Meistriliiga prediction: Paide should edge out Tammeka on their own turf

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Competition: Estonia Meistriliiga
Date: Fri 26.July
Match begins: 16:30 (UTC)
Venue: Paide linnastaadion (1000 seats)

It's advantage Paide so far with their 3rd position in the Meistriliiga table, welcoming Tammeka who are placed 6th.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Paide form and stats

Paide, who have the fewest conceded goals (7) at home in Meistriliiga, are steadily winning games and points here at Paide linnastaadion. 7 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats is the summary from 11 games. Ever since the Nomme Kalju game Paide has been unbeatable here at Paide linnastaadion producing four straight wins.

Paide's last game was hosting Tammeka and winning 2-0. 1-1 away at Nomme Kalju before that.

With an average of more than two goals per home game (27 in 11 games), Paide's attacking play is working. From these home matches, Paide have conceded only 7 goals.

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Tammeka form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their travels is 4 wins, 1 draw and 6 defeats.

It might be tough going out on the road again for Tammeka, facing their second straight away game. Especially as the previous game, ended with a defeat 0-2 versus Paide. A 2-2 draw was the result before that, hosting Tallinna Kalev.

With the home team given a winning probability of about 80% by the bookmakers, any point(s) for the visitors would be a surprise. Checking earlier matches with similar odds with Tammeka as the away team, we found four results. Statistics from these were 0 away wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats. The outsiders lost 4 of these games by at least two goals.

The travelling fans enjoy Tammeka's attacking play in away games, having scored 18 goals in 11 away matches. Tammeka have conceded 22 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have met before this season: Paide - Tammeka 2-0. Numbers for the last ten meetings between these two teams are: 4 wins for Paide, 5 draws and 1 win for Tammeka. Over 2,5 goals: 6 times; under 2,5 goals: 4 games.

Top Goalscorers

A. Jatta
13 goals / 1 assists
H. Välja
7 goals / 1 assists
M. Yao
6 goals

Paide missing players

Tammeka missing players

Paide Tammeka
Total Home Home vs mid Statistic Away vs top Away Total
21 11 2 Played 2 11 21
13 7 0 Won 0 4 5
4 1 1 Drew 0 1 5
4 3 1 Lost 2 6 11
46 27 0 Scored 1 18 27
16 7 2 Conceded 11 22 37
95% 91% 50% Over 0.5 100% 100% 95%
81% 82% 50% Over 1.5 100% 91% 86%
43% 36% 0% Over 2.5 100% 64% 57%
29% 27% 0% Over 3.5 100% 45% 33%
24% 27% 0% Over 4.5 100% 27% 14%
33% 18% 0% BTTS 50% 45% 48%
52% 55% 50% Clean Sheets 0% 27% 24%
19% 36% 100% Failed To Score 50% 27% 33%
 
6.9 7.2 5 Corners For (avg) 5.5 5.8 5.3
4.8 4.4 6.5 Corners Against (avg) 7.5 5.6 5.1
2 1.4 1.5 Yellow Cards (avg) 2.5 1.8 2.2
2 1 0 Red Cards 0 0 1
Key stats this season:
  • Paide have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Tammeka have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Tammeka haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

Paide
All Meistriliiga Estonian Cup Club Friendlies
All Home Away
30-06-19 ME Flora 4 - 1 Paide
05-07-19 ME Paide 6 - 1 Kuressaare
09-07-19 EC Olympic 1 - 9 Paide
19-07-19 ME Nomme Kalju 1 - 1 Paide
26-07-19 ME Paide 2 - 0 Tammeka
03-08-19 ME Paide 13:00 Trans
06-08-19 EC Kristiine JK 17:00 Paide
11-08-19 ME Tulevik 12:00 Paide
17-08-19 ME Levadia 16:00 Paide
25-08-19 ME Paide 12:00 Maardu
Tammeka
All Meistriliiga Estonian Cup Club Friendlies
All Home Away
28-06-19 ME Tammeka 0 - 0 Nomme Kalju
06-07-19 ME Tulevik 0 - 1 Tammeka
15-07-19 EC Tammeka 8 - 1 FCI Tallinn
20-07-19 ME Tammeka 2 - 2 Tallinna Kalev
26-07-19 ME Paide 2 - 0 Tammeka
02-08-19 ME Tammeka 16:30 Maardu
06-08-19 EC Nomme United 16:00 Tammeka
09-08-19 ME Flora 16:30 Tammeka
16-08-19 ME Tammeka 16:00 Trans
23-08-19 ME Kuressaare 15:45 Tammeka

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Flora 20 17 1 2 61 14 10 7 1 2 33 8 10 10 0 0 28 6 47 52
2 Levadia 20 15 2 3 64 15 10 6 2 2 35 8 10 9 0 1 29 7 49 47
3 Paide 21 13 4 4 46 16 11 7 1 3 27 7 10 6 3 1 19 9 30 43
4 Nõmme Kalju 20 11 7 2 34 17 10 6 2 2 21 14 10 5 5 0 13 3 17 40
5 Trans 20 5 8 7 27 26 11 2 4 5 14 16 9 3 4 2 13 10 1 23
6 Tammeka 21 5 5 11 27 37 10 1 4 5 9 15 11 4 1 6 18 22 -10 20
7 Kuressaare 20 4 5 11 12 43 10 3 3 4 6 11 10 1 2 7 6 32 -31 17
8 Tulevik 20 4 3 13 19 40 10 1 2 7 10 21 10 3 1 6 9 19 -21 15
9 Tallinna Kalev 20 3 4 13 16 50 10 2 0 8 7 26 10 1 4 5 9 24 -34 13
10 Maardu 20 3 3 14 15 63 9 2 2 5 8 25 11 1 1 9 7 38 -48 12

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