In total; 17 matches are played and Elva are 5 points on top of Nõmme United. Who will win?
- Elva have the fewest matches over the total-line (2) in Esiliiga A
- Nõmme United have the most dropped points from leading position (11) in Esiliiga A
The hosts Elva saw competitive action as recent as four days ago, playing in the Esiliiga A. That game was an away game at Paide U21, so at least Elva are thankful to return home in this one. Game on!
Elva form and stats
Elva have collected 14 points from their Esiliiga A home games so far after 4-2-3.
Happy days for Elva in their previous game, a fixture away at Paide U21 (placed 2nd) that ended with a 2-1 victory. A late climax in the match against Paide U21 as the winning goal came four minutes into overtime; scored by Samoilov.
Previous to that game, a home match hosting Tulevik in a game that was won 2-0.The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Elva have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 5 games) they have won 2 times, drawn 1 and lost 2.
Take note that 9 of the most recent 11 league matches from these players have seen goals scored by both sides.
A decent goal production from Elva in their home games so far, with 15 goals from 9 league matches. 12 goals have been conceded. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.
Nõmme United form and stats
The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Nõmme United so far with only 8 points returning home. The records show 2-2-4 (win-draw-lose).
Nõmme's previous game was their home loss versus Levadia II (0-6). That defeat was their first after three consecutive league matches winning points. As you can see from the result above, the defeat against Levadia II was particularly ugly (0-6). The humiliation is still top of mind.
Preceding that match was the 2-2 draw at home vs K-Järve JK Järve.We have checked recent matches where Nõmme United have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those 4 games were 1 victory, 1 draw and 2 defeats.
For Nõmme United, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net.
Head 2 Head
Elva - Nõmme United 1-1 was the product when these participants previously met, earlier this season. Head-to-head data (for the preceeding ten meetings): Elva won two games, five matches ended with a tie and Nõmme United got three wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: six / fourTop Goalscorers
  E. Õunapuu 10 goals |  A. Paju 6 goals | A. Valge 4 goals |
Elva missing players
Nõmme United missing players
| Elva | Nõmme United | ||||||
| Total | Home | vs | Statistics | Stat | vs | Away | Total |
| 17 | 9 | 3 | Played | P | 1 | 8 | 17 |
| 7 | 4 | 2 | Won | W | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | 1 | Drew | D | 0 | 2 | 5 |
| 6 | 3 | 0 | Lost | L | 1 | 4 | 7 |
| 26 | 15 | 6 | Scored | S | 2 | 16 | 28 |
| 30 | 12 | 1 | Conceded | C | 3 | 17 | 34 |
| 94% | 89% | 67% | Over 0.5 | O 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 82% | 78% | 67% | Over 1.5 | O 1.5 | 100% | 88% | 94% |
| 47% | 44% | 33% | Over 2.5 | O 2.5 | 100% | 75% | 59% |
| 35% | 33% | 33% | Over 3.5 | O 3.5 | 100% | 62% | 53% |
| 29% | 33% | 33% | Over 4.5 | O 4.5 | 100% | 38% | 29% |
| 65% | 56% | 33% | BTTS | BTTS | 100% | 88% | 71% |
| 35% | 44% | 67% | Clean Sheets | C S | 0% | 12% | 18% |
| 6% | 11% | 33% | Failed to Score | F T | 0% | 0% | 12% |
| 6.2 | 7.4 | 9.3 | Corners for (avg) | C F | 6 | 4.2 | 4.8 |
| 4.2 | 3.1 | 1.7 | Corners against (avg) | C A | 2 | 3.5 | 4.9 |
| 2.1 | 2.9 | 1.7 | Yellow cards (avg) | Y C | 2 | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| 2 | 2 | 0 | Red cards | R C | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | 13.6 | 14.7 | Shots (avg) | S ( | 13 | 10 | 9.3 |
| 4.8 | 5.8 | 6.7 | Shots on Target (avg) | S O | 5 | 5 | 5.2 |
| 32% | 29% | 30% | Goal Efficiency | G E | 40% | 40% | 31% |
| 8.6 | 8.1 | 7 | Shots against (avg) | S A | 7 | 12.2 | 12.1 |
| 4.7 | 4.2 | 2.3 | Shots on Target against (avg) | S O | 5 | 5.5 | 6.1 |
- Elva have the fewest matches over the total-line (2) in Esiliiga A
- Elva have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded at home.
- Elva have won significantly more corners at home than away.
- Nõmme United have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
- Nõmme United have scored in all their away matches so far.
- Nõmme United have the most dropped points from leading position (11) in Esiliiga A
- Nõmme United haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
| Total | Home | Away | |||||||||||||||||||
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | MP | W | D | L | F | A | +/- | P |
| 1 | Levadia II | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 44 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 13 | 22 | 39 |
| 2 | Paide U21 | 18 | 12 | 0 | 6 | 50 | 30 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 15 | 20 | 36 |
| 3 | Harju Jalgpallikool | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 49 | 23 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 26 | 34 |
| 4 | Viimsi | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 36 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 26 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 14 | 29 |
| 5 | Flora II | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 36 | 25 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 11 | 29 |
| 6 | Elva | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 30 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 18 | -4 | 25 |
| 7 | Nõmme United | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 28 | 34 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 17 | -6 | 20 |
| 8 | K-Järve JK Järve | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 39 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 23 | -22 | 20 |
| 9 | Tulevik | 18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | 51 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 26 | -41 | 9 |
| 10 | Pärnu | 18 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 29 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14 | -20 | 7 |
