Vanarama National League North forecast and data: Darlington moderate thought to top Buxton

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Competition: England Vanarama National League North
Competition: Tue 21.February
Match begins: 19:45 (UTC)
Venue: Blackwell Meadows (25000 seats)

Darlington should be expected winners of this home fixture versus Buxton, if the league standings are to be trusted. Or could we be eyeing a possible shock?

Insights:
  • Darlington have the most scored goals (58) in Vanarama National League North

It's no vacation for neither Darlington nor Buxton as both were in action only a few days ago. Expect some tired legs on the pitch and/or possibly some changes to the lineups.

L L W D W

Darlington form and stats

When playing at home in the Vanarama National League North, Darlington have managed 8 wins, 4 draws and suffered 4 defeats from 16 games.

The followers are hoping that Darlington will strike back in this fixture, putting things right after the 1-2 away loss in the match against Leamington (placed 20th). Heartbreak for Darlington in their last match as Leamington's Lane scored the winning goal deep into overtime.

Heartbreak before that as Darlington lost 1-3 at Boston United's place.

The hosts are modest favourites in this match, with the bookmakers estimating the chance of a home win at about 50% +- five percent. It's interesting to look at how Darlington have performed under similar circumstances, so here are some numbers: When modest favourites like this (we found 15 games) they have won 6 times, drawn 6 and lost 3.

A fact related to the "Both teams to score yes/no" betting option: A review of the 18 most recent league matches reveals that 15 of them had at least one goal scored by each team.

The match schedule is unforgiving for Darlington as they have a new game in only four days, a Vanarama National League North match thankfully also at home. Kidderminster Harriers are visiting.

A decent goal production from Darlington in their home games so far, with 28 goals from 16 league matches. Darlington's goalkeeper has had to pick the ball out of their own net 22 times. For more goal stats, check the Statistics tab above.

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Buxton form and stats

The visitors are W5-D3-L7 on the road this term. That's in the Vanarama National League North.

498 minutes! That's how long the Buxton goalkeeper Theo Richardson and his defense have shut out their league opponents.

Impressive finishing from Girolamo secured the home win 1-0 against Southport in their previous game.

Ahead of that match was the victory versus Leamington at their stadium, the result 1-0.

Buxton are the outsiders in this one, but not by much. Their performance in similar games (being the away team and moderate outsiders) is 4 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. From a total of 8 matches.

Take note: 8 of the last 10 league matches featuring this side have had only one (or no) side scoring (Both Teams to Score NO in sports betting words).

The schedule is very tough for Buxton now as they have to travel again shortly after this match. A Vanarama National League North game at Chorley is waiting in only four days.

The visitors have scored 14 goals from 15 away games in the league, an average of less than one per game. 18 goals have been conceded by Buxton in these games. There's been improvement defensively lately, as only 0 of these goals has been conceded in their last three away matches.

Head 2 Head

The last H2H match ended Buxton - Darlington 2-1, played this season.

Top Goalscorers

DarlingtonJ. Hazel
J. Hazel
16 goals
DarlingtonJ. Lambert
J. Lambert
12 goals
BuxtonD. De Girolamo
D. De Girolamo
5 goals

Darlington missing players

Buxton missing players

Darlington Buxton
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
31 16 6 Played P 2 15 32
16 8 4 Won W 0 5 10
6 4 2 Drew D 0 3 9
9 4 0 Lost L 2 7 13
58 28 11 Scored S 0 14 31
43 22 6 Conceded C 3 18 38
97% 94% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 93% 91%
84% 81% 67% Over 1.5 O 1.5 50% 67% 62%
68% 69% 50% Over 2.5 O 2.5 0% 40% 41%
42% 50% 50% Over 3.5 O 3.5 0% 7% 16%
19% 19% 17% Over 4.5 O 4.5 0% 7% 6%
71% 69% 67% BTTS BTTS 0% 33% 38%
19% 25% 33% Clean Sheets C S 0% 33% 34%
13% 12% 0% Failed to Score F T 100% 40% 38%
 
4.8 5.2 6.8 Corners for (avg) C F 4.5 4.1 4.2
4.2 4.6 4.2 Corners against (avg) C A 8.5 6.6 5.5
1.4 1.4 0.8 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 0 1.7 1.6
0 0 0 Red cards R C 0 0 0
 
10.7 11.7 14.8 Shots (avg) S ( 7 7.9 8.8
4.5 4.5 5.5 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2.5 3.4 3.9
42% 39% 33% Goal Efficiency G E 0% 27% 25%
 
9.7 10.1 9.7 Shots against (avg) S A 16.5 10.9 9.9
4.2 4.2 3.8 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 7 4.1 4.1
Key stats in Vanarama National League North this season:
  • Darlington have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Darlington have the fewest matches under the total-line (10) in Vanarama National League North
  • Darlington have the most matches over the total-line (21) in Vanarama National League North
  • Darlington have the most scored goals (58) in Vanarama National League North
  • Darlington have the most scored goals in the second half (35) in Vanarama National League North

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Fylde 29 19 5 5 50 25 14 10 2 2 29 12 15 9 3 3 21 13 25 62
2 King's Lynn Town 30 17 8 5 54 28 15 12 2 1 31 11 15 5 6 4 23 17 26 59
3 Brackley Town 31 16 10 5 42 24 16 11 4 1 29 10 15 5 6 4 13 14 18 58
4 Darlington 31 16 6 9 58 43 16 8 4 4 28 22 15 8 2 5 30 21 15 54
5 Chester 31 13 13 5 46 29 16 6 6 4 20 14 15 7 7 1 26 15 17 52
6 Scarborough Athletic 32 14 9 9 55 50 16 7 5 4 32 27 16 7 4 5 23 23 5 51
7 Chorley 32 12 12 8 41 29 15 7 6 2 21 10 17 5 6 6 20 19 12 48
8 Kidderminster Harriers 33 13 7 13 34 36 17 4 4 9 15 20 16 9 3 4 19 16 -2 46
9 Alfreton Town 30 11 12 7 38 28 16 8 5 3 25 13 14 3 7 4 13 15 10 45
10 Gloucester City 32 12 7 13 51 54 16 8 2 6 33 25 16 4 5 7 18 29 -3 43
11 Banbury United 28 12 6 10 40 37 12 6 3 3 18 12 16 6 3 7 22 25 3 42
12 Spennymoor Town 31 10 12 9 44 45 16 6 6 4 21 19 15 4 6 5 23 26 -1 42
13 Southport 31 11 8 12 39 40 13 6 4 3 20 16 18 5 4 9 19 24 -1 41
14 Curzon Ashton 30 11 7 12 38 37 15 6 3 6 22 20 15 5 4 6 16 17 1 40
15 Peterborough Sports 30 11 7 12 38 39 16 7 5 4 24 18 14 4 2 8 14 21 -1 40
16 Hereford 32 11 6 15 36 37 16 6 4 6 21 17 16 5 2 9 15 20 -1 39
17 Buxton 32 10 9 13 31 38 17 5 6 6 17 20 15 5 3 7 14 18 -7 39
18 Kettering Town 31 8 10 13 29 44 14 6 5 3 16 13 17 2 5 10 13 31 -15 34
19 Bradford Park Avenue 32 8 9 15 33 48 15 6 3 6 16 16 17 2 6 9 17 32 -15 33
20 Leamington 30 6 14 10 24 31 17 6 5 6 16 16 13 0 9 4 8 15 -7 32
21 Farsley Celtic 30 8 8 14 34 51 15 5 5 5 18 20 15 3 3 9 16 31 -17 32
22 Boston United 31 8 6 17 44 54 16 6 3 7 28 27 15 2 3 10 16 27 -10 30
23 Blyth Spartans 32 7 9 16 32 50 17 4 7 6 18 20 15 3 2 10 14 30 -18 30
24 AFC Telford United 33 3 10 20 22 56 16 2 6 8 12 25 17 1 4 12 10 31 -34 19

Read more about Vanarama National League North

The National League North, formerly known as Conference North, is the sixth highest division in English football. It contains teams located in Northern England, Norfolk, the English Midlands and North Wales. The league table has 22 teams playing two fixtures against each other (home and away).