Experts' prediction: Arsenal W set to get maximum points from Leicester W visit

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Competition: England Women's Super League
Competition: Sun 03.April
Match begins: 11:30 (UTC)
Venue: King Power Stadium (32312 seats)

Receiving guests at their own home is comfortable and nice for Leicester W, but Arsenal W are fully set and qualified to win. What will happen?

Insights:
  • Leicester W have the most conceded goals in the second half (22) in Women's Super League
  • Arsenal W have the most scored goals in the second half (26) in Women's Super League

Arsenal W could be less fresh than the hosts in this fixture, as they played a Champions League Women game only three sleeps ago. That game was also an away game, at Wolfsburg W. It will be interesting to see if they are fully ready and rested for this match, and/or if some changes in the lineup is necessary.

L L L L W

Leicester W form and stats

Leicester W's results here at King Power Stadium in the Women's Super League have been very modest with 3 victories, 0 draws and 6 defeats. With three straight defeats the pressure is piling up on Leicester W to get some points in this home game.

Leicester W experienced an unpredictable defeat 0-9 against Chelsea W in their previous match, also played in front of their own fans.

Prior to that was the away defeat visiting Everton W (2-3).

The home team are doomed in this game if you believe the odds offered on Arsenal W to win. Let's see if Leicester are capable of creating a surprise here by looking at their earlier home games as massive outsiders: nine games found revealing one Leicester W win, zero draws and eight defeats.

Goals are flowing in at the wrong end for Leicester W with 21 goals conceded in these matches. It's worth mentioning that 11 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches. When Leicester hosts teams that live on the top of the table (like Birmingham W, Everton W and Aston Villa W), the matches have ended over 2.5 goals 3 of 3 times.

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Arsenal W form and stats

4 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss. That’s the product of Arsenal W, who have the fewest conceded goals (4) away in Women's Super League, playing as the away team in the Women's Super League this season.

Two away matches in a row for Arsenal W, who will hope to get a better result in this one after losing 0-2 against Wolfsburg W in the Champions League Women.

Again, the away team are huge favourites in this match and any other result would be an upset. We checked our Tipsway database for earlier, recent games with Arsenal W given similar win odds in an away game. This check revealed 20 matches with 17 wins as expected, two draws and one surprise home win. The favourites won 16 of these games by at least two goals.

Arsenal has displayed an ability to score goals in away matches in the league this season, 15 goals from 8 games. They concede less than a goal on average per away game (4 so far).

Head 2 Head

Arsenal W - Leicester W 4-0 was the product when these two squads formerly did battle, earlier this season. Maanum loves to face Leicester and have scored 2 goals in these games.

Top Goalscorers

Arsenal WV. Miedema
V. Miedema
10 goals
Arsenal WB. Mead
B. Mead
7 goals
Arsenal WK. Little
K. Little
6 goals

Leicester W missing players

Arsenal W missing players

Leicester W Arsenal W
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
18 9 3 Played P 2 8 17
4 3 0 Won W 1 4 12
0 0 0 Drew D 0 3 4
14 6 3 Lost L 1 1 1
14 9 2 Scored S 4 15 45
43 21 16 Conceded C 2 4 10
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 88% 94%
78% 78% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 88% 94%
61% 56% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 50% 38% 65%
39% 33% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 25% 47%
17% 22% 67% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 18%
33% 33% 67% BTTS BTTS 0% 25% 35%
17% 33% 0% Clean Sheets C S 50% 62% 59%
50% 33% 33% Failed to Score F T 50% 25% 12%
 
2.6 2.1 1.7 Corners for (avg) C F 6 5.8 6.5
7.3 7.4 7.3 Corners against (avg) C A 3 2.8 2.7
1.3 1.1 1 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 1.5 1.2
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 1
 
7 7.2 5.3 Shots (avg) S ( 10 10.2 11.9
3.2 3.3 2.3 Shots on Target (avg) S O 4.5 4.8 5.7
25% 30% 29% Goal Efficiency G E 44% 39% 46%
 
12.8 15.3 25 Shots against (avg) S A 4.5 6.6 5.4
5.7 6.6 11 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 3 3.1 2.5
Key stats in Women's Super League this season:
  • Arsenal W have created more than twice as many corners as Leicester W.
  • Arsenal W have scored at least twice as many goals as they have conceded.
  • Arsenal W have scored more than double the goals of Leicester W.
  • Arsenal W have the fewest conceded goals (4) away in Women's Super League
  • Arsenal W have the most scored goals in the second half (26) in Women's Super League
  • Arsenal W have won at least twice as many corners as they have conceded.
  • Leicester W have conceded at least twice as many corners as they have won.
  • Leicester W have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Leicester W have the most conceded goals (21) at home in Women's Super League
  • Leicester W have the most conceded goals in the second half (22) in Women's Super League
  • Leicester W have won significantly less corners at home than away.
  • Leicester W haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Chelsea W 17 13 2 2 47 7 8 7 1 0 18 1 9 6 1 2 29 6 40 41
2 Arsenal W 17 12 4 1 45 10 9 8 1 0 30 6 8 4 3 1 15 4 35 40
3 Manchester United W 18 10 5 3 39 18 9 6 1 2 25 11 9 4 4 1 14 7 21 35
4 Manchester City W 17 10 2 5 37 20 8 4 1 3 14 9 9 6 1 2 23 11 17 32
5 Tottenham W 16 8 4 4 19 12 8 4 3 1 10 4 8 4 1 3 9 8 7 28
6 Brighton W 18 8 1 9 20 26 9 4 1 4 9 14 9 4 0 5 11 12 -6 25
7 West Ham W 18 6 6 6 21 25 9 3 4 2 14 11 9 3 2 4 7 14 -4 24
8 Reading W 18 7 3 8 20 29 9 5 1 3 11 12 9 2 2 5 9 17 -9 24
9 Everton W 19 5 3 11 15 35 9 2 2 5 9 17 10 3 1 6 6 18 -20 18
10 Aston Villa W 18 5 2 11 12 32 9 1 1 7 5 16 9 4 1 4 7 16 -20 17
11 Leicester W 18 4 0 14 14 43 9 3 0 6 9 21 9 1 0 8 5 22 -29 12
12 Birmingham W 18 1 2 15 11 43 10 1 1 8 5 19 8 0 1 7 6 24 -32 5

Read more about Women's Super League

The FA Women’s Super League (FA WSL) is the highest level of women’s football in England. It has been through numerous format changes since its first season in 2011. Eleven teams play 20 fixtures to create the final league table and decide who are champions.