ParisM. Guilavogui
M. Guilavogui
4 goals
ParisG. Laura
G. Laura
3 goals

Paris missing players

Bastia missing players

Paris Bastia
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
16 7 3 Played P 2 8 16
8 3 1 Won W 0 2 4
3 3 1 Drew D 0 0 6
5 1 1 Lost L 2 6 6
19 9 3 Scored S 0 7 14
15 6 3 Conceded C 2 13 16
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 81%
56% 71% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 75% 69%
31% 29% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 50% 25%
19% 14% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 12% 6%
6% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 12% 6%
38% 57% 67% BTTS BTTS 0% 50% 44%
38% 29% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 31%
25% 14% 33% Failed to Score F T 100% 50% 44%
 
5.5 5.9 8.3 Corners for (avg) C F 2.5 4 3.8
4.3 4.3 1.7 Corners against (avg) C A 1.5 5 4.1
1.2 1 0.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.5 2 1.9
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
9.3 9.6 11.3 Shots (avg) S ( 8 7.8 8.3
4.6 5.1 7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3 3 3.1
26% 25% 14% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 29% 29%
 
7.6 7 6.3 Shots against (avg) S A 9.5 10 8.8
2.6 2.6 2.7 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.5 4.1 3.6
Key stats in Ligue 2 this season:
  • Bastia have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Bastia have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Bastia haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Paris have the fewest points from losing position (0) in Ligue 2
  • Paris haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Toulouse 16 9 6 1 36 14 8 5 2 1 22 9 8 4 4 0 14 5 22 33
2 Ajaccio 16 9 4 3 18 8 8 6 1 1 10 2 8 3 3 2 8 6 10 31
3 Auxerre 16 8 5 3 26 18 8 5 2 1 16 5 8 3 3 2 10 13 8 29
4 Sochaux 16 8 4 4 15 12 8 4 2 2 6 4 8 4 2 2 9 8 3 28
5 Paris 16 8 3 5 19 15 7 3 3 1 9 6 9 5 0 4 10 9 4 27
6 Le Havre 16 6 8 2 15 9 9 4 4 1 9 5 7 2 4 1 6 4 6 26
7 Pau 16 7 3 6 17 16 9 6 1 2 12 5 7 1 2 4 5 11 1 24
8 Rodez 16 6 4 6 18 16 7 2 3 2 7 6 9 4 1 4 11 10 2 22
9 Niort 16 6 3 7 16 18 7 3 1 3 8 7 9 3 2 4 8 11 -2 21
10 Grenoble Foot 38 16 6 3 7 15 19 8 5 1 2 12 8 8 1 2 5 3 11 -4 21
11 Nîmes 16 5 5 6 19 20 8 2 3 3 8 10 8 3 2 3 11 10 -1 20
12 Dijon 16 6 1 9 17 22 9 4 1 4 12 12 7 2 0 5 5 10 -5 19
13 Valenciennes 16 5 4 7 13 22 8 2 1 5 7 15 8 3 3 2 6 7 -9 19
14 Bastia 16 4 6 6 14 16 8 2 6 0 7 3 8 2 0 6 7 13 -2 18
15 Guingamp 16 4 6 6 18 22 7 2 2 3 10 11 9 2 4 3 8 11 -4 18
16 Caen 16 4 5 7 16 17 9 2 1 6 10 11 7 2 4 1 6 6 -1 17
17 Quevilly Rouen 16 4 5 7 14 21 7 1 3 3 5 9 9 3 2 4 9 12 -7 17
18 Dunkerque 16 4 4 8 14 19 9 2 3 4 6 9 7 2 1 4 8 10 -5 16
19 Amiens SC 16 2 9 5 15 17 8 1 4 3 7 8 8 1 5 2 8 9 -2 15
20 Nancy 16 2 6 8 12 26 8 1 3 4 5 14 8 1 3 4 7 12 -14 12

Read more about Ligue 2

Ligue 2 is the second highest division in French football. Most games are played at Fridays and Mondays, allowing the top league Ligue 1 “ownership” of the weekend days. 20 teams play 380 fixtures in total, creating a league table where the top three teams promote and the bottom three relegate.