The home fans are expecting three points in this fixture, as the home advantage should be put to good use versus a struggling visitor. Paide are in the 4th position while the guesting Tallinna Kalev worry at 10th.
The hosts Paide saw competitive action as recent as four days ago, playing in the Estonian Cup. This match was also played here at Paide linnastaadion. With two consecutive home games the intense schedule is somewhat softened. Still, Tallinna Kalev have had more rest.
This pitch has grass, which is not Tallinna Kalev's usual surface at their own ground. When playing on grass Tallinna Kalev have performed like this: Played 35 matches resulting in 4 wins, 10 draws and 21 defeats with the goal stats 37-82 (scored/conceded).
Paide form and stats
Paide have played 8 Meistriliiga games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 5-0-3 (wins-draws-losses).
A nice win for Paide last time playing, versus Tulevik II. That was also a home game and the match ended 9-0. A strong away win before that one, visiting Legion and winning 3-0.
As mentioned above, Paide "killed" Tulevik II in their previous game. They need to reset completely for this one and beware of complacency.
Paide are huge favourites in this match and it would be a big surprise if they fail to leave Paide linnastaadion with a victory. The home side has been in this situation before, with huge expectations of a win. 29 earlier games are comparable to this one, and Paide has won 19 times, drawn three and lost seven. Sports bettors who like handicap betting will like to know that Paide has won by at least two goals 13 times when in this position.
Paide can score goals in their home matches. After 8 league matches they have found the net 16 times. 11 goals have been conceded.
Tallinna Kalev form and stats
There's been little loot from Tallinna Kalev's travels as they have only collected 5 points from 7 away games in the Meistriliiga. Tallinna Kalev, who have the most conceded goals (37) in Meistriliiga, only have 1 win to counter their 4 defeats and 2 draws. Tallinna Kalev are desperate to end a ten-game winless run, as they haven't won a game since the Legion fixture.
Home advantage was not enough for Tallinna in their previous game, as they lost their Meistriliiga-match, hosting Flora, 0-3. A 2-2 draw at Kuressaare's stadium before that.
Tallinna are huge outsiders in this game. Running a check in our games database we found 32 matches where they were as big outsiders as an away team. Results were six wins, six draws and 20 defeats. Of the defeats, 14 games were lost by at least two goals margin.
The visitors will be packing their bags again in only two days as another away game awaits: The Estonian Cup trip to TransferWise.
The visitors have scored 5 goals from 7 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. Tallinna struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 13 goals conceded from these games.
Head 2 Head
The most recent history between these sides is the Tallinna Kalev - Paide 1-8 played earlier this season. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Paide nine wins, one draw and Tallinna Kalev zero victories. As for goals, seven matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), three games had two or less.Top Goalscorers
  S. Luts 7 goals |  E. Lubega 7 goals | K. Piht 6 goals |
Paide missing players
Tallinna Kalev missing players
| Paide | Tallinna Kalev | ||||||
| Total | Home | vs | Statistics | Stat | vs | Away | Total |
| 15 | 8 | 3 | Played | P | 1 | 7 | 15 |
| 9 | 5 | 3 | Won | W | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | Drew | D | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 6 | 3 | 0 | Lost | L | 1 | 4 | 10 |
| 32 | 16 | 7 | Scored | S | 1 | 5 | 8 |
| 20 | 11 | 0 | Conceded | C | 2 | 13 | 37 |
| 100% | 100% | 100% | Over 0.5 | O 0.5 | 100% | 86% | 93% |
| 87% | 100% | 100% | Over 1.5 | O 1.5 | 100% | 86% | 87% |
| 67% | 75% | 33% | Over 2.5 | O 2.5 | 100% | 57% | 53% |
| 40% | 38% | 0% | Over 3.5 | O 3.5 | 0% | 29% | 33% |
| 20% | 12% | 0% | Over 4.5 | O 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 53% | 62% | 0% | BTTS | BTTS | 100% | 29% | 27% |
| 40% | 38% | 100% | Clean Sheets | C S | 0% | 29% | 20% |
| 7% | 0% | 0% | Failed to Score | F T | 0% | 57% | 60% |
| 6.2 | 6 | 5.7 | Corners for (avg) | C F | 2 | 1 | 1.5 |
| 3.7 | 3.8 | 2.3 | Corners against (avg) | C A | 8 | 9.3 | 9 |
| 2 | 2.2 | 1.7 | Yellow cards (avg) | Y C | 1 | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| 2 | 2 | 1 | Red cards | R C | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 220 | 120 | 50 | Total Shots | T S | 3 | 15 | 45 |
| 88 | 44 | 18 | Shots on Target | S O | 1 | 8 | 18 |
| 36% | 36% | 39% | Goal Efficiency | G E | 100% | 62% | 44% |
- All of Paide's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
- Paide have created more than twice as many corners as Tallinna Kalev.
- Paide have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
- Paide have scored in all their home matches so far.
- Paide have scored more than double the goals of Tallinna Kalev.
- Paide haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
- Tallinna Kalev has the fewest points (5) away
- Tallinna Kalev has the most conceded goals (37)
- Tallinna Kalev has the most conceded goals in the first half (20)
- Tallinna Kalev has the most conceded goals in the second half (17)
- Tallinna Kalev has the the worst goal difference (-29)
- Tallinna Kalev have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won.
- Tallinna Kalev have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
- Tallinna Kalev have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
- Tallinna Kalev have won significantly less corners away then at home.
- Tallinna Kalev is in the worst form (0-2-4)
| Total | Home | Away | |||||||||||||||||||
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | +/- | P |
| 1 | Flora | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 40 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | 29 | 40 |
| 2 | Nomme Kalju | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 4 | 18 | 29 |
| 3 | Levadia | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 37 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 27 |
| 4 | Paide | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 27 |
| 5 | Tulevik | 15 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 22 | 26 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 24 |
| 6 | Trans | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 22 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -4 | 16 |
| 7 | Tammeka | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 10 | -9 | 16 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 26 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | -11 | 15 |
| 9 | Legion | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 14 | -16 | 10 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 8 | 37 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | -29 | 9 |