Home advantage could prove decisive in Oulu - KTP battle

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Competition: Finland Ykkonen
Date: Fri 16.August
Match begins: 15:30 (UTC)
Venue: Raatin stadion (6996 seats)

Season ticket holders at Raatin stadion haven’t seen too many victories this season, with Oulu languishing in the 7th position so far. The guesting KTP will be hopeful to defend their higher league position in this one.

It's no vacation for neither Oulu nor KTP as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

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Oulu form and stats

The home fans haven’t been spoiled with victories so far this season. Oulu have only managed 0 wins, 5 draws and 5 losses so far from their games here at Raatin stadion. With eleven home games in a row without a win, the Oulu fans could feel they are not getting value for their money. It remains to be seen whether this unfortunate streak, which started after the MuSa game long ago, can be stopped today.

Oulu's previous game was also a home match, the defeat 0-1 versus KTP. Before that game, the home loss against EIF with the scoreline 1-2.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Oulu have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found five games) they have won 0 times, drawn 2 and lost 3.

Oulu have scored 7 goals here in 10 matches, not a lot. On the other hand, Oulu have conceded 12 goals.

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KTP form and stats

4 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses. That’s the product of KTP playing as the away team this season.

KTP play their second away game in a row, but can be confident going into this one after the 1-0 victory visiting Oulu. That result followed a home victory 6-1 versus TPV.

We have checked recent matches where KTP have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those three games were W2-D0-L1.

KTP are not goal shy away from home, finding the net 15 times in 10 away games so far. In the opposite end, KTP have conceded 17 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

The most recent history between these sides is the Oulu - KTP 0-1 played earlier this season. Oulu-KTP H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Oulu 5 wins, KTP 3 wins, 2 draws. 1 of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

K. Multanen
10 goals
J. Mäkelä
9 goals
A. Pahkasalo
7 goals

Oulu missing players

KTP missing players

Oulu KTP
Total Home Home vs mid Statistic Away vs low Away Total
19 10 2 Played 3 10 19
5 0 0 Won 1 4 8
5 5 0 Drew 1 1 2
9 5 2 Lost 1 5 9
22 7 2 Scored 3 15 31
20 12 4 Conceded 3 17 29
84% 70% 100% Over 0.5 100% 100% 100%
53% 40% 100% Over 1.5 67% 70% 74%
42% 40% 100% Over 2.5 33% 50% 53%
16% 20% 0% Over 3.5 0% 30% 37%
11% 10% 0% Over 4.5 0% 30% 21%
32% 40% 100% BTTS 67% 60% 53%
42% 30% 0% Clean Sheets 0% 20% 16%
42% 60% 0% Failed To Score 33% 20% 32%
 
5.5 7.5 5.5 Corners For (avg) 7 6 5.1
3.1 2.7 0.5 Corners Against (avg) 2.5 6.3 5.4
1.8 1.6 1 Yellow Cards (avg) 1.5 1.9 1.7
0 0 0 Red Cards 0 0 0
Key stats this season:
  • KTP have scored at least twice as many goals away as Oulu have scored home.
  • KTP haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Oulu have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
  • Oulu have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Oulu have yet to win a game at home.

Oulu
18-07-19 YK Oulu 1 - 2 MuSa
24-07-19 YK Jaro 4 - 3 Oulu
27-07-19 YK MYPA 0 - 2 Oulu
10-08-19 YK Oulu 1 - 2 EIF
16-08-19 YK Oulu 0 - 1 KTP
24-08-19 YK Kajaani 14:00 Oulu
31-08-19 YK Oulu 14:00 Haka
06-09-19 YK TPV 15:30 Oulu
14-09-19 YK Oulu 12:00 TPS
21-09-19 YK MuSa 12:00 Oulu
KTP
22-07-19 YK KTP 2 - 0 MYPA
27-07-19 YK MuSa 2 - 1 KTP
02-08-19 YK TPS 2 - 0 KTP
12-08-19 YK KTP 6 - 1 TPV
16-08-19 YK Oulu 0 - 1 KTP
23-08-19 YK Haka 15:30 KTP
02-09-19 YK KTP 15:30 EIF
09-09-19 YK KTP 15:30 Jaro
14-09-19 YK Kajaani 12:00 KTP
21-09-19 YK MYPA 12:00 KTP

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Haka 19 17 2 0 54 15 10 10 0 0 34 10 9 7 2 0 20 5 39 53
2 TPS 18 13 1 4 33 16 9 6 0 3 16 9 9 7 1 1 17 7 17 40
3 Jaro 18 8 6 4 36 25 9 4 3 2 20 15 9 4 3 2 16 10 11 30
4 MuSa 19 9 3 7 33 39 10 5 1 4 18 18 9 4 2 3 15 21 -6 30
5 KTP 19 8 2 9 31 29 9 4 1 4 16 12 10 4 1 5 15 17 2 26
6 EIF 18 7 1 10 31 38 9 4 1 4 20 17 9 3 0 6 11 21 -7 22
7 Oulu 19 5 5 9 22 20 10 0 5 5 7 12 9 5 0 4 15 8 2 20
8 Kajaani 19 4 5 10 25 31 9 1 2 6 9 14 10 3 3 4 16 17 -6 17
9 TPV 19 3 5 11 17 38 9 3 2 4 8 14 10 0 3 7 9 24 -21 14
10 MYPA 18 2 4 12 13 44 9 1 2 6 6 20 9 1 2 6 7 24 -31 10