Vanarama National League South match prediction: Little separates Welling United and Tonbridge Angels in quality

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Competition: England Vanarama National League South
Competition: Sat 13.November
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Park View Road (5500 seats)

Welling United are longing to add to their points total at their own stadium in the upcoming fixture hosting Tonbridge Angels.

Insights:
  • Welling United have the most conceded goals (31) in Vanarama National League South
  • Tonbridge Angels have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

It’s a hectic schedule for the away team, as they were in action only four days ago in the Vanarama National League South.

L W L D W

Welling United form and stats

Overall Vanarama National League South statistics at home this season for Welling United, who have the most conceded goals (31) in Vanarama National League South, are 3-1-3 (wins-draws-losses). When Welling United hosts teams that live in the bottom of the table (like Welling United, Billericay Town, Bath City, Hemel Hempstead Town, Braintree Town and Chelmsford City), they have won 2 of 2 matches!

The fans are hoping that Welling will strike back in this match, putting things right after the 1-2 away loss in the Vanarama National League South game against Bath City (placed 16th).

Ahead of that match, Welling won a home game hosting Billericay Town (1-0).

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Welling have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found 13 matches with the results: Won eight, drawn two and lost three.

The Welling United fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 9 in 7 matches. Welling United have conceded 16 goals in these home games, a significant number. Welling United has at home met teams with this table position (low), two times. It has ended with less than 2.5 goals 2 of 2 times.

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Tonbridge Angels form and stats

2-1-2 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Tonbridge Angels in their Vanarama National League South matches away. Three has not been a lucky number for Tonbridge as they have been defeated three times in a row since the Billericay Town match.

Tonbridge aren't clicking offensively as they have gone 334 league minutes without a goal. R. Modeste was the last player to find the net.

Tonbridge Angels's previous game was their home loss versus Havant & Waterlooville (0-1).

Preceding that game, the 0-1 loss visiting Braintree Town's place.

As mentioned above, this is an open game with no clear favourite. We have found nine similar matches played by Tonbridge in our archives, and the results are: three wins for Tonbridge Angels, two draws and four defeats.

Tonbridge are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 6 away goals from 5 games (in the league). Tonbridge struggle to build an impenetrable defensive wall in away matches with a total of 8 goals conceded from these games.

Head 2 Head

Head to head statistics (for the preceeding seven meetings): Welling won five games, two matches ended with a draw and Tonbridge Angels have zero wins. Over 2,5 goals / under 2,5 goals: four / three

Top Goalscorers

Tonbridge AngelsI. Olutade
I. Olutade
4 goals
WellingD. Akinyemi
D. Akinyemi
3 goals
Welling UnitedA. Shokunbi
A. Shokunbi
2 goals

Welling United missing players

Tonbridge Angels missing players

Welling United Tonbridge Angels
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
13 7 2 Played P 2 5 11
4 3 2 Won W 1 2 3
2 1 0 Drew D 0 1 2
7 3 0 Lost L 1 2 6
14 9 2 Scored S 1 6 12
31 16 0 Conceded C 1 8 17
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
85% 71% 0% Over 1.5 O 1.5 0% 60% 64%
77% 71% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 40% 36%
46% 57% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 40% 36%
31% 43% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 20% 18%
54% 57% 0% BTTS BTTS 0% 60% 55%
15% 29% 100% Clean Sheets C S 50% 20% 9%
31% 14% 0% Failed to Score F T 50% 20% 36%
 
3.6 4.4 3.5 Corners for (avg) C F 2 2.8 6.2
6.9 6.9 5 Corners against (avg) C A 3 4.6 3.6
1.6 1.4 1.5 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 2 2.2 2.3
1 1 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
8.3 10 9 Shots (avg) S ( 9 7.4 9.8
3.8 4.6 4.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.5 3.8 4.5
28% 28% 22% Goal Efficiency G E 20% 32% 24%
 
15.5 15.4 13.5 Shots against (avg) S A 8.5 11.8 10.4
6.6 6.3 4.5 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4 6.2 5.3
Key stats in Vanarama National League South this season:
  • Tonbridge Angels have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Tonbridge Angels have won significantly less corners away then at home.
  • Tonbridge Angels haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Welling United have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Welling United have the most conceded goals (31) in Vanarama National League South
  • Welling United have the most conceded goals in the first half (15) in Vanarama National League South
  • Welling United have the the worst goal difference (-17) in Vanarama National League South
  • Welling United have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Welling United haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Dartford 12 7 3 2 25 9 5 3 2 0 11 5 7 4 1 2 14 4 16 24
2 St Albans City 10 7 1 2 23 11 6 4 1 1 14 6 4 3 0 1 9 5 12 22
3 Dorking Wanderers 12 6 3 3 24 19 6 5 0 1 15 9 6 1 3 2 9 10 5 21
4 Oxford City 11 5 5 1 25 13 6 2 3 1 14 9 5 3 2 0 11 4 12 20
5 Hungerford Town 12 6 2 4 23 16 6 2 2 2 8 8 6 4 0 2 15 8 7 20
6 Ebbsfleet United 9 6 1 2 20 10 4 3 0 1 11 4 5 3 1 1 9 6 10 19
7 Havant & Waterlooville 11 6 1 4 19 13 4 2 0 2 10 6 7 4 1 2 9 7 6 19
8 Dulwich Hamlet 10 5 3 2 21 12 6 2 2 2 9 9 4 3 1 0 12 3 9 18
9 Maidstone United 12 5 3 4 18 15 6 2 1 3 7 9 6 3 2 1 11 6 3 18
10 Concord Rangers 12 5 3 4 18 23 6 4 0 2 6 8 6 1 3 2 12 15 -5 18
11 Hampton & Richmond 11 4 4 3 23 15 5 2 2 1 9 5 6 2 2 2 14 10 8 16
12 Eastbourne Borough 13 4 4 5 28 26 7 2 3 2 14 13 6 2 1 3 14 13 2 16
13 Chippenham Town 13 3 6 4 19 21 6 1 1 4 8 14 7 2 5 0 11 7 -2 15
14 Slough Town 12 4 3 5 14 17 6 2 1 3 7 8 6 2 2 2 7 9 -3 15
15 Welling United 13 4 2 7 14 31 7 3 1 3 9 16 6 1 1 4 5 15 -17 14
16 Bath City 11 4 0 7 13 23 6 2 0 4 7 11 5 2 0 3 6 12 -10 12
17 Hemel Hempstead Town 12 3 3 6 14 29 6 0 3 3 5 18 6 3 0 3 9 11 -15 12
18 Tonbridge Angels 11 3 2 6 12 17 6 1 1 4 6 9 5 2 1 2 6 8 -5 11
19 Chelmsford City 12 2 4 6 14 20 6 0 3 3 5 9 6 2 1 3 9 11 -6 10
20 Braintree Town 13 2 4 7 12 24 6 1 2 3 6 10 7 1 2 4 6 14 -12 10
21 Billericay Town 12 2 1 9 13 28 6 1 1 4 9 16 6 1 0 5 4 12 -15 7

Read more about Vanarama National League South

The National League South, formerly known as Conference South, is the sixth highest division in English football. It consists of teams located in the South West and South East of England, London and the southern parts of Wales, the Midlands and the East of England. 22 teams make up the league table.