Experts' prediction: Nõmme Kalju set to get maximum points from Tallinna Kalev visit

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Competition: Estonia Meistriliiga
Competition: Sat 17.October
Match begins: 13:00 (UTC)
Venue: Kadrioru staadion (500 seats)

The visiting Nõmme Kalju side should be favourites in this visit to Tallinna Kalev, as the away team holds a 32 point advantage from their 23 league games this season.

The visiting Nõmme Kalju played their last game only four days ago, a Estonian Cup match.

This is a match between teams from the same area, a local derby. The community is buzzing.

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Tallinna Kalev form and stats

Tallinna Kalev's results here at Kadrioru staadion in the Meistriliiga have been very modest with 1 victory, 1 draw and 9 defeats. Tallinna Kalev are slowly digging their own grave here at Kadrioru staadion with the depressing streak of not having won a home league game in eight attempts. The last victory here came in the Legion match.

Happy days for Tallinna in their previous game, a Meistriliiga match away at Kuressaare (placed 9th) that ended with a 1-0 victory.

The home team are doomed in this game if you believe the odds offered on Nõmme Kalju to win. Let's see if Tallinna are capable of creating a surprise here by looking at their earlier home games as massive outsiders: 16 games found revealing zero Tallinna Kalev wins, two draws and 14 defeats.

Tallinna are traveling soon after this match as the Estonian Cup match at Hell Hunt awaits in three days.

The lack of attacking qualities in Tallinna means that they have only scored 5 goals in 11 league home games, less than half a goal per match. Neutralizing the opposition is a challenge, Tallinna having conceded 32 goals here at Kadrioru staadion so far.

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Nõmme Kalju form and stats

Nõmme Kalju's travelling support has been rewarded for their time and money so far this season, having witnessed Nõmme Kalju, who have the fewest conceded goals (14) in Meistriliiga, collect 26 points from their 12 away matches in the Meistriliiga. 8 victories and 2 draws have created these points (and only 2 defeats).

A 1-1 draw was the result before that, hosting Legion in the Meistriliiga.

As mentioned above, Nõmme was the only team on the pitch versus Tallinn Piraaja in their previous game, winning 4-0. This could be a tougher task.

As mentioned earlier, Nõmme will not be satisfied unless they get a comfortable victory in this game. Performing as huge favourites away from home has earlier resulted in seven wins (four by two or more goals winning margin), two draws and zero surprising defeats.

The Nõmme Kalju manager M. Kristal has got the team scoring on the road, with 28 away goals in 12 league matches. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 2 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Nõmme Kalju are tighter than a frog's bottom, as only 6 away goals have been conceded so far.

Head 2 Head

This is not the first time this season these parties meet, as the history books show this recent fixture: Nõmme Kalju - Tallinna Kalev 2-0. As for the last ten games between these two teams, there's zero Tallinna victories, three draws and seven Nõmme Kalju wins. Over/under statistics; six of these games ended with three goals or more, four matches with two goals or less.

Tallinna Kalev missing players

Nõmme Kalju missing players

Tallinna Kalev Nõmme Kalju
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
23 11 3 Played P 3 12 23
3 1 0 Won W 3 8 13
3 1 0 Drew D 0 2 5
17 9 3 Lost L 0 2 5
12 5 2 Scored S 9 28 42
57 32 15 Conceded C 0 6 14
96% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 92% 91%
83% 91% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 75% 74%
57% 55% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 33% 50% 43%
35% 36% 67% Over 3.5 O 3.5 33% 33% 17%
13% 18% 67% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 17% 9%
30% 36% 67% BTTS BTTS 0% 33% 39%
17% 9% 0% Clean Sheets C S 100% 67% 57%
57% 55% 33% Failed to Score F T 0% 8% 13%
 
0 0 0 Corners for (avg) C F 0 0 0
0 0 0 Corners against (avg) C A 0 0 0
1.7 2 1.7 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3.3 2.1 2.2
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 3
 
104 53 14 Total Shots T S 30 157 289
37 16 4 Shots on Target S O 14 69 122
32% 31% 50% Goal Efficiency G E 64% 39% 34%
Key stats in Meistriliiga this season:
  • Nõmme Kalju has the fewest conceded goals (14) in Meistriliiga
  • Nõmme Kalju has the fewest conceded goals (6) away in Meistriliiga
  • Nõmme Kalju has the fewest conceded goals in the first half (6) in Meistriliiga
  • Nõmme Kalju has the most clean sheets (13) in Meistriliiga
  • Nõmme Kalju has the most clean sheets (8) away in Meistriliiga
  • Nõmme Kalju has the the best goal difference (+22) away in Meistriliiga
  • Nõmme Kalju have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Nõmme Kalju have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Nõmme Kalju have scored more than double the goals of Tallinna Kalev.
  • Tallinna Kalev has the fewest clean sheets (1) at home in Meistriliiga
  • Tallinna Kalev has the fewest points (4) at home in Meistriliiga
  • Tallinna Kalev has the fewest scored goals (12) in Meistriliiga
  • Tallinna Kalev has the fewest scored goals (5) at home in Meistriliiga
  • Tallinna Kalev has the fewest scored goals in the second half (5) in Meistriliiga
  • Tallinna Kalev has the most conceded goals (32) at home in Meistriliiga
  • Tallinna Kalev has the most conceded goals (57) in Meistriliiga
  • Tallinna Kalev has the most conceded goals in the first half (30) in Meistriliiga
  • Tallinna Kalev has the most conceded goals in the second half (27) in Meistriliiga
  • Tallinna Kalev has the the worst goal difference (-27) at home in Meistriliiga
  • Tallinna Kalev has the the worst goal difference (-45) in Meistriliiga
  • Tallinna Kalev have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Tallinna Kalev haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Flora 21 19 1 1 56 15 11 10 1 0 27 5 10 9 0 1 29 10 41 58
2 Paide 22 16 0 6 55 24 12 9 0 3 28 13 10 7 0 3 27 11 31 48
3 Nõmme Kalju 23 13 5 5 42 14 11 5 3 3 14 8 12 8 2 2 28 6 28 44
4 Levadia 22 12 5 5 53 29 11 8 2 1 30 9 11 4 3 4 23 20 24 41
5 Tulevik 23 9 2 12 27 39 12 4 1 7 15 23 11 5 1 5 12 16 -12 29
6 Tammeka 23 6 7 10 23 35 11 1 4 6 8 18 12 5 3 4 15 17 -12 25
7 Trans 23 5 6 12 21 33 11 4 2 5 11 12 12 1 4 7 10 21 -12 21
8 Legion 23 5 6 12 18 38 11 2 3 6 7 20 12 3 3 6 11 18 -20 21
9 Kuressaare 23 4 7 12 21 44 12 2 4 6 15 28 11 2 3 6 6 16 -23 19
10 Tallinna Kalev 23 3 3 17 12 57 11 1 1 9 5 32 12 2 2 8 7 25 -45 12

Read more about Meistriliiga

The Estonian Meistriliiga is the highest level of football in Estonia. The season starts in March and ends in November, with ten teams playing each other four times for a total of 36 fixtures. After the final league table the bottom team is relegated and the second last team plays a relegation playoff.