Vanarama National League South preview: Can Chippenham Town edge out victory against Welling United?

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Competition: England Vanarama National League South
Competition: Tue 28.March
Match begins: 18:45 (UTC)
Venue: Hardenhuish Park (2815 seats)

Classic home win, the away team claims the win or an exciting draw? It's all up in the air when the mid-table teams Chippenham Town and Welling United duel at Hardenhuish Park.

Insights:
  • Chippenham Town is in the best form (5-1-0) in Vanarama National League South
  • Welling United have the fewest points from losing position (5) in Vanarama National League South

It’s busy days for these teams as both were in action only a few days ago. There’s no rest for the wicked, or in this case; no rest for Chippenham Town and Welling United.

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Chippenham Town form and stats

When playing at home in the Vanarama National League South, Chippenham Town have managed 7 wins, 7 draws and suffered 4 defeats from 18 games. Chippenham Town has a nice streak going on as they have played twelve consecutive leaguegames without losing (regardless of home/away).

The home supporters saw a 1-1 draw versus Eastbourne Borough last time out and are looking for a win here. Parker was able to secure the draw 1-1 in the game against Eastbourne Borough after coming on as a substitute and scoring the final goal. In the starting lineup today?

Previous to that game, a home match hosting Weymouth in a game that was won 3-2.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Chippenham Town have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 5 games) they have won 2 times, drawn 1 and lost 2.

Sports gamblers, take note: A review of the 11 most recent league matches highlights that 9 of them had goals from both sides.

Some members of the home team might already be thinking of their next match, the Vanarama National League South game versus St Albans City in only four days. This game is also played here at Hardenhuish Park.

Chippenham are certainly not overdoing their scoring at home in league matches, having created 24 goals in 18 games. 21 goals have been conceded.

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Welling United form and stats

6-8-5 is the win-draw-loss statistic for Welling United in their Vanarama National League South matches away.

Impressive finishing from Lyons-Foster secured the home win 1-0 against Bath City in their previous game. Yippee; their first three points in the league after eight games not winning.

The game before that, was lost at home, a 0-1 defeat against Taunton Town.

Welling United are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 4 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats. From a total of 13 matches.

Lacking goals? 8 of this team's latest 10 league rounds have contained zero, one or two goals.

After this away game Welling United return home for a Vanarama National League South game against Hampton & Richmond. That game is only four sleeps after this.

Welling have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 19 league away games 21 goals have been scored. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. As opposed to that, Welling United have seen the ball go into their own net 25 times on the road. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

Welling United - Chippenham Town 1-1 was the end result in these squads' previous H2H match, played this season. Chippenham Town-Welling United H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Chippenham Town two wins, Welling United six wins, two draws. four of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

Welling UnitedA. Azeez
A. Azeez
14 goals
Welling UnitedT. Maloney
T. Maloney
8 goals
Welling UnitedS. Payne
S. Payne
7 goals

Chippenham Town missing players

Welling United missing players

Chippenham Town Welling United
Total Home vs mid Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
38 18 3 Played P 6 19 39
11 7 0 Won W 3 6 11
14 7 2 Drew D 3 8 13
13 4 1 Lost L 0 5 15
44 24 1 Scored S 7 21 45
52 21 2 Conceded C 4 25 55
89% 83% 67% Over 0.5 O 0.5 83% 84% 90%
68% 61% 33% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 68% 69%
42% 50% 0% Over 2.5 O 2.5 17% 42% 49%
26% 28% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 17% 21% 23%
11% 11% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 17% 21% 18%
58% 56% 33% BTTS BTTS 50% 58% 56%
24% 28% 33% Clean Sheets C S 50% 37% 28%
29% 33% 67% Failed to Score F T 17% 21% 26%
 
4.3 4.7 3.7 Corners for (avg) C F 4.5 3.9 4.2
4.6 3.9 5 Corners against (avg) C A 6.3 5.9 5
1.8 1.7 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 3 3 2.8
3 2 0 Red cards R C 1 7 11
 
9.4 10.4 11 Shots (avg) S ( 7.5 7.1 8.5
4.1 4.4 4.7 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.8 2.8 3.2
29% 30% 7% Goal Efficiency G E 41% 40% 37%
 
10.3 9.3 8.7 Shots against (avg) S A 12.8 13.2 11.9
4.9 4.2 2.7 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.5 5.2 4.8
Key stats in Vanarama National League South this season:
  • Chippenham Town have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Chippenham Town is in the best form (5-1-0) in Vanarama National League South
  • Welling United have the fewest points from losing position (5) in Vanarama National League South

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Ebbsfleet United 40 28 7 5 94 41 20 15 2 3 59 21 20 13 5 2 35 20 53 91
2 Dartford 38 21 7 10 70 42 19 13 2 4 39 16 19 8 5 6 31 26 28 70
3 Oxford City 40 18 14 8 69 48 20 11 6 3 45 26 20 7 8 5 24 22 21 68
4 Chelmsford City 40 20 8 12 55 40 20 12 2 6 33 17 20 8 6 6 22 23 15 68
5 Braintree Town 40 17 13 10 56 47 20 10 9 1 29 17 20 7 4 9 27 30 9 64
6 Worthing 40 17 12 11 75 67 20 9 5 6 42 39 20 8 7 5 33 28 8 63
7 St Albans City 39 18 8 13 61 45 19 7 5 7 25 21 20 11 3 6 36 24 16 62
8 Havant & Waterlooville 39 18 8 13 71 57 20 10 4 6 39 27 19 8 4 7 32 30 14 62
9 Tonbridge Angels 40 18 8 14 62 60 20 8 6 6 35 32 20 10 2 8 27 28 2 62
10 Farnborough 38 17 9 12 50 39 19 7 6 6 27 20 19 10 3 6 23 19 11 60
11 Eastbourne Borough 40 18 5 17 66 61 20 9 2 9 34 29 20 9 3 8 32 32 5 59
12 Bath City 40 16 10 14 55 50 20 8 3 9 27 26 20 8 7 5 28 24 5 58
13 Hemel Hempstead Town 40 15 11 14 45 48 20 8 6 6 24 22 20 7 5 8 21 26 -3 56
14 Chippenham Town 38 11 14 13 44 52 18 7 7 4 24 21 20 4 7 9 20 31 -8 47
15 Welling United 39 11 13 15 45 55 20 5 5 10 24 30 19 6 8 5 21 25 -10 45
16 Hampton & Richmond 39 12 8 19 51 62 19 6 5 8 20 27 20 6 3 11 31 35 -11 44
17 Dover Athletic 39 11 11 17 37 54 20 7 5 8 22 26 19 4 6 9 15 28 -17 44
18 Taunton Town 35 11 10 14 37 39 17 5 6 6 18 17 18 6 4 8 19 22 -2 43
19 Slough Town 40 11 10 19 47 71 20 5 5 10 25 37 20 6 5 9 22 34 -24 43
20 Cheshunt 40 10 10 20 45 64 20 7 4 9 25 32 20 3 6 11 20 32 -19 40
21 Dulwich Hamlet 39 11 6 22 56 82 19 7 2 10 26 33 20 4 4 12 30 49 -26 39
22 Hungerford Town 38 9 8 21 41 55 20 6 7 7 20 17 18 3 1 14 21 38 -14 35
23 Weymouth 39 10 5 24 48 72 20 5 3 12 18 33 19 5 2 12 30 39 -24 35
24 Concord Rangers 34 8 7 19 32 61 17 4 4 9 17 29 17 4 3 10 15 32 -29 31

Read more about Vanarama National League South

The National League South, formerly known as Conference South, is the sixth highest division in English football. It consists of teams located in the South West and South East of England, London and the southern parts of Wales, the Midlands and the East of England. 22 teams make up the league table.