Vanarama National League South preview: Can Bath City edge out victory against Concord Rangers?

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Competition: England Vanarama National League South
Competition: Sat 20.November
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: Twerton Park Stadium (8840 seats)

Greeting visitors in their own stadium is secure and nice for Bath City, but Concord Rangers are fully bent and able to get all three points. How will it end?

Insights:
  • Bath City have the fewest points from losing position (0) in Vanarama National League South
  • Concord Rangers have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.

These are hectic days for the team playing at home, as they had a game only four days ago in the Vanarama National League South. This match was also played here at Twerton Park Stadium. With two consecutive home games the intense schedule is somewhat softened. Still, Concord Rangers have had more rest.

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Bath City form and stats

Bath City's struggle is real here at Twerton Park Stadium with only 6 points collected from 7 Vanarama National League South games. The win-draw-lost numbers are ugly: 2-0-5.

The Bath City fans got no joy from their last match, a Vanarama National League South game also here at Twerton Park Stadium: A 1-3 defeat against Hampton & Richmond (placed 10th).

Heartbreak before that as Bath lost 0-3 at Dulwich Hamlet's place.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Bath matches with similar probabilities have ended with five wins, zero draws and one defeat (from six games).

The Bath fans would probably like to see some more goals scored at their own stadium in the league, the tally being 8 in 7 matches. Bath have conceded 14 goals in these home games, a significant number.

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Concord Rangers form and stats

There's been little loot from Concord Rangers's travels as they have only collected 6 points from 6 away games in the Vanarama National League South. Concord Rangers only have 1 win to counter their 2 defeats and 3 draws.

T. Babalola and Daniel Green II scored in Concord Rangers's previous match, the home game against Eastbourne Borough that ended 2-1. A heroic performance from Concord in their game against Eastbourne Borough last time out. Things got complicated when J. Randell was sent off in the 67th minute with the match level. Despite the red card the team were able to pull off a 2-1 victory!

Before that, Concord secured a home win against Dartford with the score 1-0.

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Concord playing away, we found seven games. Results were three away wins, one draw and three home wins.

The Concord manager C. Search has got the team scoring on the road, with 12 away goals in 6 league matches. The opposition has been scoring high and low on Concord's goalkeeper in away games this season, as they have let in 15 goals in 6 travels.

Head 2 Head

Bath City-Concord Rangers H2H statistics last ten meetings regardless of arena: Bath City five wins, Concord Rangers three wins, two draws. five of these ten matches had three or more goals (over 2,5).

Top Goalscorers

Bath CityC. Cooke
C. Cooke
6 goals
BathA. Fletcher
A. Fletcher
5 goals
Concord RangersD. Green
D. Green
5 goals

Bath City missing players

Concord Rangers missing players

Bath City Concord Rangers
Total Home vs top Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
13 7 2 Played P 1 6 13
4 2 0 Won W 1 1 6
0 0 0 Drew D 0 3 3
9 5 2 Lost L 0 2 4
14 8 1 Scored S 3 12 20
29 14 5 Conceded C 2 15 24
100% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 100% 100%
92% 100% 100% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 100% 77%
77% 86% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 100% 83% 69%
38% 29% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 100% 67% 38%
15% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 100% 50% 31%
54% 57% 50% BTTS BTTS 100% 100% 69%
15% 14% 0% Clean Sheets C S 0% 0% 23%
31% 29% 50% Failed to Score F T 0% 0% 8%
 
4.1 5.4 5 Corners for (avg) C F 2 4.7 4.3
5.7 5.7 6.5 Corners against (avg) C A 9 7 7.1
1.5 1.3 2 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 4 2.8 2.2
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 1 2
 
9.2 11.1 11.5 Shots (avg) S ( 9 9.2 9.6
3.2 3.4 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5 3.8 3.9
33% 33% 12% Goal Efficiency G E 60% 52% 39%
 
11.6 9.6 10 Shots against (avg) S A 23 17.7 15.7
4.9 3.7 4 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 11 7 5.8
Key stats in Vanarama National League South this season:
  • All of Bath City's home-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • All of Concord Rangers's away-matches have had more than 1,5 goals.
  • Bath City have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored.
  • Bath City have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Bath City have the fewest points from losing position (0) in Vanarama National League South
  • Bath City have won significantly more corners at home than away.
  • Bath City haven’t played a single 0-0 game.
  • Concord Rangers have failed to keep a clean sheet in all their away matches.
  • Concord Rangers have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Concord Rangers have scored in all their away matches so far.
  • Concord Rangers haven’t played a single 0-0 game.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Dartford 13 7 4 2 25 9 6 3 3 0 11 5 7 4 1 2 14 4 16 25
2 Dulwich Hamlet 12 7 3 2 28 15 7 3 2 2 12 9 5 4 1 0 16 6 13 24
3 St Albans City 11 7 1 3 26 15 7 4 1 2 17 10 4 3 0 1 9 5 11 22
4 Ebbsfleet United 10 7 1 2 24 13 4 3 0 1 11 4 6 4 1 1 13 9 11 22
5 Oxford City 12 5 6 1 25 13 6 2 3 1 14 9 6 3 3 0 11 4 12 21
6 Dorking Wanderers 13 6 3 4 25 21 6 5 0 1 15 9 7 1 3 3 10 12 4 21
7 Concord Rangers 13 6 3 4 20 24 7 5 0 2 8 9 6 1 3 2 12 15 -4 21
8 Hungerford Town 13 6 2 5 26 20 7 2 2 3 11 12 6 4 0 2 15 8 6 20
9 Havant & Waterlooville 12 6 2 4 19 13 5 2 1 2 10 6 7 4 1 2 9 7 6 20
10 Hampton & Richmond 12 5 4 3 26 16 5 2 2 1 9 5 7 3 2 2 17 11 10 19
11 Maidstone United 13 5 4 4 18 15 6 2 1 3 7 9 7 3 3 1 11 6 3 19
12 Chippenham Town 14 4 6 4 22 21 7 2 1 4 11 14 7 2 5 0 11 7 1 18
13 Slough Town 13 5 3 5 16 18 7 3 1 3 9 9 6 2 2 2 7 9 -2 18
14 Welling United 14 5 2 7 15 31 8 4 1 3 10 16 6 1 1 4 5 15 -16 17
15 Eastbourne Borough 14 4 4 6 29 28 7 2 3 2 14 13 7 2 1 4 15 15 1 16
16 Hemel Hempstead Town 13 4 3 6 16 30 6 0 3 3 5 18 7 4 0 3 11 12 -14 15
17 Bath City 13 4 0 9 14 29 7 2 0 5 8 14 6 2 0 4 6 15 -15 12
18 Tonbridge Angels 12 3 2 7 12 18 6 1 1 4 6 9 6 2 1 3 6 9 -6 11
19 Chelmsford City 13 2 4 7 15 22 7 0 3 4 6 11 6 2 1 3 9 11 -7 10
20 Braintree Town 13 2 4 7 12 24 6 1 2 3 6 10 7 1 2 4 6 14 -12 10
21 Billericay Town 13 2 1 10 13 31 6 1 1 4 9 16 7 1 0 6 4 15 -18 7

Read more about Vanarama National League South

The National League South, formerly known as Conference South, is the sixth highest division in English football. It consists of teams located in the South West and South East of England, London and the southern parts of Wales, the Midlands and the East of England. 22 teams make up the league table.