Ligue 2 match prediction: Little separates Bastia and Auxerre in quality

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Competition: France Ligue 2
Competition: Sat 02.April
Match begins: 17:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stade Armand-Césari (16078 seats)

Both Bastia and Auxerre are hungry for points in this game, despite the guesting team having a 17 point edge so far.

Insights:
  • Bastia have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Auxerre have the most matches over the total-line (15) in Ligue 2

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 900 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

D W W D L

Bastia form and stats

Bastia have played 15 Ligue 2 games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 4-11-0 (wins-draws-losses). The Bastia fans aren't used to losing league-games here at Stade Armand-Césari and will expect new points from this game. Bastia has played 16 games in a row here without a defeat.

The home team returns to Stade Armand-Césari after drawing with Grenoble Foot 38 (placed 16th) on their last time out; the game ended 1-1. Cardinal was "man of the match" with a rating of 8.02 out of 10. The defender Cardinal scored one goal and won 7 of 11 duels.

Before that game, the 1-0 home victory against Dunkerque.

This is expected to be a close game, with Bastia perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Bastia as a small favourite), we find six games. Bastia has won three of these, drawn two and lost one.

As for guarding their own goal, Bastia have only let in 7 goals at home.

L W W W W

Auxerre form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their Ligue 2 travels is 8 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats. Auxerre are enjoying a nice run from their away games now, having played seven in a row without losing.

The manager Furlan was unhappy after their last game, played at their home venue Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps. Auxerre suffered a 1-2 loss to Toulouse (placed 1st). Defender Jubal was the best team player with a rating of 7.33. Jubal won 2 of 3 duels.

Before that one, a nice away victory 2-1 at Nîmes.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Auxerre playing away and similar expectations, we found eight relevant matches. Results were two Auxerre wins, four draws and two defeats.

Auxerre are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 20 away goals from 15 games (in the league). 16 goals have been conceded by Auxerre in these games.

Head 2 Head

The fixture lists shows this result when the sides played each other previously this season; Auxerre - Bastia 1-0. Stats for the preceeding five meetings between these two sides are: three wins for Bastia, zero draws and two wins for Auxerre. Over 2,5 goals: three times; under 2,5 goals: two games.

Top Goalscorers

AuxerreG. Charbonnier
G. Charbonnier
14 goals
BastiaB. Santelli
B. Santelli
8 goals
AuxerreG. Hein
G. Hein
7 goals

Bastia missing players

Auxerre missing players

Bastia Auxerre
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
30 15 4 Played P 6 15 30
8 4 1 Won W 5 8 15
13 11 3 Drew D 1 5 9
9 0 0 Lost L 0 2 6
30 15 4 Scored S 12 20 47
28 7 2 Conceded C 3 16 33
80% 67% 50% Over 0.5 O 0.5 83% 80% 87%
63% 60% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 67% 70%
30% 13% 25% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 47% 57%
10% 7% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 27% 33%
7% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 17% 13% 17%
47% 40% 25% BTTS BTTS 50% 53% 57%
37% 60% 75% Clean Sheets C S 50% 40% 40%
37% 33% 50% Failed to Score F T 17% 27% 17%
 
4.2 4.5 4.2 Corners for (avg) C F 3.7 4.2 4.4
4.2 3.6 4.8 Corners against (avg) C A 3.5 4.9 4.2
2.3 2.2 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.2 1.7 1.6
2 1 1 Red cards R C 1 3 6
 
7.8 8.6 7.8 Shots (avg) S ( 11.7 9.5 9.9
3.3 3.7 3.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 7.2 4.9 5
30% 27% 29% Goal Efficiency G E 28% 27% 31%
 
8.2 7 7.2 Shots against (avg) S A 7 8.5 8.4
3.1 2.6 2.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3.7 4.1 3.6
Key stats in Ligue 2 this season:
  • Auxerre have the most matches over the total-line (15) in Ligue 2
  • Bastia have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Bastia have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Toulouse 30 18 9 3 69 26 15 10 4 1 44 12 15 8 5 2 25 14 43 63
2 Paris 30 16 8 6 43 27 15 9 5 1 24 10 15 7 3 5 19 17 16 56
3 Ajaccio 30 16 7 7 26 15 15 9 3 3 14 5 15 7 4 4 12 10 11 55
4 Auxerre 30 15 9 6 47 33 15 7 4 4 27 17 15 8 5 2 20 16 14 54
5 Sochaux 30 14 9 7 35 28 15 8 4 3 16 10 15 6 5 4 19 18 7 51
6 Le Havre 30 10 11 9 29 31 16 5 5 6 14 16 14 5 6 3 15 15 -2 41
7 Caen 30 10 9 11 42 34 15 7 1 7 24 15 15 3 8 4 18 19 8 39
8 Niort 30 11 6 13 31 31 15 7 3 5 18 11 15 4 3 8 13 20 0 39
9 Pau 30 11 6 13 30 33 15 9 1 5 20 12 15 2 5 8 10 21 -3 39
10 Nîmes 30 11 6 13 35 39 15 5 4 6 18 19 15 6 2 7 17 20 -4 39
11 Guingamp 30 9 12 9 33 37 15 6 6 3 22 18 15 3 6 6 11 19 -4 39
12 Dijon 30 11 5 14 34 37 15 7 2 6 19 17 15 4 3 8 15 20 -3 38
13 Amiens SC 30 8 13 9 37 33 16 7 5 4 25 12 14 1 8 5 12 21 4 37
14 Bastia 30 8 13 9 30 28 15 4 11 0 15 7 15 4 2 9 15 21 2 37
15 Valenciennes 30 8 12 10 30 38 15 4 4 7 18 25 15 4 8 3 12 13 -8 36
16 Grenoble Foot 38 30 9 6 15 23 37 15 6 3 6 16 17 15 3 3 9 7 20 -14 33
17 Rodez 30 7 11 12 24 34 14 3 7 4 11 13 16 4 4 8 13 21 -10 32
18 Quevilly Rouen 30 7 10 13 24 40 14 3 7 4 12 16 16 4 3 9 12 24 -16 31
19 Dunkerque 30 8 6 16 23 37 16 5 5 6 13 15 14 3 1 10 10 22 -14 30
20 Nancy 30 5 8 17 25 52 14 4 4 6 13 20 16 1 4 11 12 32 -27 23

Read more about Ligue 2

Ligue 2 is the second highest division in French football. Most games are played at Fridays and Mondays, allowing the top league Ligue 1 “ownership” of the weekend days. 20 teams play 380 fixtures in total, creating a league table where the top three teams promote and the bottom three relegate.