Ligue 1 match prediction: Little separates Nice and Olympique Lyonnais in quality

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Competition: France Ligue 1
Competition: Sun 24.October
Match begins: 11:00 (UTC)
Venue: Allianz Riviera (36178 seats)

A total of nine rounds of games have gone by and both Nice and Olympique Lyonnais are doing great. Let's start!

Insights:
  • Nice have the fewest conceded goals (5) in Ligue 1
  • Olympique Lyonnais have the fewest scored goals (3) away in Ligue 1

It’s a hectic schedule for the away team, as they were in action only three days ago in the Europa League. That game was also an away game, at Sparta Praha. It will be interesting to see if they are fully ready and rested for this match, and/or if some changes in the lineup is necessary.

L W W L D

Nice form and stats

Overall Ligue 1 stats at home this season for Nice, who have the fewest conceded goals (5) in Ligue 1, are 2-2-0 (wins-draws-losses).

In their previous game, the manager C. Galtier led his Nice to a defeat in the Ligue 1 match away at Troyes. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Allianz Riviera. Youcef Atal, defender, was given a rating of 7.65/10 in that game, top of the team. Atal hit one key pass and won 8 of 11 duels.

Previous to that game, a home match hosting Brest in a game that was won 2-1.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Nice have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found seven matches with the results: Won three, drawn one and lost three.

The match schedule is unforgiving for Nice as they have a new game in only three days, a Ligue 1 match thankfully also at home. Olympique Marseille are visiting.

Goals decide football matches and Nice are scoring many of them at home; 8 on target from 4 league matches. Nice are not conceding a lot of goals here at Allianz Riviera in the league, averaging less than one per game. The total is 3 from 4 matches.

W W D W D

Olympique Lyonnais form and stats

1 win, 1 draw and 2 losses. That’s the product of Olympique Lyonnais, who have the fewest scored goals (3) away in Ligue 1, playing as the away team in the Ligue 1 this season.

Two travels in a row for Olympique, whose manager P. Bosz could celebrate last time after the Europa League win against Sparta Praha. An amazing comeback from Olympique last time out, trailing 0-2 before rallying an inspired fight which eventually led to Karl Toko Ekambi scoring the winning goal in the 88th minute. As you can tell from the result, the match against Sparta Praha was as crazy as a clown in a village circus. Great fun for the neutral supporter with 7 goals, will the fun continue today? Bruno Guimarães got a match rating of 8.1 in that game, top player of the team. Guimarães served one assist, hit one key pass, dribled past the opponent 3 of 3 times and had 67 successful passes (of 77 total).

Prior to that match, a home win 2-0 against Monaco in the Ligue 1.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found four similar matches played by Olympique Lyonnais in our archives, and the results are: two wins for Olympique Lyonnais, zero draws and two defeats.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Olympique as they have only managed to score 3 times from 4 away games in the league. As for defending, Olympique rarely keep clean sheets as they have conceded 6 goals from these away matches.

Head 2 Head

H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Nice four wins, zero draws and Olympique Lyonnais six victories. As for goals, seven matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), three games had two or less.

Nice missing players

Olympique Lyonnais missing players

Nice Olympique Lyonnais
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
9 4 0 Played P 2 4 10
5 2 0 Won W 0 1 4
2 2 0 Drew D 0 1 4
2 0 0 Lost L 2 2 2
17 8 0 Scored S 1 3 16
5 3 0 Conceded C 5 6 13
89% 75% 0% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
67% 75% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 75% 90%
56% 75% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 50% 50%
33% 50% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 0% 30%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 10%
22% 50% 0% BTTS BTTS 50% 50% 70%
56% 50% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 25% 20%
33% 25% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 25% 10%
 
5 4.5 0 Corners for (avg) C F 4 4.5 5.4
3.7 1.5 0 Corners against (avg) C A 8 7 5.6
2 1.8 0 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 2.8 1.9
0 0 0 Red cards R C 1 3 4
 
12.1 13.8 0 Shots (avg) S ( 10 12.2 14.4
4.8 5.5 0 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4 4.5 5.6
40% 36% 0% Goal Efficiency G E 12% 17% 29%
Key stats in Ligue 1 this season:
  • Nice have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Nice have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Nice have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Nice have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Olympique Lyonnais have scored away.
  • Nice have the fewest conceded goals (5) in Ligue 1
  • Nice have the fewest conceded goals in the second half (2) in Ligue 1
  • Nice have the most clean sheets (5) in Ligue 1
  • Nice have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • Olympique Lyonnais have the fewest scored goals (3) away in Ligue 1
  • Olympique Lyonnais have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Olympique Lyonnais haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Paris Saint Germain 10 9 0 1 24 10 5 5 0 0 14 4 5 4 0 1 10 6 14 27
2 Lens 10 5 3 2 16 11 5 2 2 1 7 5 5 3 1 1 9 6 5 18
3 Olympique Marseille 9 5 2 2 18 11 5 3 1 1 13 7 4 2 1 1 5 4 7 17
4 Nice 9 5 2 2 17 5 4 2 2 0 8 3 5 3 0 2 9 2 12 16
5 Angers SCO 10 4 4 2 15 11 5 3 1 1 9 6 5 1 3 1 6 5 4 16
6 Olympique Lyonnais 10 4 4 2 16 13 6 3 3 0 13 7 4 1 1 2 3 6 3 16
7 Rennes 10 4 3 3 15 9 5 3 1 1 10 3 5 1 2 2 5 6 6 15
8 Strasbourg 10 4 2 4 18 15 6 3 1 2 13 7 4 1 1 2 5 8 3 14
9 Nantes 10 4 2 4 14 11 5 3 0 2 7 4 5 1 2 2 7 7 3 14
10 Monaco 10 4 2 4 14 13 5 2 1 2 7 6 5 2 1 2 7 7 1 14
11 Lille 10 4 2 4 13 15 4 3 0 1 6 6 6 1 2 3 7 9 -2 14
12 Lorient 10 3 5 2 11 13 4 3 1 0 5 2 6 0 4 2 6 11 -2 14
13 Montpellier 10 3 4 3 17 16 6 3 2 1 12 8 4 0 2 2 5 8 1 13
14 Clermont 10 3 4 3 13 20 5 2 2 1 7 6 5 1 2 2 6 14 -7 13
15 Reims 10 2 5 3 11 12 4 1 2 1 6 6 6 1 3 2 5 6 -1 11
16 Troyes 10 2 3 5 9 14 5 1 2 2 5 6 5 1 1 3 4 8 -5 9
17 Bordeaux 10 1 5 4 12 21 5 0 3 2 5 8 5 1 2 2 7 13 -9 8
18 Metz 10 1 3 6 11 22 5 0 2 3 5 11 5 1 1 3 6 11 -11 6
19 Brest 10 0 5 5 11 19 5 0 3 2 6 9 5 0 2 3 5 10 -8 5
20 Saint-Étienne 10 0 4 6 9 23 5 0 3 2 4 8 5 0 1 4 5 15 -14 4

Nice:
Olympique Lyonnais:

Read more about Ligue 1

Ligue 1 is the top league in the French football league system. Seasons run from August to May with 20 teams playing a total of 380 fixtures. The team topping the league table after the final game is the champion of France, receiving the trophy L’Hexagoal. Ligue 1 is one of the top five European leagues.