Vanarama National League South forecast and pre-match guide: Eastbourne Borough small favourite to subdue Hemel Hempstead Town

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Competition: England Vanarama National League South
Competition: Sat 15.April
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Priory Lane Stadium (4134 seats)

The league table tells us that 6 points split the pair of competitors in this Vanarama National League South match. Eastbourne Borough own both the points- and home advantage.

Insights:
  • Eastbourne Borough have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Hemel Hempstead Town have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

Both squads have had ample time to rest since their previous effort on the pitch. Let's look for an enthusiastic game!

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Eastbourne Borough form and stats

10-2-9 (win-draw-lost) are the Vanarama National League South numbers at home for Eastbourne Borough so far this season. Two home wins in a row for Eastbourne bring valid hopes of a third.

Eastbourne Borough lost their last game at Welling United (placed 17th) after a 0-1 scoreline. The first loss after collecting points in five league games.

Before that, Eastbourne Borough had a home game versus Dartford which ended with a victory 2-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Eastbourne have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 10 games) they have won 4 times, drawn 1 and lost 5.

Eastbourne Borough have proved capable of finding the net in their games here at Priory Lane Stadium with 36 goals in 21 league matches. 30 goals have been conceded. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 3 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Hemel Hempstead Town form and stats

The story so far for the visiting team on their Vanarama National League South travels is 7 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats. The last three matches for Hemel Hempstead Town have all ended in a draw.

There were no winners in Hempstead's previous match, the home game that ended 1-1 vs Dulwich Hamlet (placed 20th). The draw against Dulwich Hamlet came from a losing position. The Hemel Hempstead Town manager Quinton brought on Hughes as a substitute and the player scored to make the scores level.

Preceding that game, the 1-1 draw paying a visit to Tonbridge Angels.

Hemel Hempstead Town are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats. From a total of 15 matches.

Low-scoring game? 9 of this team's last 12 league rounds have seen zero, one or two goals.

Hempstead are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 22 away goals from 21 games (in the league). Hemel Hempstead Town have conceded 27 goals in these away matches. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 3 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

Eastbourne Borough have pulled off a streak of 6 consecutive matches without defeat (3-3-0) when playing Hemel Hempstead Town.

The squads have faced each other previously this season, with the final score Hemel Hempstead Town - Eastbourne 1-2 written in the official records.

Top Goalscorers

Eastbourne BoroughS. Remy
S. Remy
12 goals
Eastbourne BoroughL. Gravata
L. Gravata
8 goals
Eastbourne BoroughC. Walker
C. Walker
7 goals

Eastbourne Borough missing players

Hemel Hempstead Town missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Eastbourne Borough Hemel Hempstead Town
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
43 21 7 Played P 6 21 43
20 10 2 Won W 1 7 15
5 2 0 Drew D 2 6 14
18 9 5 Lost L 3 8 14
69 36 9 Scored S 8 22 48
63 30 14 Conceded C 10 27 51
98% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 83% 86% 91%
84% 86% 86% Over 1.5 O 1.5 83% 71% 74%
63% 67% 71% Over 2.5 O 2.5 83% 52% 42%
33% 33% 29% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 24% 19%
19% 14% 14% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 0% 5%
60% 62% 57% BTTS BTTS 83% 52% 53%
16% 19% 14% Clean Sheets C S 17% 29% 30%
26% 19% 29% Failed to Score F T 17% 33% 26%
 
4.5 4.9 4.8 Corners for (avg) C F 2.8 3.9 4.4
5.1 4 4.5 Corners against (avg) C A 6 6 5.5
1.5 1.7 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 2.2 1.9
2 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 1
 
9.9 11.6 11.3 Shots (avg) S ( 7.3 9.2 10
5 5.7 5.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.5 3.5 4.1
32% 30% 18% Goal Efficiency G E 38% 31% 28%
 
11 9.4 9.8 Shots against (avg) S A 11.7 10.9 9.7
4.6 3.6 4.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5 4.2 3.9
Key stats in Vanarama National League South this season:
  • Eastbourne Borough have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Eastbourne Borough haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Hemel Hempstead Town have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Ebbsfleet United 43 30 7 6 100 44 21 16 2 3 62 21 22 14 5 3 38 23 56 97
2 Dartford 42 23 7 12 77 46 22 15 2 5 45 18 20 8 5 7 32 28 31 76
3 Oxford City 43 20 14 9 76 52 22 13 6 3 52 27 21 7 8 6 24 25 24 74
4 Chelmsford City 42 21 8 13 59 45 21 13 2 6 36 19 21 8 6 7 23 26 14 71
5 Braintree Town 43 19 13 11 62 52 22 11 9 2 33 22 21 8 4 9 29 30 10 70
6 St Albans City 43 20 9 14 66 49 21 8 5 8 27 23 22 12 4 6 39 26 17 69
7 Worthing 41 18 12 11 82 67 21 10 5 6 49 39 20 8 7 5 33 28 15 66
8 Eastbourne Borough 43 20 5 18 69 63 21 10 2 9 36 30 22 10 3 9 33 33 6 65
9 Havant & Waterlooville 42 18 10 14 74 62 21 10 5 6 41 29 21 8 5 8 33 33 12 64
10 Farnborough 41 18 9 14 55 45 20 8 6 6 29 21 21 10 3 8 26 24 10 63
11 Tonbridge Angels 42 18 9 15 63 65 21 8 7 6 36 33 21 10 2 9 27 32 -2 63
12 Hemel Hempstead Town 43 15 14 14 48 51 22 8 8 6 26 24 21 7 6 8 22 27 -3 59
13 Bath City 42 16 10 16 55 53 21 8 3 10 27 28 21 8 7 6 28 25 2 58
14 Chippenham Town 43 14 15 14 53 63 22 10 8 4 32 26 21 4 7 10 21 37 -10 57
15 Taunton Town 41 15 10 16 44 44 20 7 6 7 21 19 21 8 4 9 23 25 0 55
16 Hampton & Richmond 42 14 8 20 57 65 21 8 5 8 25 28 21 6 3 12 32 37 -8 50
17 Welling United 42 12 14 16 48 58 21 6 5 10 25 30 21 6 9 6 23 28 -10 49
18 Dover Athletic 42 12 12 18 41 57 21 7 6 8 22 26 21 5 6 10 19 31 -16 48
19 Slough Town 43 12 11 20 55 75 21 6 5 10 31 38 22 6 6 10 24 37 -20 47
20 Dulwich Hamlet 42 12 7 23 58 87 20 8 2 10 27 33 22 4 5 13 31 54 -29 43
21 Cheshunt 41 10 10 21 45 65 20 7 4 9 25 32 21 3 6 12 20 33 -20 40
22 Weymouth 42 11 6 25 51 75 22 6 3 13 19 34 20 5 3 12 32 41 -24 39
23 Hungerford Town 41 9 9 23 42 59 21 6 8 7 21 18 20 3 1 16 21 41 -17 36
24 Concord Rangers 39 9 7 23 35 73 19 5 4 10 19 31 20 4 3 13 16 42 -38 34

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Ebbsfleet United 43 30 7 6 100 44 21 16 2 3 62 21 22 14 5 3 38 23 56 97
2 Dartford 42 23 7 12 77 46 22 15 2 5 45 18 20 8 5 7 32 28 31 76
3 Oxford City 43 20 14 9 76 52 22 13 6 3 52 27 21 7 8 6 24 25 24 74
4 Chelmsford City 42 21 8 13 59 45 21 13 2 6 36 19 21 8 6 7 23 26 14 71
5 Braintree Town 43 19 13 11 62 52 22 11 9 2 33 22 21 8 4 9 29 30 10 70
6 St Albans City 43 20 9 14 66 49 21 8 5 8 27 23 22 12 4 6 39 26 17 69
7 Worthing 41 18 12 11 82 67 21 10 5 6 49 39 20 8 7 5 33 28 15 66
8 Eastbourne Borough 43 20 5 18 69 63 21 10 2 9 36 30 22 10 3 9 33 33 6 65
9 Havant & Waterlooville 42 18 10 14 74 62 21 10 5 6 41 29 21 8 5 8 33 33 12 64
10 Farnborough 41 18 9 14 55 45 20 8 6 6 29 21 21 10 3 8 26 24 10 63
11 Tonbridge Angels 42 18 9 15 63 65 21 8 7 6 36 33 21 10 2 9 27 32 -2 63
12 Hemel Hempstead Town 43 15 14 14 48 51 22 8 8 6 26 24 21 7 6 8 22 27 -3 59
13 Bath City 42 16 10 16 55 53 21 8 3 10 27 28 21 8 7 6 28 25 2 58
14 Chippenham Town 43 14 15 14 53 63 22 10 8 4 32 26 21 4 7 10 21 37 -10 57
15 Taunton Town 41 15 10 16 44 44 20 7 6 7 21 19 21 8 4 9 23 25 0 55
16 Hampton & Richmond 42 14 8 20 57 65 21 8 5 8 25 28 21 6 3 12 32 37 -8 50
17 Welling United 42 12 14 16 48 58 21 6 5 10 25 30 21 6 9 6 23 28 -10 49
18 Dover Athletic 42 12 12 18 41 57 21 7 6 8 22 26 21 5 6 10 19 31 -16 48
19 Slough Town 43 12 11 20 55 75 21 6 5 10 31 38 22 6 6 10 24 37 -20 47
20 Dulwich Hamlet 42 12 7 23 58 87 20 8 2 10 27 33 22 4 5 13 31 54 -29 43
21 Cheshunt 41 10 10 21 45 65 20 7 4 9 25 32 21 3 6 12 20 33 -20 40
22 Weymouth 42 11 6 25 51 75 22 6 3 13 19 34 20 5 3 12 32 41 -24 39
23 Hungerford Town 41 9 9 23 42 59 21 6 8 7 21 18 20 3 1 16 21 41 -17 36
24 Concord Rangers 39 9 7 23 35 73 19 5 4 10 19 31 20 4 3 13 16 42 -38 34

More from England - Vanarama National League South

Read more about Vanarama National League South

The National League South, formerly known as Conference South, is the sixth highest division in English football. It consists of teams located in the South West and South East of England, London and the southern parts of Wales, the Midlands and the East of England. 22 teams make up the league table.