Veikkausliiga match prediction: Little separates KPV and VPS in quality

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Competition: Finland Veikkausliiga
Date: Sat 06.July
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Kokkolan Keskuskenttä (2000 seats)

An important duel in the bottom section of the league table, with both teams experiencing more worry than joy. This match is a classic “six-pointer” with the home team placed 11th and the visitors in 12th place.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

W D L L W

KPV form and stats

The home fans haven’t been spoiled with victories so far this season. KPV, who have the most conceded goals (25) in Veikkausliiga, have only managed 1 win, 2 draws and 4 losses so far from their games here at Kokkolan Keskuskenttä.

KPV's previous game was a Veikkausliiga match also played at home, ending 2-1 versus VPS. The home side are looking to build on that result. Preceding that game was the away draw at RoPS that finished 0-0.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how KPV have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found three matches with the results: Won 1 Drawn 2 Lost 0.

The goals haven't exactly been flowing for KPV here at Kokkolan Keskuskenttä, with less than one goal per game on average (4 from 7 games). KPV have conceded 12 from these games.

L L D L L

VPS form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for VPS so far with only 4 points returning home. The records show 0-4-3 (win-draw-lose). VPS are desperate to end a 15-game winless run, as they haven't won a game since the Inter Turku fixture.

It might be tough going out on the road again for VPS, facing their second straight away game. Especially as the previous game, ended with a defeat 1-2 versus KPV. The game before that, was lost at home, a 1-2 defeat against Ilves.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with VPS playing away and similar expectations, we found eight relevant matches. Results were 1 VPS win, 3 draws and 4 defeats.

The visitors have scored 5 goals from 7 away games, an average of less than one per game. VPS have conceded 8 goals in these away matches.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: KPV - VPS 2-1. Last six meetings between the teams: KPV won 2, VPS won 2 and 2 draws. 3 games with over 2,5 goals, 3 matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

S. Morrissey
4 goals / 1 assists

KPV missing players

VPS missing players

KPV VPS
Total Home Home vs low Statistic Away vs low Away Total
14 7 2 Played 1 7 14
2 1 0 Won 0 0 0
4 2 1 Drew 1 4 7
8 4 1 Lost 0 3 7
11 4 0 Scored 1 5 12
25 12 1 Conceded 1 8 19
86% 86% 50% Over 0.5 100% 86% 93%
64% 71% 0% Over 1.5 100% 71% 79%
50% 43% 0% Over 2.5 0% 29% 43%
43% 29% 0% Over 3.5 0% 0% 7%
7% 0% 0% Over 4.5 0% 0% 0%
50% 43% 0% BTTS 100% 71% 79%
21% 14% 50% Clean Sheets 0% 14% 7%
43% 57% 100% Failed To Score 0% 29% 21%
 
4.5 5 9 Corners For (avg) 6 5.6 4.4
4.6 5.3 4.5 Corners Against (avg) 5 5.4 6.2
2.1 1.7 2 Yellow Cards (avg) 0 2.7 2.5
1 1 1 Red Cards 0 1 1
Key stats this season:
  • KPV have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • VPS have won significantly more corners away than at home.
  • VPS have yet to win a game.

KPV
02-06-19 VE Honka 0 - 1 KPV
16-06-19 VE KPV 1 - 3 Inter Turku
25-06-19 VE Ilves 4 - 2 KPV
29-06-19 VE RoPS 0 - 0 KPV
06-07-19 VE KPV 2 - 1 VPS
14-07-19 VE Mariehamn 15:30 KPV
20-07-19 VE KPV 14:00 SJK
28-07-19 VE KPV 14:00 KuPS
04-08-19 VE Lahti 14:00 KPV
09-08-19 VE HIFK 15:30 KPV
VPS
31-05-19 VE HIFK 2 - 1 VPS
17-06-19 VE VPS 1 - 2 KuPS
25-06-19 VE Inter Turku 1 - 1 VPS
29-06-19 VE VPS 1 - 2 Ilves
06-07-19 VE KPV 2 - 1 VPS
13-07-19 VE SJK 14:00 VPS
20-07-19 VE VPS 14:00 Lahti
27-07-19 VE HJK 14:00 VPS
03-08-19 VE VPS 14:00 Honka
11-08-19 VE RoPS 14:00 VPS

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 KuPS 15 7 5 3 25 19 7 3 2 2 11 8 8 4 3 1 14 11 6 26
2 Ilves 12 7 4 1 15 7 5 2 3 0 6 3 7 5 1 1 9 4 8 25
3 HJK 16 6 7 3 18 16 8 3 4 1 11 8 8 3 3 2 7 8 2 25
4 Inter Turku 15 7 3 5 27 19 7 4 1 2 14 7 8 3 2 3 13 12 8 24
5 Honka 14 7 3 4 20 16 7 3 1 3 9 9 7 4 2 1 11 7 4 24
6 SJK 13 5 5 3 13 11 6 3 1 2 5 4 7 2 4 1 8 7 2 20
7 Mariehamn 13 5 3 5 20 16 7 2 1 4 9 11 6 3 2 1 11 5 4 18
8 HIFK 13 3 6 4 10 11 8 3 3 2 8 7 5 0 3 2 2 4 -1 15
9 Lahti 14 3 6 5 13 18 7 1 5 1 10 8 7 2 1 4 3 10 -5 15
10 RoPS 15 4 3 8 10 17 8 1 2 5 4 8 7 3 1 3 6 9 -7 15
11 KPV 14 2 4 8 11 25 7 1 2 4 4 12 7 1 2 4 7 13 -14 10
12 VPS 14 0 7 7 12 19 7 0 3 4 7 11 7 0 4 3 5 8 -7 7