Chorley receive AFC Telford United as clear favourites: Check out our football preview

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Competition: England Vanarama National League North
Competition: Sat 23.April
Match begins: 14:00 (UTC)
Venue: The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium (4100 seats)

Victory to the hosting team is predicted from this game if the league standings is anything to judge by. The Chorley fans are positive that the gap between 5th and AFC Telford United's 21st position in the table will be revealed on the pitch.

Insights:
  • Chorley have the most points from losing position (19) in Vanarama National League North
  • AFC Telford United have the fewest points (8) away in Vanarama National League North

Both teams should be fairly well rested for this game, as they have had some quiet days to prepare. Hopefully this will translate into lots of action on the pitch.

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Chorley form and stats

Chorley have collected 37 points from their Vanarama National League North home games so far after 11-4-4.

The fans are hoping that Chorley will strike back in this fixture, putting things right after the 0-1 away loss in the match against Curzon Ashton (placed 14th).

Before that game, the home loss against Alfreton Town with the scoreline 1-2.

The hosts are favourites to win this game, with an estimated chance of about 55-60% of that outcome. Earlier Chorley matches with similar probabilities have ended with seven wins, one draw and three defeats (from eleven games).

The Chorley manager Vermiglio has got the team scoring with 41 from 19 home games in the league. 23 goals have been conceded.

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AFC Telford United form and stats

AFC Telford United have only collected 8 points from their away games in the Vanarama National League North, after 0-8-11 (19 played). Travelling has not been lucrative for the away team as they have returned home without a win in 19 away games in a row.

There might be some fixture complaints from AFC Telford United as they are again playing away from home after losing on the road in their previous game, 0-1 against Hereford.

A draw for AFC Telford United before that, at their own venue hosting Blyth Spartans (2-2).

As mentioned above, the odds for this match puts the home team as favourites. Perhaps this eases the pressure on the away team, who are capable of producing an upset here on a good day. Looking at earlier matches with similar odds and Telford playing away, we found four games. Results were one away win, three draws and zero home wins.

Many goals are not expected from the visiting AFC Telford United as they have only managed to score 16 times from 19 away games in the league. It's been trouble in front of goal recently, as only 1 of these goals has been scored in their last three away matches. AFC Telford United has visited these top teams six times, and 5 of 6 has ended with 2 goals or more!

Head 2 Head

The teams have faced each other previously this season, with the match result AFC Telford United - Chorley 3-0 entered in the official records. H2H stats regardless of arena (last ten matches): Chorley five wins, three draws and AFC Telford United two victories. As for goals, five matches ended with three or more goals (over 2,5), five games had two or less.

Top Goalscorers

AFC Telford UnitedJ. Oswell
J. Oswell
12 goals
ChorleyC. Hall
C. Hall
10 goals
ChorleyB. Ustabaşı
B. Ustabaşı
6 goals

Chorley missing players

AFC Telford United missing players

Total First Half Second Half
Chorley AFC Telford United
Total Home vs low Statistics Stat vs top Away Total
38 19 7 Played P 6 19 38
16 11 5 Won W 0 0 7
12 4 1 Drew D 2 8 13
10 4 1 Lost L 4 11 18
58 41 19 Scored S 6 16 45
44 23 4 Conceded C 16 38 61
89% 100% 100% Over 0.5 O 0.5 100% 89% 92%
71% 84% 71% Over 1.5 O 1.5 100% 79% 82%
53% 63% 43% Over 2.5 O 2.5 83% 58% 58%
24% 37% 29% Over 3.5 O 3.5 50% 42% 34%
13% 21% 29% Over 4.5 O 4.5 33% 16% 13%
55% 68% 43% BTTS BTTS 83% 63% 55%
26% 16% 43% Clean Sheets C S 0% 11% 21%
29% 16% 14% Failed to Score F T 17% 37% 32%
 
4.8 5.3 5.9 Corners for (avg) C F 3 4.8 5.4
3.9 4.1 4.6 Corners against (avg) C A 6.3 5.5 5.3
1.4 1.4 1.3 Yellow cards (avg) Y C 1.2 1.7 1.7
2 1 0 Red cards R C 0 3 5
 
12.6 13.1 16.1 Shots (avg) S ( 5.5 7.3 9.2
4.9 5.4 6.4 Shots on Target (avg) S O 2 2.6 3.5
31% 40% 42% Goal Efficiency G E 50% 33% 34%
 
8.9 8.1 6.6 Shots against (avg) S A 13 12.9 11.9
3.6 3.5 2.4 Shots on Target against (avg) S O 5.7 5.3 4.7
Key stats in Vanarama National League North this season:
  • AFC Telford United have conceded at least twice as many goals as they have scored away.
  • AFC Telford United have the fewest points (8) away in Vanarama National League North
  • AFC Telford United have yet to win a game away.
  • Chorley have played more matches over 2,5 goals home than away.
  • Chorley have scored at least twice as many goals at home as AFC Telford United have scored away.
  • Chorley have the most points from losing position (19) in Vanarama National League North
  • Chorley haven’t played a single 0-0 game at home.

  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Gateshead 38 27 5 6 91 42 19 16 1 2 48 17 19 11 4 4 43 25 49 86
2 Brackley Town 38 24 10 4 49 20 19 15 2 2 23 8 19 9 8 2 26 12 29 82
3 Fylde 38 22 7 9 63 34 19 13 2 4 35 18 19 9 5 5 28 16 29 73
4 Kidderminster Harriers 38 19 10 9 67 32 19 12 3 4 46 12 19 7 7 5 21 20 35 67
5 Chorley 38 16 12 10 58 44 19 11 4 4 41 23 19 5 8 6 17 21 14 60
6 Boston United 38 17 7 14 58 52 19 10 4 5 37 24 19 7 3 9 21 28 6 58
7 Kettering Town 38 15 10 13 51 46 19 8 6 5 28 20 19 7 4 8 23 26 5 55
8 York City 37 16 7 14 51 47 19 10 3 6 29 18 18 6 4 8 22 29 4 55
9 Spennymoor Town 38 15 8 15 51 49 19 8 6 5 29 21 19 7 2 10 22 28 2 53
10 Southport 38 13 13 12 52 50 19 8 9 2 33 18 19 5 4 10 19 32 2 52
11 Darlington 38 14 9 15 56 54 19 9 3 7 28 21 19 5 6 8 28 33 2 51
12 Hereford 38 14 9 15 45 45 19 9 4 6 23 19 19 5 5 9 22 26 0 51
13 Alfreton Town 37 14 9 14 50 54 18 5 8 5 24 23 19 9 1 9 26 31 -4 51
14 Curzon Ashton 37 13 11 13 45 53 19 7 6 6 22 24 18 6 5 7 23 29 -8 50
15 Bradford Park Avenue 38 11 10 17 44 58 19 7 5 7 26 27 19 4 5 10 18 31 -14 43
16 Leamington 38 10 12 16 34 43 19 9 5 5 22 18 19 1 7 11 12 25 -9 42
17 Gloucester City 38 10 12 16 42 55 19 6 7 6 25 21 19 4 5 10 17 34 -13 42
18 Chester 37 10 9 18 65 70 18 7 6 5 38 26 19 3 3 13 27 44 -5 39
19 Farsley Celtic 38 9 9 20 36 72 19 7 6 6 23 30 19 2 3 14 13 42 -36 36
20 Blyth Spartans 38 10 5 23 36 73 19 7 2 10 21 29 19 3 3 13 15 44 -37 35
21 AFC Telford United 38 7 13 18 45 61 19 7 5 7 29 23 19 0 8 11 16 38 -16 34
22 Guiseley 38 8 7 23 27 62 19 5 5 9 15 31 19 3 2 14 12 31 -35 31

Table
  Total Home Away  
# Team MP W D L F A MP W D L F A MP W D L F A +/- P
1 Gateshead 38 27 5 6 91 42 19 16 1 2 48 17 19 11 4 4 43 25 49 86
2 Brackley Town 38 24 10 4 49 20 19 15 2 2 23 8 19 9 8 2 26 12 29 82
3 Fylde 38 22 7 9 63 34 19 13 2 4 35 18 19 9 5 5 28 16 29 73
4 Kidderminster Harriers 38 19 10 9 67 32 19 12 3 4 46 12 19 7 7 5 21 20 35 67
5 Chorley 38 16 12 10 58 44 19 11 4 4 41 23 19 5 8 6 17 21 14 60
6 Boston United 38 17 7 14 58 52 19 10 4 5 37 24 19 7 3 9 21 28 6 58
7 Kettering Town 38 15 10 13 51 46 19 8 6 5 28 20 19 7 4 8 23 26 5 55
8 York City 37 16 7 14 51 47 19 10 3 6 29 18 18 6 4 8 22 29 4 55
9 Spennymoor Town 38 15 8 15 51 49 19 8 6 5 29 21 19 7 2 10 22 28 2 53
10 Southport 38 13 13 12 52 50 19 8 9 2 33 18 19 5 4 10 19 32 2 52
11 Darlington 38 14 9 15 56 54 19 9 3 7 28 21 19 5 6 8 28 33 2 51
12 Hereford 38 14 9 15 45 45 19 9 4 6 23 19 19 5 5 9 22 26 0 51
13 Alfreton Town 37 14 9 14 50 54 18 5 8 5 24 23 19 9 1 9 26 31 -4 51
14 Curzon Ashton 37 13 11 13 45 53 19 7 6 6 22 24 18 6 5 7 23 29 -8 50
15 Bradford Park Avenue 38 11 10 17 44 58 19 7 5 7 26 27 19 4 5 10 18 31 -14 43
16 Leamington 38 10 12 16 34 43 19 9 5 5 22 18 19 1 7 11 12 25 -9 42
17 Gloucester City 38 10 12 16 42 55 19 6 7 6 25 21 19 4 5 10 17 34 -13 42
18 Chester 37 10 9 18 65 70 18 7 6 5 38 26 19 3 3 13 27 44 -5 39
19 Farsley Celtic 38 9 9 20 36 72 19 7 6 6 23 30 19 2 3 14 13 42 -36 36
20 Blyth Spartans 38 10 5 23 36 73 19 7 2 10 21 29 19 3 3 13 15 44 -37 35
21 AFC Telford United 38 7 13 18 45 61 19 7 5 7 29 23 19 0 8 11 16 38 -16 34
22 Guiseley 38 8 7 23 27 62 19 5 5 9 15 31 19 3 2 14 12 31 -35 31

More from England - Vanarama National League North

Read more about Vanarama National League North

The National League North, formerly known as Conference North, is the sixth highest division in English football. It contains teams located in Northern England, Norfolk, the English Midlands and North Wales. The league table has 22 teams playing two fixtures against each other (home and away).