Vanarama National League North match prediction: Little separates Leamington and Chester in quality

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Competition: England Vanarama National League North
Competition: Sat 26.February
Match begins: 15:00 (UTC)
Venue: The Phillips 66 Community Stadium (2300 seats)

Leamington - Chester: Vanarama National League North cellar occupants hungry for points and greatness. Read all the relevant stats and news before the fixture!

Insights:
  • Leamington have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Chester have the fewest clean sheets (3) in Vanarama National League North

There has not been much time to rest for the guests, as they played a Vanarama National League North game only four days ago.

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Leamington form and stats

The story so far in the Vanarama National League North for Leamington at their home stadium (The Phillips 66 Community Stadium) is 7 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats. When Leamington hosts teams that live in the bottom of the table (like Guiseley, AFC Telford United, Farsley Celtic, Blyth Spartans, Leamington, Bradford Park Avenue and Gloucester City), they have won 2 of 5 matches! Leamington has recorded two wins in a row here at The Phillips 66 Community Stadium, increasing their hopes of victory in this match.

Leamington faced defeat in their previous match, away at Bradford Park Avenue (1-2).

Ahead of that match, Leamington won a home game hosting Chorley (2-1).

This is expected to be a close game, with Leamington perhaps considered small favourites due to their home advantage. Looking back at earlier matches similar to this one (expected to be close with Leamington as a small favourite), we find eleven games. Leamington has won two of these, drawn four and lost five.

Leamington has scored 18 league goals at home this season, in 14 matches. Leamington's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 17 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Chester form and stats

The hunting on away grounds haven’t been very fruitful for Chester so far with only 5 points returning home. The records show 1-2-10 (win-draw-lose). A depressing four defeats in a row for Chester in their away games. Unhappy days, as the last time they avoided a loss on the road was versus AFC Telford United.

Chester's previous game was their home loss versus Spennymoor Town (0-2).

Preceding that, the 2-3 home loss versus Hereford.

So, this is expected to be a close game, an even contest. Looking at earlier matches with Chester playing away and similar expectations, we found twelve relevant matches. Results were five Chester wins, one draw and six defeats.

Chester have a decent goal production going in their away games, although not fantastic. In 13 league away games 15 goals have been scored. For Chester, more than two goals on average per game end up in their own net. When Chester is visiting a side on the bottom half, 2 of 3 matches have ended with three or more goals. These are matches against Chester, Guiseley, AFC Telford United, Farsley Celtic, Blyth Spartans, Bradford Park Avenue and Gloucester City.

Head 2 Head

The dueling parties have played before this season: Chester - Leamington 2-1. H2H stats regardless of arena (last six matches): Leamington one win, three draws and Chester two victories. As for goals, three matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), three games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

LeamingtonK. Mooney
K. Mooney
6 goals
LeamingtonD. Turner
D. Turner
6 goals
ChesterD. Stephenson
D. Stephenson
5 goals

Leamington missing players

Chester missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Leamington Chester
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs low Away Total
28 14 5 Played P 3 13 28
8 7 2 Won W 1 1 7
8 3 2 Drew D 1 2 7
12 4 1 Lost L 1 10 14
28 18 7 Scored S 5 15 46
37 17 4 Conceded C 4 30 52
96% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 92% 96%
82% 86% 60% Over 1.5 O 1.5 67% 69% 82%
43% 50% 40% Over 2.5 O 2.5 67% 69% 68%
11% 14% 20% Over 3.5 O 3.5 67% 62% 57%
0% 0% 0% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 31% 32%
50% 43% 40% BTTS BTTS 67% 62% 64%
21% 29% 40% Clean Sheets C S 0% 8% 11%
32% 29% 20% Failed to Score F T 33% 38% 29%
 
4.4 4.7 4.2 Corners for (avg) C F 6.7 5.2 5.6
5.2 4.9 6 Corners against (avg) C A 5 6.6 6.3
1.1 1.2 1.4 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1 1.5 1.5
1 0 0 Red cards R C 0 2 4
 
8.6 10 10 Shots (avg) S ( 14 11.6 10.2
3.5 4.1 4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 5.7 4.5 4.6
29% 32% 35% Goal Efficiency G E 29% 25% 36%
 
10.7 10.1 8 Shots against (avg) S A 10.7 12.8 10.7
4.9 4.7 3.6 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5.3 6.1 4.5
Key stats in Vanarama National League North this season:
  • Chester have played more matches over 2,5 goals away than home.
  • Chester have the fewest clean sheets (3) in Vanarama National League North
  • Chester have the most scored goals in the second half (34) in Vanarama National League North
  • Leamington have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Leamington haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Gateshead 28 20 3 5 62 32 14 12 0 2 32 12 14 8 3 3 30 20 30 63
2 Brackley Town 26 17 6 3 34 17 12 9 2 1 14 6 14 8 4 2 20 11 17 57
3 Kidderminster Harriers 26 17 5 4 52 20 13 10 1 2 34 9 13 7 4 2 18 11 32 56
4 Fylde 26 14 5 7 45 27 12 8 1 3 21 12 14 6 4 4 24 15 18 47
5 Chorley 25 12 9 4 45 27 12 8 3 1 32 14 13 4 6 3 13 13 18 45
6 Southport 27 12 8 7 44 32 14 8 5 1 29 13 13 4 3 6 15 19 12 44
7 Hereford 28 12 5 11 35 35 14 8 2 4 19 14 14 4 3 7 16 21 0 41
8 Kettering Town 27 11 7 9 40 32 14 5 5 4 22 16 13 6 2 5 18 16 8 40
9 Curzon Ashton 25 10 9 6 36 29 13 6 5 2 19 13 12 4 4 4 17 16 7 39
10 Boston United 26 11 4 11 40 40 14 8 2 4 29 17 12 3 2 7 11 23 0 37
11 York City 24 11 3 10 35 33 13 6 2 5 21 16 11 5 1 5 14 17 2 36
12 Darlington 28 9 7 12 44 43 14 5 3 6 21 18 14 4 4 6 23 25 1 34
13 Spennymoor Town 25 9 5 11 37 40 11 5 3 3 22 16 14 4 2 8 15 24 -3 32
14 Alfreton Town 26 9 5 12 36 43 13 4 4 5 18 20 13 5 1 7 18 23 -7 32
15 Leamington 28 8 8 12 28 37 14 7 3 4 18 17 14 1 5 8 10 20 -9 32
16 Bradford Park Avenue 26 8 6 12 34 45 13 6 2 5 22 22 13 2 4 7 12 23 -11 30
17 Chester 28 7 7 14 46 52 15 6 5 4 31 22 13 1 2 10 15 30 -6 28
18 Blyth Spartans 27 8 3 16 26 50 14 6 2 6 16 16 13 2 1 10 10 34 -24 27
19 Gloucester City 28 5 10 13 26 42 14 3 6 5 14 13 14 2 4 8 12 29 -16 25
20 Guiseley 25 6 5 14 21 36 13 4 4 5 12 16 12 2 1 9 9 20 -15 23
21 AFC Telford United 27 4 8 15 31 48 13 4 3 6 18 15 14 0 5 9 13 33 -17 20
22 Farsley Celtic 26 4 6 16 23 60 12 3 4 5 14 25 14 1 2 11 9 35 -37 18

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Gateshead 28 20 3 5 62 32 14 12 0 2 32 12 14 8 3 3 30 20 30 63
2 Brackley Town 26 17 6 3 34 17 12 9 2 1 14 6 14 8 4 2 20 11 17 57
3 Kidderminster Harriers 26 17 5 4 52 20 13 10 1 2 34 9 13 7 4 2 18 11 32 56
4 Fylde 26 14 5 7 45 27 12 8 1 3 21 12 14 6 4 4 24 15 18 47
5 Chorley 25 12 9 4 45 27 12 8 3 1 32 14 13 4 6 3 13 13 18 45
6 Southport 27 12 8 7 44 32 14 8 5 1 29 13 13 4 3 6 15 19 12 44
7 Hereford 28 12 5 11 35 35 14 8 2 4 19 14 14 4 3 7 16 21 0 41
8 Kettering Town 27 11 7 9 40 32 14 5 5 4 22 16 13 6 2 5 18 16 8 40
9 Curzon Ashton 25 10 9 6 36 29 13 6 5 2 19 13 12 4 4 4 17 16 7 39
10 Boston United 26 11 4 11 40 40 14 8 2 4 29 17 12 3 2 7 11 23 0 37
11 York City 24 11 3 10 35 33 13 6 2 5 21 16 11 5 1 5 14 17 2 36
12 Darlington 28 9 7 12 44 43 14 5 3 6 21 18 14 4 4 6 23 25 1 34
13 Spennymoor Town 25 9 5 11 37 40 11 5 3 3 22 16 14 4 2 8 15 24 -3 32
14 Alfreton Town 26 9 5 12 36 43 13 4 4 5 18 20 13 5 1 7 18 23 -7 32
15 Leamington 28 8 8 12 28 37 14 7 3 4 18 17 14 1 5 8 10 20 -9 32
16 Bradford Park Avenue 26 8 6 12 34 45 13 6 2 5 22 22 13 2 4 7 12 23 -11 30
17 Chester 28 7 7 14 46 52 15 6 5 4 31 22 13 1 2 10 15 30 -6 28
18 Blyth Spartans 27 8 3 16 26 50 14 6 2 6 16 16 13 2 1 10 10 34 -24 27
19 Gloucester City 28 5 10 13 26 42 14 3 6 5 14 13 14 2 4 8 12 29 -16 25
20 Guiseley 25 6 5 14 21 36 13 4 4 5 12 16 12 2 1 9 9 20 -15 23
21 AFC Telford United 27 4 8 15 31 48 13 4 3 6 18 15 14 0 5 9 13 33 -17 20
22 Farsley Celtic 26 4 6 16 23 60 12 3 4 5 14 25 14 1 2 11 9 35 -37 18

More from England - Vanarama National League North

Read more about Vanarama National League North

The National League North, formerly known as Conference North, is the sixth highest division in English football. It contains teams located in Northern England, Norfolk, the English Midlands and North Wales. The league table has 22 teams playing two fixtures against each other (home and away).