Ligue 1 forecast and guide: Brest modest favoured to overwhelm Troyes

Days
Hours
Minutes
Seconds
Competition: France Ligue 1
Competition: Sun 13.February
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stade Francis-Le Ble (15097 seats)

Brest have won 15 of their 28 in total here in familiar surroundings. Will more points be won against Troyes?

Insights:
  • Brest have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Troyes have the most dropped points from leading position (23) in Ligue 1

This promises to be an exciting match with lots of action and excitement as both teams are well rested since they last saw competitive action. Bring it on!

L L W L L

Brest form and stats

When playing at home in the Ligue 1, Brest have managed 4 wins, 3 draws and suffered 4 defeats from 11 games.

No payout for Brest in their previous match, an away game at Rennes that ended in defeat 0-2. Chardonnet, defender, was given a rating of 7.65/10 in that game, top of the team. Chardonnet won 5 of 10 duels.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Brest have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found six games) they have won two times, drawn one and lost three.

Brest has scored 15 league goals at home this season, in 11 matches. 16 goals have been conceded.

D L W L D

Troyes form and stats

There's been little loot from Troyes's travels as they have only collected 10 points from 11 away games in the Ligue 1. Troyes only have 3 wins to counter their 7 defeats and 1 draw.

Troyes delivered a 0-0 draw playing at home against Metz (placed 18th) in their previous match. Defender Palmer-Brown was the best team player with a rating of 7.4. Palmer-Brown won 3 of 5 duels.

A 1-2 defeat away at Angers SCO before that.

Troyes are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is one win, one draw and three defeats. From a total of five matches.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Troyes as they have only managed to score 9 times from 11 away games in the league. As for defending, Troyes rarely keep clean sheets as they have conceded 18 goals from these away matches.

Head 2 Head

Troyes - Brest 1-1 was the scoreline in these sides' latest H2H match, played this season. Head to head data (for the prior ten meetings): Brest won four games, three matches ended in a draw and Troyes managed three wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: four / six The matches between these teams have sometimes been hot-tempered, having seen 7 sending-offs from the last ten encounters.

Top Goalscorers

BrestF. Honorat
F. Honorat
6 goals
BrestS. Mounié
S. Mounié
5 goals
BrestJ. Le Douaron
J. Le Douaron
5 goals

Brest missing players

Troyes missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Brest Troyes
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
23 11 3 Played P 6 11 23
7 4 1 Won W 1 3 5
7 3 1 Drew D 0 1 6
9 4 1 Lost L 5 7 12
28 15 3 Scored S 4 9 20
35 16 3 Conceded C 13 18 31
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 96%
96% 91% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 83% 82% 74%
48% 45% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 45% 39%
22% 27% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 18% 13%
4% 9% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 0%
65% 45% 67% BTTS BTTS 50% 45% 52%
17% 36% 33% Clean Sheets C S 17% 18% 22%
17% 18% 0% Failed to Score F T 33% 36% 30%
 
4.5 5.5 4 Corners for (avg) C F 4.2 3.2 4.2
5.5 5.5 4.3 Corners against (avg) C A 5 5.5 5.3
1.6 1.7 2.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2.3 2.3 2.1
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 3
 
11 12.1 9.3 Shots (avg) S ( 10.7 9.2 10.4
4.3 4.7 3.3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.8 3.5 3.7
29% 29% 30% Goal Efficiency G E 17% 23% 24%
 
12.7 10.5 10 Shots against (avg) S A 13.3 14.5 12.6
4.7 3.5 2.7 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 6 5.4 4.5
Key stats in Ligue 1 this season:
  • Brest have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Brest haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Troyes have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Troyes have the fewest scored goals in the second half (6) in Ligue 1
  • Troyes have the most dropped points from leading position (23) in Ligue 1
  • Troyes have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Troyes haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 PSG 23 17 5 1 51 19 11 10 1 0 27 6 12 7 4 1 24 13 32 56
2 Olympique Marseille 23 12 7 4 36 20 12 5 5 2 22 13 11 7 2 2 14 7 16 43
3 Nice 23 13 4 6 36 19 12 5 3 4 16 14 11 8 1 2 20 5 17 42
4 Strasbourg 23 11 5 7 45 29 12 7 2 3 27 13 11 4 3 4 18 16 16 38
5 Rennes 23 11 4 8 43 21 12 8 1 3 27 8 11 3 3 5 16 13 22 37
6 Monaco 23 10 6 7 37 26 12 7 3 2 25 11 11 3 3 5 12 15 11 36
7 Montpellier 23 10 4 9 38 33 12 7 2 3 22 13 11 3 2 6 16 20 5 34
8 Olympique Lyonnais 23 9 8 6 31 30 12 6 5 1 21 13 11 3 3 5 10 17 1 34
9 Lens 23 9 6 8 36 33 11 5 4 2 19 11 12 4 2 6 17 22 3 33
10 Nantes 23 9 5 9 30 28 11 6 2 3 18 12 12 3 3 6 12 16 2 32
11 Lille 23 8 8 7 31 35 11 5 4 2 15 16 12 3 4 5 16 19 -4 32
12 Angers SCO 23 7 8 8 30 34 11 5 1 5 14 14 12 2 7 3 16 20 -4 29
13 Brest 23 7 7 9 28 35 11 4 3 4 15 16 12 3 4 5 13 19 -7 28
14 Reims 23 6 9 8 27 27 11 4 3 4 16 11 12 2 6 4 11 16 0 27
15 Clermont 23 6 6 11 23 39 11 3 4 4 12 14 12 3 2 7 11 25 -16 24
16 Troyes 23 5 6 12 20 31 12 2 5 5 11 13 11 3 1 7 9 18 -11 21
17 Lorient 23 4 8 11 20 38 11 4 4 3 10 9 12 0 4 8 10 29 -18 20
18 Metz 23 4 8 11 24 43 11 1 4 6 14 23 12 3 4 5 10 20 -19 20
19 Bordeaux 23 4 8 11 34 58 12 2 4 6 19 24 11 2 4 5 15 34 -24 20
20 Saint-Étienne 23 4 6 13 22 44 12 2 4 6 14 24 11 2 2 7 8 20 -22 18

Brest:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 PSG 23 17 5 1 51 19 11 10 1 0 27 6 12 7 4 1 24 13 32 56
2 Olympique Marseille 23 12 7 4 36 20 12 5 5 2 22 13 11 7 2 2 14 7 16 43
3 Nice 23 13 4 6 36 19 12 5 3 4 16 14 11 8 1 2 20 5 17 42
4 Strasbourg 23 11 5 7 45 29 12 7 2 3 27 13 11 4 3 4 18 16 16 38
5 Rennes 23 11 4 8 43 21 12 8 1 3 27 8 11 3 3 5 16 13 22 37
6 Monaco 23 10 6 7 37 26 12 7 3 2 25 11 11 3 3 5 12 15 11 36
7 Montpellier 23 10 4 9 38 33 12 7 2 3 22 13 11 3 2 6 16 20 5 34
8 Olympique Lyonnais 23 9 8 6 31 30 12 6 5 1 21 13 11 3 3 5 10 17 1 34
9 Lens 23 9 6 8 36 33 11 5 4 2 19 11 12 4 2 6 17 22 3 33
10 Nantes 23 9 5 9 30 28 11 6 2 3 18 12 12 3 3 6 12 16 2 32
11 Lille 23 8 8 7 31 35 11 5 4 2 15 16 12 3 4 5 16 19 -4 32
12 Angers SCO 23 7 8 8 30 34 11 5 1 5 14 14 12 2 7 3 16 20 -4 29
13 Brest 23 7 7 9 28 35 11 4 3 4 15 16 12 3 4 5 13 19 -7 28
14 Reims 23 6 9 8 27 27 11 4 3 4 16 11 12 2 6 4 11 16 0 27
15 Clermont 23 6 6 11 23 39 11 3 4 4 12 14 12 3 2 7 11 25 -16 24
16 Troyes 23 5 6 12 20 31 12 2 5 5 11 13 11 3 1 7 9 18 -11 21
17 Lorient 23 4 8 11 20 38 11 4 4 3 10 9 12 0 4 8 10 29 -18 20
18 Metz 23 4 8 11 24 43 11 1 4 6 14 23 12 3 4 5 10 20 -19 20
19 Bordeaux 23 4 8 11 34 58 12 2 4 6 19 24 11 2 4 5 15 34 -24 20
20 Saint-Étienne 23 4 6 13 22 44 12 2 4 6 14 24 11 2 2 7 8 20 -22 18

More from France - Ligue 1

Read more about Ligue 1

Ligue 1 is the top league in the French football league system. Seasons run from August to May with 20 teams playing a total of 380 fixtures. The team topping the league table after the final game is the champion of France, receiving the trophy L’Hexagoal. Ligue 1 is one of the top five European leagues.