Vanarama National League match prediction: Little separates Torquay United and Barrow in quality

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Competition: England Vanarama National League
Date: Sat 26.October
Match begins: 16:00 (UTC)
Venue: Plainmoor (6104 seats)

Torquay United will hope to utilise their home advantage to help bridge the gap to today’s opponents. The home side are currently 3 points behind Barrow.

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Torquay United form and stats

When playing at home in the Vanarama National League, Torquay United have managed 4 wins, 1 draw and suffered 3 defeats from 8 games.

Torquay United's last game was hosting Boreham Wood (placed 11th) and winning 3-2. Prior to that was the away defeat visiting Notts County (0-2).

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Torquay United have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found six matches with the results: Won 2 Drawn 2 Lost 2.

There's a new fixture coming up fairly quickly for Torquay United, as the Vanarama National League home game vs Wrexham is only three days away.

Torquay United have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Plainmoor with 13 goals in 8 league matches. Torquay United have conceded 11 in these home matches.

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Barrow form and stats

The visitors, who have the most scored goals (17) away in Vanarama National League, are W4-D1-L3 on the road this term. That's in the Vanarama National League. Impressively, the visitors are on a seven-match winning run which they hope continue versus Torquay United. A great winning streak in away games for Barrow as they have managed to win four matches in a row as the visitors. Not since the Woking have they travelled home without three points.

This game can not go any worse than the last one, a FA Cup home defeat versus Solihull Moors with 0-1 on the scoreboard. A home win before that, celebrating 3-1 vs Boreham Wood.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Barrow playing away and similar expectations, we found nine relevant matches. Results were 6 Barrow wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats.

There might be some complaints about the fixture list from the Barrow manager I. Evatt as the team has another away game coming up in only three days, this time against Dagenham & Redbridge.

With an average of more than two away goals per league game away, Barrow are regular goalscorers on their travels. In the opposite end, Barrow have conceded 13 goals in their away games.

Head 2 Head

Last eight meetings between the teams: Torquay United won 2, Barrow won 1 and 5 draws. 4 games with over 2,5 goals, 4 matches with two goals or less.

Top Goalscorers

BarrowS. Quigley
S. Quigley
11 goals
Torquay UnitedJ. Reid
J. Reid
10 goals
BarrowJ. Rooney
J. Rooney
8 goals

Torquay United missing players

Barrow missing players

Torquay United Barrow
Total Home Home vs top Statistics Stat Away vs mid Away Total
17 8 1 Played P 0 8 16
7 4 1 Won W 0 4 9
4 1 0 Drew D 0 1 1
6 3 0 Lost L 0 3 6
29 13 4 Scored S 0 17 29
26 11 2 Conceded C 0 13 20
94% 88% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 0% 100% 100%
88% 88% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 100% 88%
65% 62% 100% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 100% 75%
35% 25% 100% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 50% 31%
24% 25% 100% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 25% 12%
59% 62% 100% BTTS BTTS 0% 88% 56%
18% 25% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 12% 31%
29% 25% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 12%
 
5.4 5.8 7 Corners For (avg) C F 0 4.9 5.1
5.7 6.5 1 Corners Against (avg) C A 0 3.8 3.6
1.8 1.8 2 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 0 2.6 2.2
1 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 0 0
Key stats this season:
  • All of Barrow's away-matches have had more than 2,5 goals.
  • Barrow have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Barrow have scored in all their away matches so far.
  • Barrow haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

Torquay United
28-09-19 VNL Stockport County 0 - 4 Torquay United
05-10-19 VNL Torquay United 2 - 1 Fylde
08-10-19 VNL Ebbsfleet United 2 - 4 Torquay United
12-10-19 VNL Notts County 2 - 0 Torquay United
19-10-19 FAC Torquay United 3 - 2 Boreham Wood
26-10-19 VNL Torquay United 16:00 Barrow
29-10-19 VNL Torquay United 20:45 Wrexham
02-11-19 VNL Halifax Town 16:00 Torquay United
09-11-19 FAC Maidstone United 16:00 Torquay United
16-11-19 VNL Torquay United 16:00 Sutton United
Barrow
24-09-19 VNL Chorley 1 - 3 Barrow
28-09-19 VNL Barrow 2 - 0 Maidenhead United
05-10-19 VNL Bromley 1 - 2 Barrow
08-10-19 VNL Barrow 3 - 1 Boreham Wood
19-10-19 FAC Barrow 0 - 1 Solihull Moors
26-10-19 VNL Torquay United 16:00 Barrow
29-10-19 VNL Dagenham & Redbridge 20:45 Barrow
02-11-19 VNL Barrow 16:00 Sutton United
16-11-19 VNL Notts County 16:00 Barrow
23-11-19 VNL Barrow 16:00 Barnet

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Halifax Town 17 10 2 5 26 16 9 5 1 3 13 9 8 5 1 2 13 7 10 32
2 Bromley 17 9 5 3 27 21 8 5 2 1 15 10 9 4 3 2 12 11 6 32
3 Yeovil Town 17 10 1 6 29 19 9 6 1 2 17 10 8 4 0 4 12 9 10 31
4 Barrow 16 9 1 6 29 20 8 5 0 3 12 7 8 4 1 3 17 13 9 28
5 Notts County 17 7 6 4 26 17 9 5 3 1 15 5 8 2 3 3 11 12 9 27
6 Solihull Moors 17 8 3 6 26 18 9 7 0 2 17 7 8 1 3 4 9 11 8 27
7 Woking 17 7 6 4 26 20 8 3 3 2 11 9 9 4 3 2 15 11 6 27
8 Harrogate Town 17 7 5 5 22 19 8 4 2 2 10 7 9 3 3 3 12 12 3 26
9 Torquay United 17 7 4 6 29 26 8 4 1 3 13 11 9 3 3 3 16 15 3 25
10 Barnet 17 6 7 4 24 21 9 3 4 2 11 9 8 3 3 2 13 12 3 25
11 Boreham Wood 17 7 3 7 26 20 8 3 2 3 14 10 9 4 1 4 12 10 6 24
12 Dagenham & Redbridge 16 6 6 4 19 18 8 3 3 2 12 12 8 3 3 2 7 6 1 24
13 Eastleigh 17 6 6 5 19 20 9 3 5 1 10 7 8 3 1 4 9 13 -1 24
14 Dover Athletic 16 7 3 6 21 23 8 1 3 4 9 13 8 6 0 2 12 10 -2 24
15 Hartlepool United 17 6 5 6 23 24 8 2 3 3 13 15 9 4 2 3 10 9 -1 23
16 Maidenhead United 17 6 3 8 21 19 8 1 2 5 8 10 9 5 1 3 13 9 2 21
17 Stockport County 16 6 3 7 17 25 8 5 0 3 12 11 8 1 3 4 5 14 -8 21
18 Chesterfield 17 4 6 7 22 28 8 2 2 4 11 13 9 2 4 3 11 15 -6 18
19 Aldershot Town 17 5 3 9 17 23 9 2 2 5 10 13 8 3 1 4 7 10 -6 18
20 Sutton United 16 3 7 6 16 20 8 1 4 3 9 11 8 2 3 3 7 9 -4 16
21 Wrexham 17 3 7 7 20 26 9 3 4 2 10 9 8 0 3 5 10 17 -6 16
22 Fylde 16 4 4 8 20 32 8 3 2 3 9 14 8 1 2 5 11 18 -12 16
23 Chorley 17 1 10 6 12 27 8 1 4 3 7 13 9 0 6 3 5 14 -15 13
24 Ebbsfleet United 17 2 4 11 19 34 9 1 2 6 12 21 8 1 2 5 7 13 -15 10