Meistriliiga prediction: Levadia should edge out Legion on their own turf

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Competition: Estonia Meistriliiga
Competition: Sun 31.July
Match begins: 13:30 (UTC)
Venue: A. Le Coq Arena (15000 seats)

Levadia are ready for Legion with belief in landing all three points. Will they? Read our preview!

Insights:
  • Levadia have the most scored goals in the second half (28) in Meistriliiga
  • Legion have the most dropped points from leading position (11) in Meistriliiga

The hosts Levadia saw competitive action as recent as three days ago, playing in the Europa Conference League. Thankfully the previous game, versus Hibernians, was also a home game here at A. Le Coq Arena. The away team is better rested.

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Levadia form and stats

Levadia have been outstanding at home so far in the Meistriliiga with 8 wins, 2 draws and only 0 losses.

The home regulars saw a 1-1 draw vs Hibernians in the Europa Conference League last time out and are hoping for a victory here.

Everyone expects Levadia to win this match. We have checked our database for matches where they have been as big a favourite and found 22 games: 21 home wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats. Levadia have won with at least two goals margin 19 times in similar situations.

Levadia are an "over 2,5 goals" team alone here at A. Le Coq Arena in their league games, having scored an impressive 28 goals in 10 matches. From these home matches, Levadia have conceded only 5 goals. It's worth mentioning that 3 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Legion form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Legion so far with only 5 points returning home. The records show 1-2-6 (win-draw-lose).

The attacking players of Legion have been feeble for some time now, the team not scoring a league goal in the last 315 minutes.

This match can not go any worse than the last one, the home loss versus Flora with 0-7 on the scoreboard. As you can see from the result above, the defeat against Flora was particularly ugly (0-7). The humiliation is still top of mind.

Preceding that game, the 0-1 loss visiting Kuressaare's place.

Nobody expects Legion to collect anything from a game like this. The team has been David versus Goliath 9 times before, with the overall statistics of won 2, draw 1 and lost 6. When defeated, 5 matches have been lost by two or more goals.

The visitors are returning home after this fixture, hosting JK Kadakas in just three days.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting Legion as they have only managed to score 7 times from 9 away games in the league. It's worth mentioning that 6 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

Levadia and Legion have met earlier this season: Legion - Levadia 1-3. Head-2-head stats last ten meetings: nine - one - zero (Levadia wins - draws - Legion wins). As for goals, seven matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), three had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

LevadiaZ. Beglarishvili
Z. Beglarishvili
14 goals
LegionN. Ivanov
N. Ivanov
7 goals
LevadiaE. Costa Morais
E. Costa Morais
6 goals

Levadia missing players

Legion missing players

Levadia Legion
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
20 10 4 Played P 2 9 20
16 8 4 Won W 0 1 3
3 2 0 Drew D 0 2 5
1 0 0 Lost L 2 6 12
48 28 16 Scored S 0 7 19
9 5 3 Conceded C 5 18 41
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
65% 80% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 78% 80%
40% 50% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 44% 50%
35% 50% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 33% 35%
20% 30% 50% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 22% 20%
35% 50% 75% BTTS BTTS 0% 33% 45%
60% 50% 25% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 10%
5% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 67% 45%
 
7 6.9 7 Corners for (avg) C F 1.5 4.1 4.2
2.5 2.7 1.2 Corners against (avg) C A 7.5 6.2 6.1
2.7 2.4 1.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 1.9 2.4
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 4 5
 
13.8 15.3 16 Shots (avg) S ( 3.5 8.1 8.1
5.8 6.8 7.8 Shots on Target (avg) S O 0.5 3.4 3.7
41% 41% 52% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 23% 26%
 
5.2 4.8 3.5 Shots against (avg) S A 13.5 16.8 14.7
1.9 2 1.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 7.5 7.4 7
Key stats in Meistriliiga this season:
  • Legion have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Legion have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Legion have the fewest scored goals (7) away in Meistriliiga
  • Legion have the most dropped points from leading position (11) in Meistriliiga
  • Legion haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Levadia have not yet lost a game at home.
  • Levadia have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Levadia have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Levadia have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Levadia have scored more than double the goals of Legion.
  • Levadia have the most scored goals in the second half (28) in Meistriliiga
  • Levadia have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded.
  • Levadia haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Flora 20 18 2 0 58 9 10 9 1 0 29 4 10 9 1 0 29 5 49 56
2 Levadia 20 16 3 1 48 9 10 8 2 0 28 5 10 8 1 1 20 4 39 51
3 Nomme Kalju 21 13 4 4 39 18 11 8 1 2 21 7 10 5 3 2 18 11 21 43
4 Paide 19 10 3 6 44 20 9 5 1 3 29 11 10 5 2 3 15 9 24 33
5 Kuressaare 20 8 4 8 23 27 10 6 2 2 14 10 10 2 2 6 9 17 -4 28
6 Trans 21 6 3 12 27 39 10 3 2 5 13 13 11 3 1 7 14 26 -12 21
7 Tammeka 20 5 3 12 18 40 10 3 1 6 9 20 10 2 2 6 9 20 -22 18
8 Tallinna Kalev 21 4 3 14 21 56 9 3 1 5 11 18 12 1 2 9 10 38 -35 15
9 Legion 20 3 5 12 19 41 11 2 3 6 12 23 9 1 2 6 7 18 -22 10
10 Vaprus 20 2 2 16 21 59 11 2 2 7 13 28 9 0 0 9 8 31 -38 8

Read more about Meistriliiga

The Estonian Meistriliiga is the highest level of football in Estonia. The season starts in March and ends in November, with ten teams playing each other four times for a total of 36 fixtures. After the final league table the bottom team is relegated and the second last team plays a relegation playoff.