Vanarama National League match prediction: Little separates Chorley and Wrexham in quality

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Competition: England Vanarama National League
Date: Wed 01.January
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium (4100 seats)

An important duel in the bottom section of the league table, with both teams experiencing more worry than joy. This match is a classic “six-pointer” with the home team placed 24th and the visitors in 21st place.

There’s little time for restitution or working hard at the training pitch these days, with both teams having played their last game less than four days ago.

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Chorley form and stats

The home fans haven’t been spoiled with victories in the Vanarama National League this season. Chorley have only managed 3 wins, 5 draws and 6 losses from their games here at The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium.

The Chorley crowd went home unhappy last time out, seeing their beloved players lose 0-2 to Harrogate Town here at The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium in a Vanarama National League match. A defeat was the result before that one, 1-3 away at Wrexham.

This is expected to be a close game, with Chorley perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Chorley as a small favourite), we find eight games. Chorley has won 3 of these, drawn 2 and lost 3.

Chorley are traveling soon after this match as the Vanarama National League match at Woking awaits in three days.

Chorley aren't scoring a lot here at The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium in the league, with only 11 goals from 14 games. With more than 1,5 conceded goals on average, the Chorley defense is not exactly impregnable. 22 goals conceded from 14 games. You can find more goal stats on the Statistics tab above.

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Wrexham form and stats

There's been little loot from Wrexham's travels as they have only collected 6 points from 14 away games in the Vanarama National League. Wrexham only have 1 win to counter their 10 defeats and 3 draws. Wrexham has lost their two previous away games and are eager to kill a negative trend in its infancy.

Two away games in a row for Wrexham, who will hope to get a better result in this one after losing 0-2 versus Maidenhead United in the Vanarama National League. A home win before that, celebrating 3-1 vs Chorley.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Wrexham playing away and similar expectations, we found twelve relevant matches. Results were 2 Wrexham wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats.

A new game in only three days for Wrexham, the Vanarama National League home match versus Aldershot Town. Busy days.

Wrexham find the net in their away games, although not all the time. 15 goals from 14 away fixtures in the league. Wrexham have conceded 27 goals in these games.

Head 2 Head

The teams have played each other before this season, with the result Wrexham - Chorley 3-1 entered in the official records. Head-2-head stats last two meetings: 0 - 1 - 1 (Chorley wins - draws - Wrexham wins). As for goals, 1 match ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), 1 had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

WrexhamB. Grant
B. Grant
7 goals
ChorleyC. Holroyd
C. Holroyd
6 goals
ChorleyA. Newby
A. Newby
4 goals

Chorley missing players

Wrexham missing players

Chorley Wrexham
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
28 14 3 Played P 5 14 28
4 3 1 Won W 0 1 7
12 5 1 Drew D 0 3 8
12 6 1 Lost L 5 10 13
25 11 1 Scored S 4 15 34
49 22 4 Conceded C 10 27 41
75% 79% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
68% 64% 33% Over 1.5 O 1.5 80% 86% 75%
50% 43% 33% Over 2.5 O 2.5 60% 57% 46%
39% 29% 33% Over 3.5 O 3.5 20% 36% 29%
18% 7% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 20% 14% 11%
54% 43% 0% BTTS BTTS 60% 71% 64%
36% 43% 67% Clean Sheets C S 0% 7% 18%
36% 36% 67% Failed to Score F T 40% 21% 18%
 
4.3 4.9 5.3 Corners For (avg) C F 4 4.5 5
4.5 4.1 3.7 Corners Against (avg) C A 5.2 5.6 5
1.7 1.4 1 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 1.8 1.6 1.7
1 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 2 3
 
280 138 33 Total Shots T S 51 125 304
107 52 11 Shots on Target S O 13 45 115
23% 21% 9% Goal Efficiency G E 31% 29% 28%
Key stats in Vanarama National League this season:
  • Chorley has the fewest scored goals (11) at home
  • Chorley has the fewest scored goals (25)
  • Chorley has the fewest scored goals in the second half (10)
  • Chorley has the the worst goal difference (-11) at home
  • Chorley has the the worst goal difference (-24)
  • Wrexham has the fewest points (6) away
  • Wrexham have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Wrexham haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Barrow 26 15 4 7 49 30 13 8 2 3 19 11 13 7 2 4 30 19 19 49
2 Yeovil Town 28 14 6 8 52 36 14 8 3 3 28 16 14 6 3 5 24 20 16 48
3 Bromley 28 13 8 7 48 37 14 7 5 2 31 19 14 6 3 5 17 18 11 47
4 Harrogate Town 28 13 7 8 45 37 14 9 3 2 24 13 14 4 4 6 21 24 8 46
5 Stockport County 28 13 5 10 43 43 14 8 1 5 25 22 14 5 4 5 18 21 0 44
6 Notts County 27 11 9 7 44 30 14 6 6 2 23 13 13 5 3 5 21 17 14 42
7 Solihull Moors 26 12 5 9 39 28 12 9 0 3 22 10 14 3 5 6 17 18 11 41
8 Boreham Wood 27 11 8 8 40 31 14 6 4 4 21 16 13 5 4 4 19 15 9 41
9 Woking 27 11 8 8 38 37 14 5 5 4 16 18 13 6 3 4 22 19 1 41
10 Halifax Town 27 12 5 10 36 39 13 6 2 5 19 18 14 6 3 5 17 21 -3 41
11 Dover Athletic 26 11 6 9 34 33 14 3 4 7 19 22 12 8 2 2 15 11 1 39
12 Barnet 26 10 8 8 40 34 13 6 4 3 21 15 13 4 4 5 19 19 6 38
13 Eastleigh 26 9 10 7 35 36 13 5 6 2 18 14 13 4 4 5 17 22 -1 37
14 Torquay United 28 11 4 13 49 53 14 7 1 6 24 24 14 4 3 7 25 29 -4 37
15 Hartlepool United 27 9 9 9 41 40 13 4 5 4 20 20 14 5 4 5 21 20 1 36
16 Sutton United 28 9 9 10 34 34 14 4 4 6 20 21 14 5 5 4 14 13 0 36
17 Maidenhead United 28 10 4 14 35 42 14 3 3 8 15 22 14 7 1 6 20 20 -7 34
18 Dagenham & Redbridge 28 8 7 13 31 38 14 5 4 5 23 21 14 3 3 8 8 17 -7 31
19 Aldershot Town 27 8 7 12 28 37 14 5 4 5 18 17 13 3 3 7 10 20 -9 31
20 Fylde 27 7 9 11 33 43 13 4 5 4 15 18 14 3 4 7 18 25 -10 30
21 Wrexham 28 7 8 13 34 41 14 6 5 3 19 14 14 1 3 10 15 27 -7 29
22 Chesterfield 28 6 9 13 38 50 14 3 3 8 19 27 14 3 6 5 19 23 -12 27
23 Ebbsfleet United 27 5 9 13 37 50 13 2 4 7 18 27 14 3 5 6 19 23 -13 24
24 Chorley 28 4 12 12 25 49 14 3 5 6 11 22 14 1 7 6 14 27 -24 24

Read more about Vanarama National League

The National League is the fifth highest level of the English football league system. 24 professional and semi-professional teams play a total of 552 fixtures to top the league table. The National League is the top division of the National League System which contains division levels five to eleven.