Vanarama National League South preview: Can Chelmsford City edge out victory against Dorking Wanderers?

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Competition: England Vanarama National League South
Date: Sat 09.November
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Melbourne Stadium (3019 seats)

Chelmsford City will hope to utilise their home advantage to help bridge the gap to today’s opponents. The home side are currently 5 points behind Dorking Wanderers.

Chelmsford City and Dorking Wanderers should both be in good shape for this meeting, as there's been enough days for both of them to train and rest since their last matches.

Dorking Wanderers have a very long trip to this away game, as there's more than 1800 kilometers in distance to cover. This could prove a challenge, at least for the supporters.

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Chelmsford City form and stats

Chelmsford City have collected 13 points from their Vanarama National League South home games so far after 3-4-1.

In their previous game, the manager R. Stringer led his Chelmsford City to a defeat in the Vanarama National League South match away at Slough Town. The manager is hoping to put things right immediately here at Melbourne Stadium. Preceding that game was the home draw versus Dulwich Hamlet that ended 1-1.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Chelmsford City have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found seven games) they have won 4 times, drawn 3 and lost 0.

Chelmsford City can score goals in their home matches. After 8 league matches they have found the net 16 times. 10 goals have been conceded.

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Dorking Wanderers form and stats

Playing away, Dorking Wanderers have won 2 games, drawn 2 and suffered 3 defeats in the Vanarama National League South this season.

Dorking Wanderers delivered a 2-2 draw playing at home against Wealdstone (placed 1st) in their previous match; a Vanarama National League South game. A 0-2 loss hosting Oxford City before that.

A comeback secured a point in the match against Wealdstone. Dorking Wanderers were trailing 0-2 but refused surrender and clawed their way back to 2-2, with J. McShane scoring the equalizer.

We have checked recent matches where Dorking Wanderers have had similar odds to win. Win-draw-lose statistics from those six games were W3-D1-L2.

Dorking Wanderers are scoring more than one goal per away game on average, having accumulated 10 away goals from 7 games (in the league). The Dorking Wanderers manager M. White has some worries about the defense as 16 goals have been conceded in these travels.

Head 2 Head

Top Goalscorers

Chelmsford CityS. Jeffers
S. Jeffers
8 goals
Dorking WanderersJ. Prior
J. Prior
7 goals
Chelmsford CityS. Higgins
S. Higgins
6 goals

Chelmsford City missing players

Dorking Wanderers missing players

Chelmsford City Dorking Wanderers
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs mid Away Total
16 8 2 Played P 3 7 16
5 3 1 Won W 1 2 7
5 4 0 Drew D 1 2 4
6 1 1 Lost L 1 3 5
26 16 2 Scored S 8 10 23
25 10 3 Conceded C 8 16 24
94% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 94%
88% 88% 50% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 71% 62%
62% 50% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 57% 50%
44% 50% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 57% 50%
25% 25% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 67% 43% 19%
69% 75% 50% BTTS BTTS 100% 57% 50%
25% 25% 50% Clean Sheets C S 0% 14% 25%
12% 0% 0% Failed to Score F T 0% 29% 31%
 
4.9 5.2 6.5 Corners For (avg) C F 5.3 4.4 5.2
4.7 4.5 6.5 Corners Against (avg) C A 3.3 4.6 5.5
1.8 2 2 Yellow Cards (avg) Y C 3 2.9 2.7
1 0 0 Red Cards R C 0 1 2
Key stats this season:
  • Chelmsford City have scored in all their home matches so far.
  • Chelmsford City haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.
  • Dorking Wanderers have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Dorking Wanderers haven’t played a single 0-0 game away.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Wealdstone 15 12 1 2 36 18 7 6 0 1 15 8 8 6 1 1 21 10 18 37
2 Havant & Waterlooville 16 9 5 2 36 18 8 3 3 2 14 8 8 6 2 0 22 10 18 32
3 Slough Town 16 9 3 4 27 18 9 6 2 1 16 8 7 3 1 3 11 10 9 30
4 Hemel Hempstead Town 15 9 2 4 24 18 7 5 1 1 13 6 8 4 1 3 11 12 6 29
5 Weymouth 15 7 6 2 29 15 7 5 1 1 18 7 8 2 5 1 11 8 14 27
6 Bath City 16 7 5 4 24 15 8 4 3 1 12 6 8 3 2 3 12 9 9 26
7 Dorking Wanderers 16 7 4 5 23 24 9 5 2 2 13 8 7 2 2 3 10 16 -1 25
8 Maidstone United 16 6 5 5 24 18 7 3 3 1 14 7 9 3 2 4 10 11 6 23
9 Braintree Town 16 7 2 7 26 30 8 4 1 3 14 14 8 3 1 4 12 16 -4 23
10 Chelmsford City 16 5 5 6 26 25 8 3 4 1 16 10 8 2 1 5 10 15 1 20
11 Concord Rangers 16 6 2 8 22 23 9 4 1 4 12 11 7 2 1 4 10 12 -1 20
12 Billericay Town 14 5 5 4 21 22 6 4 2 0 12 6 8 1 3 4 9 16 -1 20
13 Dartford 16 5 5 6 24 29 7 1 4 2 11 12 9 4 1 4 13 17 -5 20
14 Chippenham Town 15 4 7 4 15 14 7 3 3 1 9 6 8 1 4 3 6 8 1 19
15 Hampton & Richmond 16 6 1 9 21 30 8 3 1 4 12 13 8 3 0 5 9 17 -9 19
16 Dulwich Hamlet 16 4 5 7 22 24 9 2 2 5 13 17 7 2 3 2 9 7 -2 17
17 Oxford City 16 4 5 7 19 26 8 2 2 4 8 14 8 2 3 3 11 12 -7 17
18 Welling United 16 4 4 8 14 20 8 3 1 4 9 10 8 1 3 4 5 10 -6 16
19 Eastbourne Borough 16 3 7 6 14 24 8 2 2 4 8 14 8 1 5 2 6 10 -10 16
20 Hungerford Town 16 4 2 10 19 30 7 1 2 4 7 12 9 3 0 6 12 18 -11 14
21 St Albans City 16 3 4 9 16 31 9 1 2 6 8 19 7 2 2 3 8 12 -15 13
22 Tonbridge Angels 16 3 3 10 22 32 9 3 2 4 17 17 7 0 1 6 5 15 -10 12