Ligue 1 match prediction: Little separates Troyes and Montpellier in quality

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Competition: France Ligue 1
Competition: Sun 19.February
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stade de l'Aube (20400 seats)

Develop their own match tactics or make adjustments according to the opponent? Both Troyes and Montpellier have to try something more original than what they have done uptil now. Learn more!

Insights:
  • Troyes have the most conceded goals (52) in Ligue 1
  • Montpellier haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

We should expect both teams to be fresh and ready for this match, as there is some time since both teams last played. Let's have a look at how the teams are doing!

L L L D L

Troyes form and stats

With 1 Ligue 1 win, 7 draws and 3 defeats from their home games, Troyes are certainly not brimming with confidence. Troyes are slowly digging their own grave here at Stade de l'Aube with the depressing streak of not having won a home league game in nine attempts.

No payout for Troyes in their previous match, an away game at Reims that ended in defeat 0-4. As you see from the result above, Troyes suffered greatly in their last game. Thankfully the team has a new chance to prove themselves in this one. Troyes's goalkeeper Gallon was extremely busy against Reims, saving the team from a uglier defeat with a stunning six saves. The forward Lopes was declared "man of the match" for Troyes with the rating of 7.44/10. Lopes hit three key passes and dribled past the opponent 1 of 2 times.

Ahead of that match, Troyes lost 1-3 at home to Olympique Lyonnais.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Troyes have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found 11 matches with the results: Won 2, drawn 7 and lost 2.

Take note that 13 of the most recent 16 league matches from these players have seen goals scored by both sides.

Troyes has scored 12 league goals at home this season, in 11 matches. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Troyes defense is not exactly impregnable. 17 goals conceded from 11 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above. Troyes has at home met teams with this table position (low), three times. It has ended with less than 2.5 goals 2 of 3 times.

W L L W L

Montpellier form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Montpellier so far with only 10 points returning home. The records show 3-1-7 (win-draw-lose).

Montpellier had fun at their own home (Stade de l'Aube) last time out, beating Brest 3-0. Savanier and Wahi scored. Savanier got a match rating of 8.01 in that game, top player of the team. Savanier scored one goal, hit the woodwork once, hit one key pass, dribled past the opponent 9 of 12 times and had 26 successful passes (of 31 total).

Prior to that match, the Montpellier manager Zakarian faced defeat when travelling to Strasbourg and losing 0-2.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found 9 similar matches played by Montpellier in our archives, and the results are: 4 wins for Montpellier, 3 draws and 2 defeats.

Montpellier are not goal shy away from home in the league, finding the net 18 times in 11 away games so far. For Montpellier, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

The two combatants have met earlier this season: Montpellier - Troyes 3-2. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's one Troyes victory, five draws and four Montpellier wins. Over/under statistics; three of these games ended with three goals or more, seven matches with two goals or less.

Troyes missing players

Montpellier missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Troyes Montpellier
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
23 11 3 Played P 4 11 23
4 1 1 Won W 2 3 7
7 7 2 Drew D 0 1 2
12 3 0 Lost L 2 7 14
33 12 5 Scored S 10 18 34
52 17 3 Conceded C 4 24 45
96% 91% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
91% 91% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 91% 96%
70% 45% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 55% 65%
61% 36% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 25% 36% 30%
35% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 36% 22%
78% 73% 100% BTTS BTTS 25% 45% 57%
4% 9% 0% Clean Sheets C S 50% 27% 22%
22% 27% 0% Failed to Score F T 25% 27% 22%
 
4.2 5.4 7 Corners for (avg) C F 4.8 4.3 4.5
5.7 5.5 4.3 Corners against (avg) C A 4 4.5 5
1.7 1.8 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.5 2.4 2
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 7
 
12 12.7 20.3 Shots (avg) S ( 9.8 10 10.8
4.1 3.7 7.3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.8 3.2 3.9
35% 29% 23% Goal Efficiency G E 67% 51% 38%
 
15 14.4 12.3 Shots against (avg) S A 10.5 13.5 14.4
5.4 4.1 3.3 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 2.5 5.2 5.5
Key stats in Ligue 1 this season:
  • Montpellier haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Troyes have the fewest clean sheets (1) in Ligue 1
  • Troyes have the most conceded goals (52) in Ligue 1
  • Troyes have the most conceded goals in the second half (32) in Ligue 1
  • Troyes have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Troyes is in the worst form (0-1-5)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 PSG 23 17 3 3 55 20 11 9 2 0 26 10 12 8 1 3 29 10 35 54
2 Olympique Marseille 23 15 4 4 45 20 12 7 2 3 23 13 11 8 2 1 22 7 25 49
3 Monaco 23 14 5 4 51 30 12 7 2 3 29 19 11 7 3 1 22 11 21 47
4 Lens 23 13 7 3 35 18 11 10 0 1 22 8 12 3 7 2 13 10 17 46
5 Lille 23 12 5 6 40 27 12 7 3 2 23 17 11 5 2 4 17 10 13 41
6 Rennes 23 12 4 7 42 28 12 10 0 2 28 10 11 2 4 5 14 18 14 40
7 Nice 23 10 7 6 29 21 11 5 3 3 15 10 12 5 4 3 14 11 8 37
8 Lorient 23 10 6 7 35 35 11 5 3 3 16 14 12 5 3 4 19 21 0 36
9 Olympique Lyonnais 23 10 5 8 35 25 12 6 3 3 19 10 11 4 2 5 16 15 10 35
10 Reims 23 7 12 4 30 26 11 5 4 2 18 13 12 2 8 2 12 13 4 33
11 Toulouse 23 9 5 9 39 39 12 6 4 2 23 17 11 3 1 7 16 22 0 32
12 Clermont 23 8 6 9 24 31 12 4 2 6 10 20 11 4 4 3 14 11 -7 30
13 Nantes 23 6 10 7 24 26 11 4 5 2 13 11 12 2 5 5 11 15 -2 28
14 Montpellier 23 7 2 14 34 45 12 4 1 7 16 21 11 3 1 7 18 24 -11 23
15 Brest 23 4 8 11 24 38 11 2 5 4 12 18 12 2 3 7 12 20 -14 20
16 Troyes 23 4 7 12 33 52 11 1 7 3 12 17 12 3 0 9 21 35 -19 19
17 Strasbourg 23 3 9 11 27 41 12 1 6 5 14 20 11 2 3 6 13 21 -14 18
18 Ajaccio 23 5 3 15 18 41 11 2 1 8 7 18 12 3 2 7 11 23 -23 18
19 Auxerre 23 3 6 14 19 47 11 2 4 5 9 19 12 1 2 9 10 28 -28 15
20 Angers SCO 23 2 4 17 19 48 12 1 2 9 13 25 11 1 2 8 6 23 -29 10

Montpellier:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 PSG 23 17 3 3 55 20 11 9 2 0 26 10 12 8 1 3 29 10 35 54
2 Olympique Marseille 23 15 4 4 45 20 12 7 2 3 23 13 11 8 2 1 22 7 25 49
3 Monaco 23 14 5 4 51 30 12 7 2 3 29 19 11 7 3 1 22 11 21 47
4 Lens 23 13 7 3 35 18 11 10 0 1 22 8 12 3 7 2 13 10 17 46
5 Lille 23 12 5 6 40 27 12 7 3 2 23 17 11 5 2 4 17 10 13 41
6 Rennes 23 12 4 7 42 28 12 10 0 2 28 10 11 2 4 5 14 18 14 40
7 Nice 23 10 7 6 29 21 11 5 3 3 15 10 12 5 4 3 14 11 8 37
8 Lorient 23 10 6 7 35 35 11 5 3 3 16 14 12 5 3 4 19 21 0 36
9 Olympique Lyonnais 23 10 5 8 35 25 12 6 3 3 19 10 11 4 2 5 16 15 10 35
10 Reims 23 7 12 4 30 26 11 5 4 2 18 13 12 2 8 2 12 13 4 33
11 Toulouse 23 9 5 9 39 39 12 6 4 2 23 17 11 3 1 7 16 22 0 32
12 Clermont 23 8 6 9 24 31 12 4 2 6 10 20 11 4 4 3 14 11 -7 30
13 Nantes 23 6 10 7 24 26 11 4 5 2 13 11 12 2 5 5 11 15 -2 28
14 Montpellier 23 7 2 14 34 45 12 4 1 7 16 21 11 3 1 7 18 24 -11 23
15 Brest 23 4 8 11 24 38 11 2 5 4 12 18 12 2 3 7 12 20 -14 20
16 Troyes 23 4 7 12 33 52 11 1 7 3 12 17 12 3 0 9 21 35 -19 19
17 Strasbourg 23 3 9 11 27 41 12 1 6 5 14 20 11 2 3 6 13 21 -14 18
18 Ajaccio 23 5 3 15 18 41 11 2 1 8 7 18 12 3 2 7 11 23 -23 18
19 Auxerre 23 3 6 14 19 47 11 2 4 5 9 19 12 1 2 9 10 28 -28 15
20 Angers SCO 23 2 4 17 19 48 12 1 2 9 13 25 11 1 2 8 6 23 -29 10

More from France - Ligue 1

Read more about Ligue 1

Ligue 1 is the top league in the French football league system. Seasons run from August to May with 20 teams playing a total of 380 fixtures. The team topping the league table after the final game is the champion of France, receiving the trophy L’Hexagoal. Ligue 1 is one of the top five European leagues.