Vanarama National League South prediction and preview: Welling United modest favorites to beat Oxford City

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Competition: England Vanarama National League South
Date: Sat 17.August
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Park View Road (5500 seats)

It's early days in the Vanarama National League South and the teams are still hoping for a flying start in order to set the tone for the season. Three points can make a big difference at this stage.

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Welling United and Oxford City.

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Welling United form and stats

Only two home games for Welling United so far, yet both highs and lows with 1 win, 0 draws and 1 defeat.

In their previous game, the manager M. Goldberg led his Welling United to a defeat in the Vanarama National League South match away at Billericay Town. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Park View Road. Before that game, the home loss against Bath City with the scoreline 0-3.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Welling United matches with similar probabilities have ended with 2 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat (from four games).

Welling United has scored 1 goal so far and conceded 3 goals from 2 home games.

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Oxford City form and stats

Things could have gone better for Oxford City in their away games, but 2 points from 2 games is all right. Visiting Oxford City has seen their last two away games both end with a tied score and one point each.

Oxford City won their last game, 3-2 versus Hampton & Richmond played at home. Before that, Oxford City travelled to Eastbourne Borough and returned home with a draw after the game finished 1-1.

Looking at the earlier recent performances of Oxford City when being an outsider away as they are today, we find one match with the visitors losing 0 times, drawing 1 and winning 0 games.

2 goals so far away for Oxford City, while their defence has allowed the opposition to score 2. All from 2 matches.

Head 2 Head

Numbers for the last six meetings between these two teams are: 3 wins for Welling United, 1 draw and 2 wins for Oxford City. Over 2,5 goals: 4 times; under 2,5 goals: 2 games.

Top Goalscorers

S. Brown
2 goals
T. Moore-Azille
2 goals
A. Cosgrove
1 goals

Welling United missing players

Oxford City missing players

Welling United Oxford City
Total Home Home vs mid Statistic Away vs low Away Total
4 2 1 Played 0 2 4
1 1 1 Won 0 0 1
1 0 0 Drew 0 2 2
2 1 0 Lost 0 0 1
3 1 1 Scored 0 2 5
6 3 0 Conceded 0 2 7
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 0% 100% 100%
75% 50% 0% Over 1.5 0% 100% 100%
50% 50% 0% Over 2.5 0% 0% 50%
0% 0% 0% Over 3.5 0% 0% 25%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 0% 0% 25%
50% 0% 0% BTTS 0% 100% 75%
25% 50% 100% Clean Sheets 0% 0% 0%
25% 50% 0% Failed To Score 0% 0% 25%
 
3.8 3 1 Corners For (avg) 0 5 4.8
4.2 3 1 Corners Against (avg) 0 7 4.8
0.8 0.5 1 Yellow Cards (avg) 0 1.5 1
0 0 0 Red Cards 0 0 0
Welling United Last season Oxford City
Total Home Home vs mid Statistic Away vs top Away Total
44 22 7 Played 7 21 42
24 16 5 Won 2 7 17
7 4 1 Drew 0 3 5
13 2 1 Lost 5 11 20
73 48 13 Scored 10 27 64
50 24 9 Conceded 16 35 63
98% 100% 100% Over 0.5 100% 100% 98%
75% 91% 100% Over 1.5 71% 67% 74%
48% 59% 71% Over 2.5 57% 43% 57%
34% 41% 29% Over 3.5 43% 33% 33%
16% 18% 14% Over 4.5 43% 29% 21%
48% 59% 57% BTTS 57% 52% 57%
32% 32% 29% Clean Sheets 29% 24% 26%
23% 9% 14% Failed To Score 14% 24% 19%
 
5.6 5.2 5.7 Corners For (avg) 4.3 5.8 5.3
4.1 3.6 3.3 Corners Against (avg) 5.6 5.7 5.4
1.7 1.7 2.7 Yellow Cards (avg) 2.1 1.6 1.3
2 2 2 Red Cards 2 5 7
Key stats last season:
  • Oxford City haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.
  • Welling United have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Welling United haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

Welling United
All Fa Trophy Club Friendlies Vanarama National League South FA Cup
All Home Away
29-07-19 CF Welling United 5 - 0 Gillingham
03-08-19 Va Havant & Waterlooville 1 - 1 Welling United
06-08-19 Va Welling United 1 - 0 Maidstone United
10-08-19 Va Welling United 0 - 3 Bath City
13-08-19 Va Billericay Town 2 - 1 Welling United
17-08-19 Va Welling United 14:00 Oxford City
24-08-19 Va Chelmsford City 14:00 Welling United
26-08-19 Va Welling United 14:00 Tonbridge Angels
31-08-19 Va Concord Rangers 14:00 Welling United
03-09-19 Va Welling United 18:45 Eastbourne Borough
Oxford City
All Fa Trophy Club Friendlies Vanarama National League South FA Cup
All Home Away
23-07-19 CF Beaconsfield Town 0 - 2 Oxford City
03-08-19 Va Oxford City 0 - 3 Concord Rangers
06-08-19 Va Chippenham Town 1 - 1 Oxford City
10-08-19 Va Eastbourne Borough 1 - 1 Oxford City
13-08-19 Va Oxford City 3 - 2 Hampton & Richmond
17-08-19 Va Welling United 14:00 Oxford City
24-08-19 Va Oxford City 14:00 Hemel Hempstead Town
26-08-19 Va Bath City 14:00 Oxford City
31-08-19 Va Oxford City 14:00 Havant & Waterlooville
03-09-19 Va Oxford City 18:45 Weymouth

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Bath City 4 3 1 0 8 2 2 2 0 0 4 1 2 1 1 0 4 1 6 10
2 Wealdstone 4 3 0 1 9 2 2 2 0 0 5 1 2 1 0 1 4 1 7 9
3 Concord Rangers 4 3 0 1 7 3 2 2 0 0 4 2 2 1 0 1 3 1 4 9
4 Hemel Hempstead Town 4 3 0 1 8 5 2 2 0 0 5 1 2 1 0 1 3 4 3 9
5 Dulwich Hamlet 4 3 0 1 5 3 2 2 0 0 3 1 2 1 0 1 2 2 2 9
6 Billericay Town 4 3 0 1 6 5 2 2 0 0 3 1 2 1 0 1 3 4 1 9
7 Dorking Wanderers 4 3 0 1 7 8 2 2 0 0 6 2 2 1 0 1 1 6 -1 9
8 Havant & Waterlooville 4 2 2 0 12 5 2 1 1 0 7 1 2 1 1 0 5 4 7 8
9 Weymouth 4 2 2 0 8 4 2 1 1 0 5 2 2 1 1 0 3 2 4 8
10 Chelmsford City 4 2 0 2 10 7 2 2 0 0 8 1 2 0 0 2 2 6 3 6
11 Chippenham Town 4 1 2 1 3 2 2 1 1 0 3 1 2 0 1 1 0 1 1 5
12 Eastbourne Borough 4 1 2 1 3 2 2 1 1 0 3 1 2 0 1 1 0 1 1 5
13 Oxford City 4 1 2 1 5 7 2 1 0 1 3 5 2 0 2 0 2 2 -2 5
14 Maidstone United 4 1 1 2 4 4 2 0 1 1 1 2 2 1 0 1 3 2 0 4
15 Welling United 4 1 1 2 3 6 2 1 0 1 1 3 2 0 1 1 2 3 -3 4
16 Braintree Town 4 1 0 3 5 9 2 0 0 2 2 7 2 1 0 1 3 2 -4 3
17 Tonbridge Angels 4 1 0 3 3 7 2 1 0 1 2 2 2 0 0 2 1 5 -4 3
18 Hungerford Town 4 1 0 3 4 9 2 1 0 1 2 3 2 0 0 2 2 6 -5 3
19 St Albans City 4 0 2 2 2 6 2 0 1 1 0 3 2 0 1 1 2 3 -4 2
20 Dartford 4 0 2 2 3 10 2 0 2 0 2 2 2 0 0 2 1 8 -7 2
21 Slough Town 4 0 1 3 2 5 2 0 1 1 1 2 2 0 0 2 1 3 -3 1
22 Hampton & Richmond 4 0 0 4 7 13 2 0 0 2 4 6 2 0 0 2 3 7 -6 0
Last season Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A D P
1 Torquay United 42 27 7 8 93 41 21 15 2 4 53 23 21 12 5 4 40 18 52 88
2 Woking 42 23 9 10 76 49 21 12 2 7 38 25 21 11 7 3 38 24 27 78
3 Welling United 42 23 7 12 70 47 21 15 4 2 45 22 21 8 3 10 25 25 23 76
4 Concord Rangers 42 20 13 9 69 48 21 11 7 3 39 19 21 9 6 6 30 29 21 73
5 Chelmsford City 42 21 9 12 68 50 21 12 5 4 35 23 21 9 4 8 33 27 18 72
6 Bath City 42 20 11 11 58 36 21 12 4 5 33 18 21 8 7 6 25 18 22 71
7 Wealdstone 42 18 12 12 62 50 21 9 5 7 31 31 21 9 7 5 31 19 12 66
8 Billericay Town 42 19 8 15 72 65 21 10 3 8 32 33 21 9 5 7 40 32 7 65
9 St Albans City 42 18 10 14 67 64 21 12 4 5 34 26 21 6 6 9 33 38 3 64
10 Dartford 42 18 10 14 52 58 21 12 6 3 32 21 21 6 4 11 20 37 -6 64
11 Slough Town 42 17 12 13 56 50 21 9 7 5 26 19 21 8 5 8 30 31 6 63
12 Oxford City 42 17 5 20 64 63 21 10 2 9 37 28 21 7 3 11 27 35 1 56
13 Chippenham Town 42 16 7 19 57 64 21 10 4 7 34 28 21 6 3 12 23 36 -7 55
14 Dulwich Hamlet 42 13 10 19 52 65 21 8 4 9 28 31 21 5 6 10 24 34 -13 49
15 Hampton & Richmond 42 13 10 19 49 66 21 6 4 11 20 33 21 7 6 8 29 33 -17 49
16 Hemel Hempstead Town 42 12 12 18 52 67 21 6 7 8 27 36 21 6 5 10 25 31 -15 48
17 Gloucester City 42 12 11 19 35 54 21 3 10 8 17 26 21 9 1 11 18 28 -19 47
18 Eastbourne Borough 42 10 12 20 52 65 21 6 6 9 33 34 21 4 6 11 19 31 -13 42
19 Hungerford Town 42 11 9 22 45 72 21 6 6 9 24 31 21 5 3 13 21 41 -27 42
20 Truro City 42 9 12 21 63 87 21 5 4 12 30 43 21 4 8 9 33 44 -24 39
21 East Thurrock United 42 10 7 25 42 63 21 8 4 9 26 25 21 2 3 16 16 38 -21 37
22 Weston-super-Mare 42 8 11 23 50 80 21 2 7 12 19 36 21 6 4 11 31 44 -30 35

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