Soccer match preview: Home crowd has high hopes when Brest welcomes Dijon

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Competition: France Ligue 1
Competition: Wed 03.March
Match begins: 18:00 (UTC)
Venue: Stade Francis-Le Ble (15097 seats)

An important duel in the bottom section of the Ligue 1, with both Brest and Dijon experiencing more worry than joy. This match is a classic "six-pointer" with the home team placed 14th and the visitors in 20th place.

Insights:
  • Brest have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Dijon have the fewest scored goals (18) in Ligue 1

It's no vacation for neither Brest nor Dijon as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

Everyone involved with the away team has to get their travel gear ready for this match as there's a whopping 800 kilometers to cover before arriving at the match.

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Brest form and stats

Brest have played 13 Ligue 1 games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 7-1-5 (wins-draws-losses).

The fans are hoping that Brest will strike back in this match, putting things right after the 0-2 away loss in the Ligue 1 game against Monaco (placed 4th). Ahead of that match, Brest lost 2-3 at home to Olympique Lyonnais.

Brest's goalkeeper Gautier Larsonneur was extremely busy against Monaco, saving the team from a uglier defeat with a stunning eight saves.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Brest matches with similar probabilities have ended with one win, one draw and zero defeats (from two games).

The match schedule is unforgiving for Brest as they have a new game in only three days, a Coupe de France match thankfully also at home. Paris Saint Germain are visiting.

With an average of more than two goals per home game in the league (26 in 13 games), Brest's attacking play is working. Defensively it’s touch-and-go for the home team as 24 goals have been conceded.

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Dijon form and stats

There's been little loot from Dijon's travels as they have only collected 9 points from 13 away games in the Ligue 1. Dijon, who have the fewest scored goals (18) in Ligue 1, only have 2 wins to counter their 8 defeats and 3 draws. Dijon are desperate to end a ten-game winless run, as they haven't won a game since the Nîmes fixture. Bitter travels for Dijon as they have lost four games in a row away from home. The last time they avoided an away-from-home loss was the Reims match.

Dijon's previous game was their home loss versus Paris Saint Germain (0-4). Prior to that match, the Dijon manager D. Linarès faced defeat when travelling to Lens and losing 1-2.

As you can see from the result above, the defeat against Paris Saint Germain was particularly ugly (0-4). The humiliation is still top of mind.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Dijon playing away, we found nine games. Results were one away win, three draws and five home wins.

Dijon find the net regularly in their away games. 14 goals from 13 away fixtures in the league. For Dijon, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.

Head 2 Head

Brest and Dijon have met before this season: Dijon - Brest 0-2. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's two Brest victories, four draws and four Dijon wins. Over/under statistics; three of these games ended with three goals or more, seven matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

BrestF. Honorat
F. Honorat
7 goals
BrestI. Cardona
I. Cardona
6 goals
BrestS. Mounié
S. Mounié
6 goals

Brest missing players

Dijon missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Brest Dijon
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
27 13 3 Played P 4 13 27
9 7 2 Won W 1 2 2
4 1 0 Drew D 1 3 9
14 5 1 Lost L 2 8 16
39 26 7 Scored S 6 14 18
49 24 6 Conceded C 6 26 44
96% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 92% 85%
85% 92% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 75% 77% 63%
70% 85% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 62% 37%
44% 54% 67% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 46% 30%
26% 46% 67% Over 4.5 O 4.5 25% 23% 11%
59% 77% 67% BTTS BTTS 75% 62% 41%
19% 15% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 8% 15%
26% 8% 33% Failed to Score F T 25% 38% 59%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.5 1.8 1.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2.2 2.1
2 0 0 Red cards R C 0 2 4
 
12 13.3 14.3 Shots (avg) S ( 10 9.2 9.2
4.1 5.1 5.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.5 2.5 2.3
35% 39% 41% Goal Efficiency G E 60% 42% 29%
Key stats in Ligue 1 this season:
  • Brest have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Brest have scored more than double the goals of Dijon.
  • Brest haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Dijon have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Dijon have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Dijon have the fewest scored goals (18) in Ligue 1
  • Dijon have the fewest scored goals in the first half (8) in Ligue 1
  • Dijon have the fewest scored goals in the second half (10) in Ligue 1
  • Dijon have the most conceded goals (26) away in Ligue 1
  • Dijon have the most matches under the total-line (17) in Ligue 1
  • Dijon is in the worst form (0-0-6)

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Lille 27 17 8 2 47 17 14 8 5 1 22 8 13 9 3 1 25 9 30 59
2 Paris Saint Germain 27 18 3 6 61 17 14 10 1 3 34 8 13 8 2 3 27 9 44 57
3 Olympique Lyonnais 26 16 7 3 54 24 13 8 3 2 28 12 13 8 4 1 26 12 30 55
4 Monaco 27 17 4 6 56 37 14 9 4 1 32 17 13 8 0 5 24 20 19 55
5 Metz 27 11 8 8 33 26 13 5 4 4 16 13 14 6 4 4 17 13 7 41
6 Lens 27 11 8 8 39 37 13 5 4 4 19 18 14 6 4 4 20 19 2 41
7 Montpellier 27 11 6 10 43 46 14 6 1 7 26 28 13 5 5 3 17 18 -3 39
8 Olympique Marseille 25 10 8 7 33 29 12 5 3 4 18 16 13 5 5 3 15 13 4 38
9 Rennes 26 10 8 8 33 30 14 5 3 6 16 19 12 5 5 2 17 11 3 38
10 Angers SCO 27 10 6 11 32 42 13 5 2 6 15 19 14 5 4 5 17 23 -10 36
11 Bordeaux 27 9 6 12 28 33 14 5 4 5 13 14 13 4 2 7 15 19 -5 33
12 Nice 27 9 5 13 33 39 13 3 2 8 14 24 14 6 3 5 19 15 -6 32
13 Reims 27 7 10 10 32 34 13 4 5 4 11 12 14 3 5 6 21 22 -2 31
14 Brest 27 9 4 14 39 49 13 7 1 5 26 24 14 2 3 9 13 25 -10 31
15 Strasbourg 27 8 6 13 35 41 13 3 4 6 14 17 14 5 2 7 21 24 -6 30
16 Saint-Étienne 27 7 9 11 27 39 13 3 6 4 12 18 14 4 3 7 15 21 -12 30
17 Lorient 27 7 5 15 33 51 14 6 1 7 21 26 13 1 4 8 12 25 -18 26
18 Nîmes 27 7 4 16 26 52 14 3 2 9 16 28 13 4 2 7 10 24 -26 25
19 Nantes 27 4 12 11 27 42 13 2 7 4 13 20 14 2 5 7 14 22 -15 24
20 Dijon 27 2 9 16 18 44 14 0 6 8 4 18 13 2 3 8 14 26 -26 15

Brest:
Dijon:
Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Lille 27 17 8 2 47 17 14 8 5 1 22 8 13 9 3 1 25 9 30 59
2 Paris Saint Germain 27 18 3 6 61 17 14 10 1 3 34 8 13 8 2 3 27 9 44 57
3 Olympique Lyonnais 26 16 7 3 54 24 13 8 3 2 28 12 13 8 4 1 26 12 30 55
4 Monaco 27 17 4 6 56 37 14 9 4 1 32 17 13 8 0 5 24 20 19 55
5 Metz 27 11 8 8 33 26 13 5 4 4 16 13 14 6 4 4 17 13 7 41
6 Lens 27 11 8 8 39 37 13 5 4 4 19 18 14 6 4 4 20 19 2 41
7 Montpellier 27 11 6 10 43 46 14 6 1 7 26 28 13 5 5 3 17 18 -3 39
8 Olympique Marseille 25 10 8 7 33 29 12 5 3 4 18 16 13 5 5 3 15 13 4 38
9 Rennes 26 10 8 8 33 30 14 5 3 6 16 19 12 5 5 2 17 11 3 38
10 Angers SCO 27 10 6 11 32 42 13 5 2 6 15 19 14 5 4 5 17 23 -10 36
11 Bordeaux 27 9 6 12 28 33 14 5 4 5 13 14 13 4 2 7 15 19 -5 33
12 Nice 27 9 5 13 33 39 13 3 2 8 14 24 14 6 3 5 19 15 -6 32
13 Reims 27 7 10 10 32 34 13 4 5 4 11 12 14 3 5 6 21 22 -2 31
14 Brest 27 9 4 14 39 49 13 7 1 5 26 24 14 2 3 9 13 25 -10 31
15 Strasbourg 27 8 6 13 35 41 13 3 4 6 14 17 14 5 2 7 21 24 -6 30
16 Saint-Étienne 27 7 9 11 27 39 13 3 6 4 12 18 14 4 3 7 15 21 -12 30
17 Lorient 27 7 5 15 33 51 14 6 1 7 21 26 13 1 4 8 12 25 -18 26
18 Nîmes 27 7 4 16 26 52 14 3 2 9 16 28 13 4 2 7 10 24 -26 25
19 Nantes 27 4 12 11 27 42 13 2 7 4 13 20 14 2 5 7 14 22 -15 24
20 Dijon 27 2 9 16 18 44 14 0 6 8 4 18 13 2 3 8 14 26 -26 15

More from France - Ligue 1

Read more about Ligue 1

Ligue 1 is the top league in the French football league system. Seasons run from August to May with 20 teams playing a total of 380 fixtures. The team topping the league table after the final game is the champion of France, receiving the trophy L’Hexagoal. Ligue 1 is one of the top five European leagues.