Ligue 1 match prediction: Little separates Nice and Montpellier in quality

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Competition: France Ligue 1
Competition: Sat 21.March
Match begins: 19:00 (UTC)
Venue: Allianz Riviera (36178 seats)

It's advantage Nice so far with their 6th position in the Ligue 1 table, welcoming Montpellier who are placed 8th.

Both teams have had enough rest since their last competitive action. Let's hope for an energetic game!

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Nice form and stats

When playing at home in the Ligue 1, Nice have managed 8 wins, 4 draws and suffered 3 defeats from 15 games.

Nice's last game was hosting Monaco (placed 9th) and winning 2-1. Before that, Nice played out a draw 1-1 when visiting Bordeaux.

Some amazing scenes last match, when Kasper Dolberg scored the winning goal two minutes into stoppage time.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Nice have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found twelve matches with the results: Won seven, drawn five and lost zero.

Nice have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Allianz Riviera with 28 goals in 15 league matches. On the other hand, Nice have conceded 20 goals.

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Montpellier form and stats

There's been little loot from Montpellier's travels as they have only collected 8 points from 14 away games in the Ligue 1. Montpellier only have 1 win to counter their 8 defeats and 5 draws. It's all red in the travel logs of Montpellier, having lost four matches in a row as the visiting team.

It might be tough going out on the road again for Montpellier, facing their second straight away game. Especially as the previous game, ended with a defeat 0-5 versus Rennes (placed 3rd). That result followed a home victory 3-0 versus Strasbourg.

Montpellier lost the plot completely in their previous game, as mentioned above. They need to recover quickly from that 0-5 beating and focus on this one.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found eleven similar matches played by Montpellier in our archives, and the results are: two wins for Montpellier, three draws and six defeats.

The visitors have scored 9 goals from 14 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Montpellier have conceded 24 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

This is not the first time this season these parties meet, as the history books show this recent fixture: Montpellier - Nice 2-1. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: five - one - four (Nice wins - draws - Montpellier wins). As for goals, three matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), seven had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

NiceK. Dolberg
K. Dolberg
11 goals
MontpellierA. Delort
A. Delort
9 goals
NiceW. Cyprien
W. Cyprien
7 goals

Nice missing players

Montpellier missing players

Nice Montpellier
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
28 15 4 Played P 5 14 28
11 8 3 Won W 0 1 11
8 4 1 Drew D 1 5 7
9 3 0 Lost L 4 8 10
41 28 8 Scored S 2 9 35
38 20 4 Conceded C 14 24 34
96% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 93% 93%
89% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 80% 57% 61%
61% 73% 75% Over 2.5 O 2.5 60% 43% 50%
25% 33% 25% Over 3.5 O 3.5 40% 29% 29%
11% 13% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 40% 14% 11%
79% 87% 100% BTTS BTTS 40% 43% 43%
14% 13% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 7% 29%
11% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 60% 57% 36%
 
4.7 5 3.2 Corners for (avg) C F 4.6 4.5 4.6
5.8 5.4 6 Corners against (avg) C A 7.4 5.5 4.7
2.1 1.7 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.2 2.1 2
7 4 1 Red cards R C 3 3 5
 
338 204 42 Total Shots T S 37 138 357
128 77 23 Shots on Target S O 10 38 121
32% 36% 35% Goal Efficiency G E 20% 24% 29%
Key stats in Ligue 1 this season:
  • All of Nice's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Montpellier have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • Nice has the fewest matches under the total-line (8)
  • Nice have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Nice have scored at least twice as many goals at home as Montpellier have scored away.
  • Nice have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Nice haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 PSG 27 22 2 3 75 24 14 12 1 1 44 11 13 10 1 2 31 13 51 68
2 Olympique Marseille 28 16 8 4 41 29 14 8 4 2 21 14 14 8 4 2 20 15 12 56
3 Rennes 28 15 5 8 38 24 14 9 2 3 25 14 14 6 3 5 13 10 14 50
4 Lille 28 15 4 9 35 27 15 11 2 2 24 9 13 4 2 7 11 18 8 49
5 Reims 28 10 11 7 26 21 14 5 7 2 12 7 14 5 4 5 14 14 5 41
6 Nice 28 11 8 9 41 38 15 8 4 3 28 20 13 3 4 6 13 18 3 41
7 Olympique Lyonnais 28 11 7 10 42 27 13 5 4 4 17 7 15 6 3 6 25 20 15 40
8 Montpellier 28 11 7 10 35 34 14 10 2 2 26 10 14 1 5 8 9 24 1 40
9 Monaco 28 11 7 10 44 44 14 8 2 4 29 22 14 3 5 6 15 22 0 40
10 Angers SCO 28 11 6 11 28 33 15 8 3 4 20 13 13 3 3 7 8 20 -5 39
11 Strasbourg 27 11 5 11 32 32 13 7 3 3 22 14 14 4 2 8 10 18 0 38
12 Bordeaux 28 9 10 9 40 34 13 4 5 4 19 12 15 5 5 5 21 22 6 37
13 Nantes 28 11 4 13 28 31 14 6 2 6 11 11 14 5 2 7 17 20 -3 37
14 Brest 28 8 10 10 34 37 14 6 6 2 21 11 14 2 4 8 13 26 -3 34
15 Metz 28 8 10 10 27 35 14 5 4 5 18 17 14 3 6 5 9 18 -8 34
16 Dijon 28 7 9 12 27 37 14 6 6 2 20 15 14 1 3 10 7 22 -10 30
17 Saint-Etienne 28 8 6 14 29 45 14 4 6 4 15 18 14 4 0 10 14 27 -16 30
18 Nîmes 28 7 6 15 29 44 14 6 2 6 17 15 14 1 4 9 12 29 -15 27
19 Amiens SC 28 4 11 13 31 50 14 3 5 6 17 23 14 1 6 7 14 27 -19 23
20 Toulouse 28 3 4 21 22 58 13 3 0 10 11 24 15 0 4 11 11 34 -36 13

Nice:
Montpellier:

Read more about Ligue 1

Ligue 1 is the top league in the French football league system. Seasons run from August to May with 20 teams playing a total of 380 fixtures. The team topping the league table after the final game is the champion of France, receiving the trophy L’Hexagoal. Ligue 1 is one of the top five European leagues.