Vanarama National League South match prediction: Little separates Bath City and Tonbridge Angels in quality

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Competition: England Vanarama National League South
Competition: Sat 30.April
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: Twerton Park Stadium (8840 seats)

The season has been a struggle for Bath City so far, and that also applies to Tonbridge Angels. These hardened teams hope for some important points here.

Insights:
  • Tonbridge Angels have the most matches under the total-line (19) in Vanarama National League South

Bath can neither be promoted or relegated from Vanarama National League South.

This should be an exciting game with lots of action and excitement as both teams are well renewed since they last played a game. Let's go!

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Bath City form and stats

Bath City have played 18 Vanarama National League South games at their own stadium so far this season, resulting in 6-4-8 (wins-draws-losses). When Bath City hosts teams that live in the bottom of the table (like Welling United, Billericay Town, Bath City, Braintree Town, Chelmsford City and Concord Rangers), they have won 3 of 5 matches! Bath City have played two draws in a row on their own stadium.

It's back home for Bath City, who return with a good feeling about themselves after beating Billericay Town away with the result 2-1. Fletcher and Cooke found the net in that victory.

A strong away win before that one, visiting Hungerford Town and winning 3-0.

The bookmakers consider this a fairly even contest. One could say only the home advantage separates the teams. It could be relevant to look at how Bath City have performed in matches similar to this (as small favourites). Our database has found six matches with the results: Won two, drawn three and lost one.

The goals haven't exactly been flowing for Bath here at Twerton Park Stadium in the league, with less than one goal per game on average (17 from 18 games). It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 2 of these goals has been scored in their last three home matches. On the other hand, Bath City have conceded 23 goals. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 1 of these goals has been conceded in their last three home matches.

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Tonbridge Angels form and stats

There's been little loot from Tonbridge Angels's travels as they have only collected 18 points from 18 away games in the Vanarama National League South. Tonbridge Angels only have 4 wins to counter their 8 defeats and 6 draws. One point away has become something of a habit for Tonbridge Angels who have played out draws in their last three away games.

This fixture can not go any worse than the previous one, the home defeat versus Ebbsfleet United with 0-1 on the scoreboard.

Ahead of that match was the away draw versus Dulwich Hamlet that ended 1-1.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Tonbridge Angels playing away and similar expectations, we found five relevant matches. Results were one Tonbridge win, one draw and three defeats.

After this away game Tonbridge Angels return home for a Vanarama National League South game against Eastbourne Borough. That game is only two sleeps after this.

Tonbridge Angels have scored 19 goals on their travels this season, from 18 away games in the league. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 2 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. Tonbridge have conceded 30 goals in these games. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 2 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

Tonbridge Angels - Bath City 0-1 was the product when these sides previously did battle, some time ago this season. Previous six meetings with these contenders: Bath won three, Tonbridge Angels triumphed in zero and we saw three draws. three games with more than 2,5 goals, three matches with under 2,5 goals.

Top Goalscorers

Bath CityC. Cooke
C. Cooke
14 goals
Bath CityA. Fletcher
A. Fletcher
13 goals
Tonbridge AngelsT. Wood
T. Wood
12 goals

Bath City missing players

Tonbridge Angels missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Bath City Tonbridge Angels
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
38 18 5 Played P 5 18 37
12 6 3 Won W 1 4 9
5 4 1 Drew D 2 6 12
21 8 1 Lost L 2 8 16
41 17 8 Scored S 3 19 38
65 23 4 Conceded C 4 30 50
92% 83% 80% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 94% 92%
84% 78% 80% Over 1.5 O 1.5 40% 72% 65%
61% 50% 80% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 39% 32%
29% 11% 0% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 33% 27%
11% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 17% 14%
50% 44% 60% BTTS BTTS 40% 61% 51%
18% 28% 40% Clean Sheets C S 20% 17% 22%
39% 44% 20% Failed to Score F T 40% 28% 35%
 
5.9 6.4 6 Corners for (avg) C F 6.8 4.2 5.5
5.5 4.9 4.2 Corners against (avg) C A 3 3.7 3.6
1.7 1.7 1.2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.8 1.8 1.7
4 1 0 Red cards R C 0 2 2
 
9.8 10.2 11.8 Shots (avg) S ( 11 8.1 9
3.7 3.9 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 3.8 3.5 4
29% 24% 40% Goal Efficiency G E 13% 31% 26%
 
10.9 8.7 7.4 Shots against (avg) S A 8.2 9.8 9.2
4.8 4.1 3.2 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 4.2 4.8 4.2
Key stats in Vanarama National League South this season:
  • Tonbridge Angels have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Tonbridge Angels have the most matches under the total-line (19) in Vanarama National League South
  • Tonbridge Angels have won significantly less corners away then at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Maidstone United 37 25 6 6 73 33 18 14 1 3 39 16 19 11 5 3 34 17 40 81
2 Dorking Wanderers 37 24 5 8 96 48 19 16 1 2 57 20 18 8 4 6 39 28 48 77
3 Ebbsfleet United 37 22 3 12 72 49 18 12 2 4 41 15 19 10 1 8 31 34 23 69
4 Dartford 37 19 11 7 62 39 19 10 8 1 32 17 18 9 3 6 30 22 23 68
5 Oxford City 37 17 11 9 63 41 19 9 6 4 37 23 18 8 5 5 26 18 22 62
6 Eastbourne Borough 37 17 9 11 70 56 18 10 4 4 40 27 19 7 5 7 30 29 14 60
7 Havant & Waterlooville 37 14 11 12 55 53 18 7 5 6 34 22 19 7 6 6 21 31 2 53
8 Chippenham Town 37 14 10 13 54 46 19 9 3 7 36 28 18 5 7 6 18 18 8 52
9 St Albans City 37 14 7 16 51 52 18 7 3 8 27 25 19 7 4 8 24 27 -1 49
10 Slough Town 38 12 13 13 50 60 19 8 6 5 30 25 19 4 7 8 20 35 -10 49
11 Dulwich Hamlet 38 12 12 14 58 55 19 6 6 7 27 25 19 6 6 7 31 30 3 48
12 Hampton & Richmond 37 13 9 15 52 50 19 8 4 7 27 21 18 5 5 8 25 29 2 48
13 Hungerford Town 37 15 3 19 55 62 18 7 2 9 25 31 19 8 1 10 30 31 -7 48
14 Hemel Hempstead Town 37 13 8 16 47 67 19 6 5 8 26 42 18 7 3 8 21 25 -20 47
15 Concord Rangers 37 12 9 16 49 68 18 8 5 5 25 28 19 4 4 11 24 40 -19 45
16 Bath City 38 12 5 21 41 65 18 6 4 8 17 23 20 6 1 13 24 42 -24 41
17 Chelmsford City 37 9 13 15 43 47 19 4 8 7 17 20 18 5 5 8 26 27 -4 40
18 Tonbridge Angels 37 9 12 16 38 50 19 5 6 8 19 20 18 4 6 8 19 30 -12 39
19 Braintree Town 37 9 12 16 34 52 18 5 6 7 17 22 19 4 6 9 17 30 -18 39
20 Welling United 37 8 8 21 40 82 19 6 3 10 21 38 18 2 5 11 19 44 -42 32
21 Billericay Town 37 7 9 21 37 65 19 4 5 10 22 36 18 3 4 11 15 29 -28 30

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Maidstone United 37 25 6 6 73 33 18 14 1 3 39 16 19 11 5 3 34 17 40 81
2 Dorking Wanderers 37 24 5 8 96 48 19 16 1 2 57 20 18 8 4 6 39 28 48 77
3 Ebbsfleet United 37 22 3 12 72 49 18 12 2 4 41 15 19 10 1 8 31 34 23 69
4 Dartford 37 19 11 7 62 39 19 10 8 1 32 17 18 9 3 6 30 22 23 68
5 Oxford City 37 17 11 9 63 41 19 9 6 4 37 23 18 8 5 5 26 18 22 62
6 Eastbourne Borough 37 17 9 11 70 56 18 10 4 4 40 27 19 7 5 7 30 29 14 60
7 Havant & Waterlooville 37 14 11 12 55 53 18 7 5 6 34 22 19 7 6 6 21 31 2 53
8 Chippenham Town 37 14 10 13 54 46 19 9 3 7 36 28 18 5 7 6 18 18 8 52
9 St Albans City 37 14 7 16 51 52 18 7 3 8 27 25 19 7 4 8 24 27 -1 49
10 Slough Town 38 12 13 13 50 60 19 8 6 5 30 25 19 4 7 8 20 35 -10 49
11 Dulwich Hamlet 38 12 12 14 58 55 19 6 6 7 27 25 19 6 6 7 31 30 3 48
12 Hampton & Richmond 37 13 9 15 52 50 19 8 4 7 27 21 18 5 5 8 25 29 2 48
13 Hungerford Town 37 15 3 19 55 62 18 7 2 9 25 31 19 8 1 10 30 31 -7 48
14 Hemel Hempstead Town 37 13 8 16 47 67 19 6 5 8 26 42 18 7 3 8 21 25 -20 47
15 Concord Rangers 37 12 9 16 49 68 18 8 5 5 25 28 19 4 4 11 24 40 -19 45
16 Bath City 38 12 5 21 41 65 18 6 4 8 17 23 20 6 1 13 24 42 -24 41
17 Chelmsford City 37 9 13 15 43 47 19 4 8 7 17 20 18 5 5 8 26 27 -4 40
18 Tonbridge Angels 37 9 12 16 38 50 19 5 6 8 19 20 18 4 6 8 19 30 -12 39
19 Braintree Town 37 9 12 16 34 52 18 5 6 7 17 22 19 4 6 9 17 30 -18 39
20 Welling United 37 8 8 21 40 82 19 6 3 10 21 38 18 2 5 11 19 44 -42 32
21 Billericay Town 37 7 9 21 37 65 19 4 5 10 22 36 18 3 4 11 15 29 -28 30

More from England - Vanarama National League South

Read more about Vanarama National League South

The National League South, formerly known as Conference South, is the sixth highest division in English football. It consists of teams located in the South West and South East of England, London and the southern parts of Wales, the Midlands and the East of England. 22 teams make up the league table.